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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for May 16 - 18, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 5.15.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian |
$84.2 |
N/A |
3,929 |
$21,430 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Iron Man |
$27.8 |
-46% |
4,154 |
$6,692 |
3 |
|
3 |
2 |
What Happens in Vegas |
$11.5 |
-44% |
3,255 |
$3,533 |
2 |
|
4 |
3 |
Speed Racer |
$9.1 |
-52% |
3,606 |
$2,524 |
2 |
|
5 |
4 |
Made of Honor |
$4.6 |
-44% |
2,816 |
$1,634 |
3 |
|
6 |
5 |
Baby Mama |
$3.8 |
-40% |
2,500 |
$1,520 |
4 |
|
7 |
6 |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$2.0 |
-38% |
1,604 |
$1,247 |
5 |
|
8 |
7 |
Harold & Kumar Escape… |
$1.5 |
-62% |
1,403 |
$1,069 |
4 |
|
9 |
8 |
The Forbidden Kingdom |
$0.9 |
-54% |
997 |
$1,003 |
5 |
|
10 |
10 |
Nim's Island |
$0.7 |
-51% |
894 |
$783 |
7 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$146.20 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 47% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,141 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: PRINCE CASPIAN (Walt Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe |
12/9/05 |
3,616 |
|
$65.56 |
$18,130 |
$291.17 |
|
Shrek the Third |
5/18/07 |
4,122 |
$0.91 |
$121.63 |
$29,507 |
$320.71 |
|
Shrek 2 |
5/21/04 |
4,163 |
$20.95 |
$108.04 |
$25,952 |
$436.47 |
|
Shrek |
5/18/01 |
3,587 |
$0.04 |
$42.35 |
$11,805 |
$267.65 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King |
12/19/03 |
3,703 |
$51.47 |
$72.62 |
$19,614 |
$377.03 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers |
12/20/02 |
3,622 |
$40.04 |
$61.50 |
$16,980 |
$340.48 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Rings |
12/21/01 |
3,359 |
$27.91 |
$47.21 |
$14,055 |
$313.39 |
|
The Spiderwick Chronicles |
2/14/08 |
3,847 |
$2.38 |
$19.00 |
$4,940 |
$71.15 |
|
The Golden Compass |
12/7/07 |
3,528 |
|
$25.78 |
$7,308 |
$69.25 |
|
Stardust |
8/10/07 |
2,540 |
|
$9.17 |
$3,610 |
$38.63 |
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
|
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$75.03 |
|
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith |
5/20/05 |
3,661 |
$50.01 |
$108.44 |
$29,619 |
$380.21 |
|
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones |
5/16/02 |
3,161 |
$30.14 |
$80.03 |
$25,317 |
$302.18 |
|
Star Wars: Episode 1 - The Phantom Menace |
5/21/99 |
2,970 |
$41.76 |
$64.81 |
$21,822 |
$431.07 |
|
The Matrix Reloaded |
5/16/03 |
3,603 |
$42.51 |
$91.77 |
$25,471 |
$281.91 |
|
The Da Vinci Code |
5/19/06 |
3,735 |
|
$77.07 |
$20,635 |
$217.54 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas

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