Box Office Predictions for August 14 - 16,
2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 8.13.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
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|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
District 9 |
$33.0 |
N/A |
3,049 |
$10,823 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra |
$24.0 |
-56% |
4,007 |
$5,990 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
The Time Traveler's Wife |
$19.5 |
N/A |
2,988 |
$6,526 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Julie & Julia |
$11.6 |
-42% |
2,354 |
$4,754 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
The Goods: Live Hard. Sell Hard. |
$5.9 |
N/A |
1,838 |
$3,210 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
G-Force |
$5.5 |
-45% |
3,065 |
$1,794 |
4 |
|
7 |
4 |
Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince |
$4.6 |
-47% |
2,771 |
$1,660 |
5 |
|
8 |
New |
Bandslam |
$4.0 |
N/A |
2,121 |
$1,886 |
1 |
|
9 |
New |
Ponyo |
$3.8 |
N/A |
927 |
$4,099 |
1 |
| 10 |
6 |
(500) Days of Summer |
$3.8 |
0% |
1,048 |
$3,626 |
6 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Cloverfield |
1/18/08 |
3,411 |
$40.06 |
$11,744 |
$80.05 |
|
|
28 Days Later |
6/27/03 |
1,260 |
$10.06 |
$7,985 |
$45.06 |
|
|
Men In Black |
7/4/97 |
3,020 |
$33.06 |
$51.07 |
$16,911 |
$250.15 |
|
The Blair Witch Project |
7/30/99 |
1,101 |
$6.93 |
$29.21 |
$26,530 |
$140.53 |
|
King Kong |
12/16/05 |
3,568 |
$16.05 |
$50.13 |
$14,050 |
$218.05 |
|
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow |
9/17/04 |
3,170 |
$15.58 |
$4,915 |
$37.76 |
|
|
Cloverfield |
1/18/08 |
3,411 |
$40.06 |
$11,744 |
$80.05 |
|
|
28 Days Later |
6/27/03 |
1,260 |
$10.06 |
$7,985 |
$45.06 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
State of Play |
4/17/09 |
2,803 |
$14.07 |
$5,020 |
$37.02 |
|
|
The Family Stone |
12/16/05 |
2,466 |
$12.52 |
$5,077 |
$60.06 |
|
|
Red Eye |
8/19/05 |
3,079 |
$16.17 |
$5,251 |
$57.86 |
|
|
Wedding Crashers |
7/15/05 |
2,925 |
$33.90 |
$11,590 |
$209.22 |
|
|
The Notebook |
6/25/04 |
2,303 |
$13.46 |
$5,847 |
$79.67 |
|
|
Mean Girls |
4/30/04 |
2,839 |
$24.43 |
$8,606 |
$86.05 |
|
|
The Other Boleyn Girl |
2/29/08 |
1,166 |
$8.20 |
$7,035 |
$26.81 |
|
|
Lucky You |
5/4/07 |
2,525 |
$2.71 |
$1,073 |
$5.76 |
|
|
Munich |
12/23/05 |
532 |
$6.04 |
$11,355 |
$47.38 |
|
|
Troy |
5/14/04 |
3,411 |
$46.87 |
$13,739 |
$133.23 |
|
|
Nights in Rodanthe |
9/26/08 |
2,704 |
$13.42 |
$4,962 |
$42.56 |
|
|
The Lake House |
6/16/06 |
2,645 |
$13.62 |
$5,148 |
$52.33 |
|
|
The Butterfly Effect |
1/23/04 |
2,605 |
$17.07 |
$6,551 |
$57.65 |
THE GOODS: LIVE HARD *SELL HARD (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Hangover |
6/5/09 |
3,269 |
$44.98 |
$13,759 |
$255.89 |
|
Smokin' Aces |
1/26/07 |
2,218 |
$14.64 |
$6,600 |
$35.66 |
|
Old School |
2/21/03 |
2,689 |
$17.45 |
$6,491 |
$75.16 |
|
Very Bad Things |
11/25/98 |
1,260 |
$4.66 |
$3,698 |
$9.90 |
|
Drillbit Taylor |
3/21/08 |
3056 |
$10.31 |
$3,374 |
$32.86 |
|
Strange Wilderness |
2/1/08 |
1,208 |
$3.00 |
$2,485 |
$6.56 |
|
The Heartbreak Kid |
10/5/07 |
3,229 |
$14.02 |
$4,343 |
$36.79 |
|
Grandma's Boy |
1/6/06 |
2,016 |
$3.01 |
$1,493 |
$6.09 |
|
Step Brothers |
7/25/08 |
3,094 |
$30.94 |
$10,000 |
$100.47 |
|
Talladega Nights |
8/4/06 |
3,803 |
$47.04 |
$12,370 |
$148.21 |
|
The Hangover |
6/5/09 |
3,269 |
$44.98 |
$13,759 |
$255.89 |
BANDSLAM (Summit Entertainment)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
High School Musical 3: Senior Year |
10/24/08 |
3,623 |
$42.03 |
$11,601 |
$90.56 |
|
|
Hotel for Dogs |
1/16/09 |
3,271 |
$17.01 |
$5,201 |
$73.03 |
|
|
Marci X |
8/22/03 |
1,200 |
$0.87 |
$727 |
$1.65 |
|
|
The Rocker |
8/20/08 |
2,784 |
$2.64 |
$947 |
$6.41 |
|
|
August Rush |
11/17/07 |
2,310 |
$9.42 |
$4,079 |
$31.66 |
|
|
The School of Rock |
10/3/03 |
2,614 |
$19.62 |
$7,507 |
$81.05 |
|
|
Rock Star |
9/7/01 |
2,525 |
$6.02 |
$2,384 |
$16.99 |
|
|
Camp |
7/25/03 |
3 |
$0.05 |
$18,098 |
$1.63 |
|
|
Undiscovered |
8/26/05 |
1,304 |
$0.68 |
$518 |
$1.05 |
|
|
From Justin to Kelly |
6/20/03 |
2,001 |
$2.72 |
$1,357 |
$4.92 |
|
|
Crossroads |
2/15/02 |
2,380 |
$17.01 |
$7,149 |
$37.19 |
PONYO (Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Howl's Moving Castle |
6/10/05 |
36 |
$0.43 |
$11,889 |
$4.71 |
|
|
Spirited Away |
9/20/02 |
26 |
$0.45 |
$17,302 |
$10.05 |
|
|
Princess Mononoke |
10/29/99 |
8 |
$0.14 |
$18,056 |
$2.37 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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