Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for April 17-19, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 17 - 19, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.16.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	17 Again	$21.6	N/A	3,255	$6,636	1
2	1	Hannah Montana The Movie	$14.0	-57%	3,118	$4,490	2
3	New	Crank: High Voltage	$13.4	N/A	2,223	$6,028	1
4	2	Fast & Furious	$13.0	-52%	3,672	$3,540	3
5	3	Monsters vs. Aliens	$12.7	-42%	3,662	$3,468	4
6	New	State of Play	$11.3	N/A	2,803	$4,031	1
7	4	Observe and Report	$5.8	-47%	2,727	$2,127	2
8	6	I Love You, Man	$4.0	-37%	2,202	$1,817	5
9	5	Knowing	$3.7	-43%	2,405	$1,538	5
10	7	The Haunting in Connecticut	$3.2	-46%	2,255	$1,419	4
			Est. Weekend Total $102.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 46%		Est. Average PTA $3,509

COMPARISONS:

17 AGAIN (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
High School Musical 3: Senior Year	10/24/08	3,623		$42.03	$11,601	$90.56
Hairspray	7/20/07	3,121		$27.48	$8,804	$118.82
13 Going on 30	4/23/04	3,438		$21.05	$6,124	$56.04
Freaky Friday	8/8/03	2,954	$10.90	$22.20	$7,516	$110.22
Mean Girls	4/30/04	2,839		$24.43	$8,606	$86.05
Drillbit Taylor	3/21/08	3056		$10.31	$3,374	$32.86
The Whole Ten Yards	4/9/04	2,654		$6.69	$2,519	$16.32
The Whole Nine Yards	2/18/00	2,910		$13.73	$4,720	$57.26
Serving Sara	8/23/02	2,154		$5.76	$2,673	$16.81

CRANK: HIGH VOLTAGE (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Crank	9/1/06	2,515		$10.30	$4,079	$27.84
Transporter 3	11/26/08	2,626	$6.17	$12.06	$4,594	$31.72
Death Race	8/22/08	2,532		$12.62	$4,985	$36.10
The Bank Job	3/7/08	1,603		$5.94	$3,703	$30.06
In the Name of the King	1/11/08	1,605		$2.98	$1,829	$4.54
War	8/24/07	2,277		$9.82	$4,313	$22.47
The Transporter 2	9/2/05	3,303		$20.10	$6,087	$43.10
The Transporter	10/11/02	2,573		$9.11	$3,540	$25.30
The Italian Job	5/30/03	2,633		$19.46	$7,390	$105.63
Smokin' Aces	1/26/07	2,218		$14.64	$6,600	$35.66

STATE OF PLAY (Universal)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Body of Lies	10/10/08	2,710	$12.88	$4,754	$39.39
American Gangster	11/2/07	3,054	$43.57	$14,265	$130.16
3:10 to Yuma	9/7/07	2,652	$14.04	$5,292	$53.61
Cinderella Man	6/3/05	2,812	$18.32	$6,515	$61.65
Hollywoodland	9/8/06	1,548	$5.93	$3,828	$14.43
The Sum of All Fears	5/31/02	3,183	$31.18	$9,795	$118.47
Red Eye	8/19/05	3,079	$16.17	$5,251	$57.86
The Notebook	6/25/04	2,303	$13.46	$5,847	$79.67
Duplicity	3/20/09	2,574	$13.97	$5,425	$33.85
The International	2/13/09	2,364	$9.33	$3,947	$25.45
Breach	2/16/07	1,489	$10.50	$7,055	$33.00
Traffic	1/5/01	1,510	$15.52	$10,277	$124.11
The Paper	3/25/94	1,092	$7.01	$6,419	$36.77