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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for May 23 - 26, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 5.22.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull |
$128.6 |
N/A |
4,260 |
$30,188 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian |
$35.2 |
-36% |
3,929 |
$8,959 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Iron Man |
$20.6 |
-35% |
3,915 |
$5,262 |
4 |
|
4 |
3 |
What Happens in Vegas |
$9.5 |
-32% |
3,187 |
$2,981 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
Speed Racer |
$5.0 |
-39% |
3,112 |
$1,607 |
3 |
|
6 |
6 |
Baby Mama |
$3.4 |
-27% |
2,152 |
$1,580 |
5 |
|
7 |
5 |
Made of Honor |
$3.1 |
-34% |
2,393 |
$1,295 |
4 |
|
8 |
7 |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$2.2 |
-22% |
1,072 |
$2,052 |
6 |
|
9 |
8 |
Harold & Kumar Escape… |
$1.0 |
-49% |
750 |
$1,333 |
5 |
|
10 |
10 |
The Visitor |
$0.9 |
27% |
270 |
$3,148 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$209.45 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 27% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$5,841 |
|
COMPARISONS:
INDIANA JONES AND THE KINGDOM OF THE
CRYSTAL SKULL (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade |
5/26/89 |
2,327 |
$9.90 |
$37.03 |
$15,913 |
$197.17 |
|
Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom |
5/23/84 |
1,687 |
|
$25.34 |
$15,019 |
$179.87 |
|
Raiders of the Lost Ark |
6/12/81 |
1,078 |
|
$8.31 |
$7,705 |
$245.03 |
|
The Lost World |
5/23/97 |
3,281 |
$2.57 |
$90.16 |
$27,480 |
$229.09 |
|
Jurassic Park |
6/12/93 |
2,404 |
|
$50.16 |
$20,865 |
$356.78 |
|
War of the Worlds |
7/1/05 |
3,908 |
$35.68 |
$77.06 |
$19,719 |
$233.58 |
|
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith |
5/20/05 |
3,661 |
$50.01 |
$108.44 |
$29,619 |
$380.21 |
|
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones |
5/16/02 |
3,161 |
$30.14 |
$80.03 |
$25,317 |
$302.18 |
|
Star Wars: Episode 1 - The Phantom Menace |
5/21/99 |
2,970 |
$41.76 |
$64.81 |
$21,822 |
$431.07 |
|
Firewall |
2/10/06 |
2,840 |
|
$13.64 |
$4,801 |
$48.75 |
|
Hollywood Homicide |
6/13/03 |
2,840 |
|
$11.11 |
$3,914 |
$30.21 |
|
Transformers |
7/2/07 |
4,011 |
$84.90 |
$70.50 |
$17,577 |
$319.25 |
|
Disturbia |
4/13/08 |
2,925 |
|
$22.22 |
$7,598 |
$80.21 |
|
X-Men: The Last Stand |
5/26/06 |
3,690 |
|
$122.86 |
$33,295 |
$234.36 |
|
X2: X-Men United |
5/2/03 |
3,741 |
|
$85.56 |
$22,871 |
$214.95 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End |
5/25/07 |
4,362 |
$13.24 |
$138.80 |
$32,050 |
$309.40 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest |
7/7/06 |
4,133 |
|
$135.62 |
$32,817 |
$423.27 |
|
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines |
7/4/03 |
3,504 |
$28.35 |
$44.04 |
$12,569 |
$150.35 |
|
Terminator 2 |
7/5/91 |
2,274 |
$20.54 |
$31.77 |
$13,971 |
$204.84 |
|
The Day After Tomorrow |
5/28/04 |
3,425 |
|
$85.81 |
$25,053 |
$186.58 |
|
Pearl Harbor |
5/25/01 |
3,214 |
|
$75.18 |
$23,390 |
$198.54 |
|
Live Free or Die Hard |
6/29/07 |
3,408 |
|
$33.37 |
$9,792 |
$134.53 |
POSTAL (Freestyle Releasing)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
In the Name of the King |
1/11/08 |
1,632 |
|
$2.98 |
$599 |
$4.54 |
|
Bloodrayne |
1/6/06 |
986 |
|
$1.55 |
$1,574 |
$2.41 |
|
Alone in the Dark |
1/28/05 |
2,124 |
|
$2.83 |
$1,334 |
$5.13 |
|
House of the Dead |
10/10/03 |
1,520 |
|
$5.68 |
$3,734 |
$10.20 |
|
National Lampoon's Gold Diggers |
9/17/04 |
1,062 |
|
$0.39 |
$369 |
$0.39 |
|
American Dreamz |
4/21/06 |
1,500 |
|
$3.67 |
$2,445 |
$7.31 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas

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