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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for May 9 - 11, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 5.8.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
Iron Man |
$51.3 |
-48% |
4,111 |
$12,479 |
2 |
|
2 |
New |
Speed Racer |
$33.7 |
N/A |
3,606 |
$9,346 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
What Happens in Vegas |
$20.5 |
N/A |
3,215 |
$6,376 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Made of Honor |
$8.7 |
-41% |
2,734 |
$3,182 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
Baby Mama |
$6.2 |
-38% |
2,627 |
$2,360 |
3 |
|
6 |
5 |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$3.6 |
-40% |
2,379 |
$1,513 |
4 |
|
7 |
4 |
Harold & Kumar Escape… |
$3.1 |
-49% |
2,264 |
$1,369 |
3 |
|
8 |
38 |
Redbelt |
$2.1 |
2700% |
1,301 |
$1,614 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
The Forbidden Kingdom |
$1.8 |
-57% |
1,724 |
$1,044 |
4 |
|
10 |
7 |
Nim's Island |
$1.4 |
-45% |
1,601 |
$874 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$132.40 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,016 |
|
COMPARISONS:
SPEED RACER (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Matrix Revolutions |
11/5/03 |
3,502 |
$35.32 |
$48.48 |
$13,843 |
$139.08 |
|
The Matrix Reloaded |
5/16/03 |
3,603 |
$42.51 |
$91.77 |
$25,471 |
$281.91 |
|
The Matrix |
4/2/99 |
2,849 |
$9.57 |
$27.78 |
$9,751 |
$171.38 |
|
The Flintstones in Viva Rock Vegas |
4/28/00 |
3,040 |
|
$10.52 |
$3,461 |
$35.23 |
|
The Flintstones |
5/27/94 |
2,498 |
|
$37.18 |
$14,884 |
$130.53 |
|
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed |
3/26/04 |
3,312 |
|
$29.44 |
$8,888 |
$84.19 |
|
Scooby-Doo |
6/14/02 |
3,447 |
|
$54.16 |
$15,712 |
$153.29 |
|
Josie and the Pussycats |
4/13/01 |
2,556 |
$1.53 |
$4.56 |
$1,784 |
$14.25 |
|
Cars |
6/9/06 |
3,985 |
|
$60.12 |
$15,086 |
$244.08 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
|
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
TMNT |
3/23/07 |
3,110 |
|
$24.26 |
$7,799 |
$54.15 |
|
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles |
3/30/90 |
2,006 |
|
$25.40 |
$12,662 |
$135.27 |
WHAT HAPPENS IN VEGAS (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Guardian |
9/29/06 |
3,241 |
|
$18.01 |
$5,556 |
$55.01 |
|
The Butterfly Effect |
1/23/04 |
2,605 |
|
$17.07 |
$6,551 |
$57.65 |
|
Just Married |
1/10/03 |
2,766 |
|
$17.55 |
$6,345 |
$56.13 |
|
The Holiday |
12/8/06 |
2,610 |
|
$12.78 |
$4,896 |
$63.28 |
|
In Her Shoes |
10/7/05 |
2,808 |
|
$10.02 |
$3,568 |
$32.88 |
|
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle |
6/27/03 |
3,459 |
|
$37.63 |
$10,880 |
$100.69 |
|
Charlie's Angels |
11/3/00 |
3,037 |
|
$40.13 |
$13,214 |
$125.31 |
|
The Sweetest Thing |
4/12/02 |
2,670 |
|
$9.43 |
$3,745 |
$24.43 |
|
There's Something About Mary |
7/17/98 |
2,186 |
$4.06 |
$13.74 |
$6,285 |
$176.48 |
|
The Mask |
7/29/94 |
2,360 |
$1.87 |
$23.12 |
$9,797 |
$119.92 |
|
The Break-Up |
6/2/06 |
3,070 |
|
$39.17 |
$12,760 |
$118.81 |
| Failure to Launch |
3/10/06 |
3,057 |
|
$24.41 |
$7,985 |
$88.72 |
|
Indecent Proposal |
4/9/93 |
1,694 |
$6.15 |
$18.39 |
$10,856 |
$106.61 |
|
Honeymoon in Vegas |
8/28/92 |
1,637 |
|
$7.32 |
$4,472 |
$35.22 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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