Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for April 3-5, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 3 - 5, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (Final update 4.2.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Fast & Furious	$45.5	N/A	3,462	$13,101	1
2	1	Monsters vs. Aliens	$32.8	-45%	4,109	$7,982	2
3	2	The Haunting in Connecticut	$9.2	-60%	2,732	$3,367	2
4	4	I Love You, Man	$8.9	-34%	3,323	$3,146	3
5	3	Knowing	$8.4	-42%	2,829	$2,528	3
6	New	Adventureland	$7.0	N/A	1,862	$3,759	1
7	5	Duplicity	$4.4	-45%	2,520	$1,746	3
8	6	Race to Witch Mountain	$3.0	-45%	2,950	$1,017	4
9	7	12 Rounds	$2.3	-57%	2,331	$987	2
10	11	Sunshine Cleaning	$1.8	64%	479	$3,758	5
			Est. Weekend Total $123.30	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 33%		Est. Average PTA $4,143

COMPARISONS:

FAST & FURIOUS (Universal)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift	6/16/06	3,027		$23.97	$7,920	$62.62
2 Fast 2 Furious	6/6/03	3,408		$50.47	$14,810	$127.08
The Fast and the Furious	6/22/01	2,628		$40.09	$15,255	$144.51
Babylon A.D.	8/29/08	3,390		$9.48	$2,798	$22.53
The Pacifier	3/4/05	3,131		$30.55	$9,758	$113.01
The Chronicles of Riddick	6/11/04	2,757		$24.29	$8,810	$57.64
A Man Apart	4/4/03	2,459		$11.02	$4,481	$26.50
xXx	8/9/02	3,374		$44.51	$13,191	$141.20
Pitch Black	2/18/00	1,832		$11.58	$6,321	$39.24
Running Scared	2/24/06	1,611		$3.38	$2,099	$6.86
Eight Below	2/17/06	3,066		$20.18	$6,585	$81.61
Into the Blue	9/30/05	2,789		$7.06	$2,531	$18.25
Timeline	11/28/03	2,787	$3.98	$8.44	$3,028	$19.44

ADVENTURELAND (Miramax)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948		$33.05	$11,212	$121.46
The Hunting Party	9/7/07	329	0.511	$0.37	$1,111	$0.88
The Squid and the Whale	10/7/05	4	$0.02	$0.13	$32,461	$7.07
Twilight	11/21/08	3,419		$69.64	$20,368	$191.41
Into the Wild	9/21/07	658	$4.35	$2.14	$3,250	$18.35
The Messengers	2/2/07	2,528		$14.70	$5,820	$35.37
Knocked Up	6/1/07	2,871		$30.69	$10,690	$146.28
Smart People	4/11/08	1,106		$4.09	$3,700	$9.51
Waiting...	10/7/05	1,652		$6.02	$3,645	$15.61