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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for May 2 - 4, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This Week's Analysis
(final update 5.1.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Iron Man |
$83.5 |
N/A |
4,105 |
$20,341 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Made of Honor |
$11.2 |
N/A |
2,729 |
$3,965 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Baby Mama |
$9.9 |
-43% |
2,548 |
$3,945 |
2 |
|
4 |
2 |
Harold & Kumar Escape… |
$7.0 |
-53% |
2,545 |
$2,789 |
2 |
|
5 |
4 |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$6.6 |
-40% |
2,869 |
$2,588 |
3 |
|
6 |
3 |
The Forbidden Kingdom |
$5.5 |
-51% |
2,960 |
$1,964 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Nim's Island |
$2.5 |
-44% |
2,478 |
$881 |
5 |
|
8 |
6 |
Prom Night |
$2.1 |
-55% |
2,434 |
$875 |
4 |
|
9 |
7 |
21 |
$2.0 |
-50% |
2,242 |
$816 |
6 |
|
10 |
8 |
88 Minutes |
$1.6 |
-55% |
1,765 |
$941 |
8 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$131.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 49% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,891 |
|
COMPARISONS:
IRON MAN (Marvel Studios/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Zathura |
11/11/05 |
3,223 |
|
$13.43 |
$4,166 |
$28.05 |
|
Elf |
11/7/03 |
3,337 |
|
$31.11 |
$9,324 |
$172.70 |
|
The Shaggy Dog |
3/10/06 |
3,501 |
|
$16.31 |
$4,659 |
$61.11 |
|
Gothika |
11/21/03 |
2,382 |
|
$19.29 |
$8,097 |
$58.95 |
|
In Dreams |
1/15/99 |
1,670 |
|
$4.09 |
$2,449 |
$11.94 |
|
Chaplin |
1/8/93 |
1,066 |
$0.33 |
$3.26 |
$3,058 |
$9.29 |
|
Hustle & Flow |
7/22/05 |
1,013 |
|
$8.02 |
$7,915 |
$22.18 |
|
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow |
9/17/04 |
3,170 |
|
$15.58 |
$4,915 |
$37.76 |
|
Transformers |
7/2/07 |
4,011 |
$84.90 |
$70.50 |
$17,577 |
$319.25 |
|
Ghost Rider |
2/16/07 |
3,619 |
|
$45.39 |
$12,542 |
$115.80 |
|
Fantastic Four |
7/8/05 |
3,602 |
|
$56.06 |
$15,564 |
$154.70 |
|
The Hulk |
6/20/03 |
3,660 |
|
$62.13 |
$16,975 |
$132.12 |
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
|
$40.31 |
$11,613 |
$102.54 |
|
Spider-Man |
5/3/02 |
3,615 |
|
$114.84 |
$31,769 |
$405.69 |
|
X2: X-Men United |
5/2/03 |
3,741 |
|
$85.56 |
$22,871 |
$214.95 |
|
The X-Men |
7/14/00 |
3,025 |
|
$54.47 |
$18,007 |
$157.30 |
MADE OF HONOR (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Enchanted |
11/21/07 |
3,730 |
$14.62 |
$34.44 |
$9,233 |
$127.71 |
|
Freedom Writers |
1/5/07 |
1,360 |
|
$9.41 |
$6,916 |
$36.61 |
|
Sweet Home Alabama |
9/27/02 |
3,293 |
|
$35.65 |
$10,825 |
$126.87 |
|
Gone, Baby, Gone |
10/19/07 |
1,713 |
|
$5.50 |
$3,212 |
$20.30 |
|
The Heartbreak Kid |
10/5/07 |
3,229 |
|
$14.02 |
$4,343 |
$36.79 |
|
Mission: Impossible 3 |
5/5/06 |
4,054 |
|
$47.74 |
$11,777 |
$133.50 |
|
North Country |
10/21/05 |
2,555 |
|
$6.42 |
$2,514 |
$18.32 |
|
Kiss Kiss Bang Bang |
10/21/05 |
8 |
|
$0.18 |
$22,583 |
$4.24 |
|
27 Dresses |
1/18/08 |
3,057 |
|
$23.01 |
$7,526 |
$76.65 |
|
P.S. I Love You |
12/21/07 |
2,454 |
|
$6.48 |
$2,641 |
$53.68 |
|
The Wedding Date |
2/4/05 |
1,695 |
|
$11.13 |
$6,566 |
$31.59 |
|
The Wedding Planner |
1/26/01 |
2,785 |
|
$13.51 |
$4,851 |
$60.40 |
|
My Best Friend's Wedding |
6/20/97 |
2,134 |
|
$21.68 |
$10,159 |
$126.81 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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