Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 21 - 23, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis(Final update 8.21.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Inglourious Basterds	$27.2	N/A	3,165	$8,594	1
2	1	District 9	$21.0	-44%	3,065	$6,885	2
3	New	Shorts	$11.0	N/A	3,105	$3,543	1
4	2	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$10.7	-52%	3,953	$2,707	3
5	3	The Time Traveller's Wife	$9.8	-47%	2,988	$3,280	2
6	4	Julie & Julia	$7.7	-37%	2,463	$3,126	3
7	5	G-Force	$4.5	-35%	2,561	$1,757	5
8	New	Post Grad	$3.9	N/A	1,958	$1,992	1
9	6	The Goods: Live Hard. Sell Hard.	$2.9	-48%	1,849	$1,568	1
10	7	Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince	$25	-52%	1936	$1,395	2
11	New	X-Games 3D: The Movie	$2.5	N/A	1,399	$1,787	1
			Est. Weekend Total $103.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 45%		Est. Average PTA $3,321

COMPARISONS:

INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS (The Weinstein Company)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Grindhouse	4/6/07	2,624		$11.60	$4,419	$25.03
Kill Bill Vol. 2	4/16/04	2,971		$25.10	$8,450	$66.21
Kill Bill Vol. 1	10/10/03	3,102		$22.09	$7,121	$69.82
Jackie Brown	12/26/97	1,370		$9.01	$6,577	$39.67
Pulp Fiction	10/14/94	1,338		$9.31	$6,958	$107.93
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	12/26/09	2,988	$11.87	$26.85	$8,987	$127.51
Burn After Reading	9/12/08	2,651		$19.13	$7,215	$60.36
The Assassination of Jesse James	9/21/07	301	$1.64	$0.53	$1,765	$3.90
Babel	10/27/06	1,251	$1.84	$5.55	$4,443	$34.30
Mr. & Mrs. Smith	6/10/05	3,424		$50.34	$14,703	$186.34
Spy Game	11/23/01	2,770	$8.88	$21.69	$7,830	$62.34
Ocean's Thirteen	6/8/07	3,565		$36.13	$10,136	$117.14
Ocean's Twelve	12/10/04	3,290		$39.15	$11,901	$125.40
Ocean's 11	12/7/01	3,075		$38.11	$12,393	$183.13
Valkyrie	12/25/08	2,711	$8.49	$21.03	$7,756	$83.08
Saving Private Ryan	7/24/98	2,463		$30.58	$12,416	$216.12

SHORTS (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Adventures of Sharkboy and Lavagirl in 3-D	6/10/05	2,655		$12.58	$4,739	$39.17
Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over	7/25/03	3,344		$33.42	$9,993	$111.76
Spy Kids 2: The Island of Lost Dreams	8/9/02	3,307	$8.30	$16.71	$5,053	$84.94
Spy Kids	3/30/01	3,104		$26.55	$8,552	$106.26
Zoom	8/11/06	2,501		$4.51	$1,803	$11.63
Sky High	7/29/05	2,905		$14.63	$5,037	$62.94

POST GRAD (Fox Searchlight)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
College	8/29/08	2,123		$2.15	$1,014	$4.69
The Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants 2	8/6/08	2,707		$10.68	$3,945	$44.09
The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants	6/3/05	2,583	$3.74	$9.83	$3,807	$38.83
Tuck Everlasting	10/11/02	1,185		$5.27	$4,446	$19.14
I Love You, Beth Cooper	7/10/09	1,858		$4.92	$2,648	$14.46
My Life in Ruins	6/5/09	1,164		$3.22	$2,769	$8.61
Miss March	3/13/09	1,742		$2.41	$1,383	$4.54
The Rocker	8/20/08	2,784		$2.64	$947	$6.41