Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 3 - 5, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (Final update 4.2.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Fast & Furious

$45.5

N/A

3,462

$13,101

1

2

1

Monsters vs. Aliens

$32.8

-45%

4,109

$7,982

2

3

2

The Haunting in Connecticut

$9.2

-60%

2,732

$3,367

2

4

4

I Love You, Man

$8.9

-34%

3,323

$3,146

3

5

3

Knowing

$8.4

-42%

2,829

$2,528

3

6

New

Adventureland

$7.0

N/A

1,862

$3,759

1

7

5

Duplicity

$4.4

-45%

2,520

$1,746

3

8

6

Race to Witch Mountain

$3.0

-45%

2,950

$1,017

4

9

7

12 Rounds

$2.3

-57%

2,331

$987

2

10

11

Sunshine Cleaning

$1.8

64%

479

$3,758

5

Est. Weekend Total
$123.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 33%

Est. Average PTA
$4,143



COMPARISONS:

FAST & FURIOUS (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift

6/16/06

3,027

$23.97

$7,920

$62.62

2 Fast 2 Furious

6/6/03

3,408

$50.47

$14,810

$127.08

The Fast and the Furious

6/22/01

2,628

$40.09

$15,255

$144.51

Babylon A.D.

8/29/08

3,390

$9.48

$2,798

$22.53

The Pacifier

3/4/05

3,131

$30.55

$9,758

$113.01

The Chronicles of Riddick

6/11/04

2,757

$24.29

$8,810

$57.64

A Man Apart

4/4/03

2,459

$11.02

$4,481

$26.50

xXx

8/9/02

3,374

$44.51

$13,191

$141.20

Pitch Black

2/18/00

1,832

$11.58

$6,321

$39.24

Running Scared

2/24/06

1,611

$3.38

$2,099

$6.86

Eight Below

2/17/06

3,066

$20.18

$6,585

$81.61

Into the Blue

9/30/05

2,789

$7.06

$2,531

$18.25

Timeline

11/28/03

2,787

$3.98

$8.44

$3,028

$19.44



ADVENTURELAND (Miramax)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

The Hunting Party

9/7/07

329

0.511

$0.37

$1,111

$0.88

The Squid and the Whale

10/7/05

4

$0.02

$0.13

$32,461

$7.07

Twilight

11/21/08

3,419

$69.64

$20,368

$191.41

Into the Wild

9/21/07

658

$4.35

$2.14

$3,250

$18.35

The Messengers

2/2/07

2,528

$14.70

$5,820

$35.37

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

Smart People

4/11/08

1,106

$4.09

$3,700

$9.51

Waiting...

10/7/05

1,652

$6.02

$3,645

$15.61


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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