Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 21 - 23, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis(Final update 8.21.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Inglourious Basterds	$27.2	N/A	3,165	$8,594	1
2	1	District 9	$21.0	-44%	3,065	$6,885	2
3	New	Shorts	$11.0	N/A	3,105	$3,543	1
4	2	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$10.7	-52%	3,953	$2,707	3
5	3	The Time Traveller's Wife	$9.8	-47%	2,988	$3,280	2
6	4	Julie & Julia	$7.7	-37%	2,463	$3,126	3
7	5	G-Force	$4.5	-35%	2,561	$1,757	5
8	New	Post Grad	$3.9	N/A	1,958	$1,992	1
9	6	The Goods: Live Hard. Sell Hard.	$2.9	-48%	1,849	$1,568	1
10	7	Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince	$25	-52%	1936	$1,395	2
11	New	X-Games 3D: The Movie	$2.5	N/A	1,399	$1,787	1
			Est. Weekend Total $103.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 45%		Est. Average PTA $3,321

COMPARISONS:

INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS (The Weinstein Company)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Grindhouse	4/6/07	2,624		$11.60	$4,419	$25.03
Kill Bill Vol. 2	4/16/04	2,971		$25.10	$8,450	$66.21
Kill Bill Vol. 1	10/10/03	3,102		$22.09	$7,121	$69.82
Jackie Brown	12/26/97	1,370		$9.01	$6,577	$39.67
Pulp Fiction	10/14/94	1,338		$9.31	$6,958	$107.93
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	12/26/09	2,988	$11.87	$26.85	$8,987	$127.51
Burn After Reading	9/12/08	2,651		$19.13	$7,215	$60.36
The Assassination of Jesse James	9/21/07	301	$1.64	$0.53	$1,765	$3.90
Babel	10/27/06	1,251	$1.84	$5.55	$4,443	$34.30
Mr. & Mrs. Smith	6/10/05	3,424		$50.34	$14,703	$186.34
Spy Game	11/23/01	2,770	$8.88	$21.69	$7,830	$62.34
Ocean's Thirteen	6/8/07	3,565		$36.13	$10,136	$117.14
Ocean's Twelve	12/10/04	3,290		$39.15	$11,901	$125.40
Ocean's 11	12/7/01	3,075		$38.11	$12,393	$183.13
Valkyrie	12/25/08	2,711	$8.49	$21.03	$7,756	$83.08
Saving Private Ryan	7/24/98	2,463		$30.58	$12,416	$216.12

SHORTS (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Adventures of Sharkboy and Lavagirl in 3-D	6/10/05	2,655		$12.58	$4,739	$39.17
Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over	7/25/03	3,344		$33.42	$9,993	$111.76
Spy Kids 2: The Island of Lost Dreams	8/9/02	3,307	$8.30	$16.71	$5,053	$84.94
Spy Kids	3/30/01	3,104		$26.55	$8,552	$106.26
Zoom	8/11/06	2,501		$4.51	$1,803	$11.63
Sky High	7/29/05	2,905		$14.63	$5,037	$62.94

POST GRAD (Fox Searchlight)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
College	8/29/08	2,123		$2.15	$1,014	$4.69
The Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants 2	8/6/08	2,707		$10.68	$3,945	$44.09
The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants	6/3/05	2,583	$3.74	$9.83	$3,807	$38.83
Tuck Everlasting	10/11/02	1,185		$5.27	$4,446	$19.14
I Love You, Beth Cooper	7/10/09	1,858		$4.92	$2,648	$14.46
My Life in Ruins	6/5/09	1,164		$3.22	$2,769	$8.61
Miss March	3/13/09	1,742		$2.41	$1,383	$4.54
The Rocker	8/20/08	2,784		$2.64	$947	$6.41