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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for March 28 - 30, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 3.27.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
21 |
$21.8 |
N/A |
2,648 |
$8,233 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
$16.5 |
-34% |
3,826 |
$4,300 |
3 |
|
3 |
New |
Superhero Movie |
$15.3 |
N/A |
2,960 |
$5,169 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns |
$10.4 |
-48% |
2,016 |
$5,159 |
2 |
|
5 |
4 |
Drillbit Taylor |
$5.7 |
-45% |
3,061 |
$1,862 |
2 |
|
6 |
5 |
10,000 B.C. |
$4.7 |
-489% |
3,055 |
$1,538 |
4 |
|
7 |
3 |
Shutter |
$4.5 |
-57% |
2,756 |
$1,633 |
2 |
|
8 |
New |
Stop-Loss |
$4.3 |
N/A |
1,291 |
$3,331 |
1 |
|
9 |
New |
Run Fatboy Run |
$3.6 |
N/A |
1,131 |
$3,183 |
1 |
|
10 |
8 |
The Bank Job |
$3.0 |
-29% |
1,605 |
$1,869 |
4 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$89.75 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 43% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,628 |
|
COMPARISONS:
21 (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Across the Universe |
9/14/07 |
276 |
$0.95 |
$1.95 |
$7,068 |
$24.34 |
|
Superman Returns |
6/28/06 |
4,065 |
|
$52.54 |
$12,924 |
$200.08 |
|
The Life of David Gale |
2/21/03 |
2,002 |
|
$7.12 |
$3,555 |
$19.69 |
|
K-Pax |
10/26/01 |
2,541 |
|
$17.22 |
$6,774 |
$50.32 |
|
Pay it Forward |
10/20/00 |
2,130 |
|
$9.63 |
$4,521 |
$33.51 |
|
Win a Date with Tad Hamilton! |
1/23/04 |
2,711 |
|
$7.32 |
$2,700 |
$16.96 |
|
Blue Crush |
8/16/02 |
3,002 |
|
$14.17 |
$4,720 |
$40.12 |
|
Lucky You |
5/4/07 |
2,525 |
|
$2.71 |
$1,073 |
$5.76 |
|
Boiler Room |
2/18/00 |
1,335 |
|
$5.74 |
$4,300 |
$16.84 |
|
Rounders |
9/11/98 |
2,176 |
|
$8.46 |
$3,888 |
$22.88 |
|
Ocean's 11 |
12/7/01 |
3,075 |
|
$38.11 |
$12,393 |
$183.13 |
SUPERHERO MOVIE (Dimension Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Scary Movie 4 |
4/14/06 |
3,602 |
|
$40.22 |
$11,167 |
$90.71 |
|
Scary Movie 3 |
10/25/03 |
3,505 |
|
$48.11 |
$13,727 |
$109.94 |
|
Scary Movie 2 |
7/6/01 |
3,220 |
$13.51 |
$20.50 |
$6,367 |
$71.28 |
|
Scary Movie |
7/7/00 |
2,912 |
|
$42.35 |
$14,543 |
$157.00 |
|
Meet the Spartans |
1/25/08 |
2,605 |
|
$18.51 |
$7,104 |
$38.01 |
|
Epic Movie |
1/26/07 |
2,801 |
|
$18.61 |
$6,645 |
$39.74 |
|
Date Movie |
2/17/06 |
2,896 |
|
$19.08 |
$6,587 |
$48.55 |
|
Naked Gun 33-1/3: The Final Insult |
3/18/94 |
2,361 |
|
$13.22 |
$5,599 |
$51.04 |
|
Naked Gun 2 1/2:The Smell of Fear |
6/28/91 |
2,378 |
|
$20.82 |
$8,755 |
$86.75 |
STOP-LOSS (Paramount/MTV Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Breach |
2/16/07 |
1,489 |
|
$10.50 |
$7,055 |
$33.00 |
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
|
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
Flags of our Fathers |
10/20/06 |
1,876 |
|
$10.25 |
$5,461 |
$33.60 |
|
Anti-Trust |
1/12/01 |
2,432 |
|
$4.78 |
$1,965 |
$10.97 |
|
Step Up |
8/11/06 |
2,467 |
|
$20.66 |
$8,374 |
$65.33 |
|
Lions for Lambs |
11/9/07 |
2,215 |
|
$6.70 |
$3,026 |
$15.00 |
|
Rendition |
10/19/07 |
2,250 |
|
$4.06 |
$1,804 |
$9.66 |
RUN FATBOY RUN (Picturehouse)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hot Fuzz |
4/20/07 |
825 |
|
$5.85 |
$7,089 |
$23.62 |
|
Shaun of the Dead |
9/24/04 |
607 |
|
$3.33 |
$5,487 |
$13.46 |
|
Norbit |
2/9/07 |
3136 |
|
$34.20 |
$10,904 |
$95.67 |
|
The Pursuit of Happyness |
12/15/06 |
2,852 |
|
$26.54 |
$9,306 |
$162.59 |
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
|
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
The Truth About Charlie |
10/25/02 |
753 |
|
$2.27 |
$3,015 |
$5.29 |
|
Beloved |
10/16/98 |
1,501 |
|
$8.17 |
$5,443 |
$22.84 |
|
I Think I Love My Wife |
3/16/07 |
1,776 |
|
$5.67 |
$3,195 |
$12.56 |
|
Death at a Funeral |
8/17/07 |
260 |
|
$1.28 |
$4,935 |
$8.58 |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
|
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
Four Weddings and a Funeral |
4/15/94 |
721 |
$9.88 |
$4.16 |
$5,770 |
$52.72 |
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
|
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
| About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
|
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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