Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 10 - 12, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.9.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Hannah Montana The Movie

$28.3

N/A

3,118

$9,076

1

2

1

Fast & Furious

$27.5

-61%

3,472

$7,921

2

3

2

Monsters vs. Aliens

$18.5

-43%

4,136

$4,502

3

4

New

Observe and Report

$15.2

N/A

2,727

$5,574

1

5

New

Dragonball: Evolution

$6.7

N/A

2,181

$3,072

1

6

5

I Love You, Man

$5.0

-35%

2,643

$1,892

4

7

3

The Haunting in Connecticut

$4.7

-51%

2,721

$1,727

3

8

4

Knowing

$4.6

-44%

2,925

$1,573

4

9

6

Adventureland

$3.4

-41%

1,876

$1,812

2

10

7

Duplicity

$2.3

-45%

1,958

$1,175

4

Est. Weekend Total
$116.20

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$3,829



COMPARISONS:

HANNAH MONTANA THE MOVIE (Disney)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana: Best of Both Worlds

2/1/08

683

$31.12

$45,561

$65.20

Bolt

11/21/08

3,651

$26.22

$7,182

$114.05

Jonas Brothers: The 3D Experience

2/27/09

1,271

$12.50

$9,843

$19.16

High School Musical 3: Senior Year

10/24/08

3,623

$42.03

$11,601

$90.56

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

5/2/03

2,825

$17.34

$6,138

$42.67

Sydney White

9/21/07

2,104

$5.20

$2,470

$11.89

She's the Man

3/17/06

2,623

$10.73

$4,091

$33.90

What a Girl Wants

4/4/03

2,964

$11.43

$3,858

$35.99

Holes

4/18/03

2,331

$16.30

$6,993

$67.38



OBSERVE AND REPORT (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Foot Fist Way

5/30/08

4

$0.04

$9,098

$0.23

Zack and Miri Make a Porno

10/31/08

2,735

$10.07

3,680

31.452

Pineapple Express

8/6/08

3,072

$18.07

$23.25

$7,567

$87.34

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

The 40-Year-Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

The House Bunny

8/22/08

2,714

$14.53

$5,355

$46.11

Just Friends

11/25/05

2,505

$4.05

$9.19

$3,669

$32.60

Waiting...

10/7/05

1,652

$6.02

$3,645

$15.61

Beerfest

8/25/06

2,964

$7.03

$2,372

$19.19

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

1/16/09

3,144

$31.83

$10,125

$142.79



DRAGONBALL: REVOLUTION (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Bulletproof Monk

4/18/03

2,955

$3.10

$8.65

$2,928

$23.01

The Corruptor

3/12/99

1,804

$5.77

$3,198

$15.16

Replacement Killers

2/6/98

1,936

$8.05

$4,158

$19.20

The One

11/2/01

2,894

$19.11

$6,604

$43.91

The Forbidden Kingdom

4/18/08

3,151

$21.40

$6,792

$52.08

Street Fighter: the Legend of Chun-Li

2/27/09

1,136

$4.72

$4,156

$8.56

Speed Racer

5/9/08

3,606

$18.56

$5,147

$43.93

Kung Fu Hustle

4/8/05

2,503

$0.73

$6.75

$2,697

$17.10

Underdog

8/3/07

3,013

$11.59

$3,845

$43.12

Tank Girl

3/31/95

1,341

$2.02

$1,506

$3.95

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 3

3/19/93

2,087

$0.58

$12.42

$5,951

$42.27

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2

3/22/91

2,868

$20.03

$6,984

$78.58

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

3/30/90

2,006

$25.40

$12,662

$135.27


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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