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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for March 21 - 23, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 3.20.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
$30.2 |
-33% |
3,961 |
$7,638 |
2 |
|
2 |
New |
Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns |
$23.2 |
N/A |
2,006 |
$11,238 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
Drillbit Taylor |
$12.3 |
N/A |
3,056 |
$4,025 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
10,000 B.C. |
$8.7 |
-48% |
3,454 |
$2,519 |
3 |
|
5 |
New |
Shutter |
$8.1 |
N/A |
2,753 |
$2,942 |
1 |
|
6 |
4 |
College Road Trip |
$5.0 |
-36% |
2,575 |
$1,942 |
3 |
|
7 |
3 |
Never Back Down |
$4.1 |
-52% |
2,729 |
$1,502 |
2 |
|
8 |
6 |
The Bank Job |
$3.5 |
-30% |
1,613 |
$2,170 |
3 |
|
9 |
5 |
Vantage Point |
$3.3 |
-40% |
2,124 |
$1,554 |
5 |
|
10 |
7 |
Doomsday |
$2.5 |
-49% |
1,936 |
$1,291 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$100.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 41% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,376 |
|
COMPARISONS:
TYLER PERRY’S
MEET THE BROWNS (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married? |
10/12/07 |
2,011 |
|
$21.35 |
$10,618 |
$55.20 |
|
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls |
2/14/07 |
2,111 |
$5.70 |
$11.20 |
$5,311 |
$31.37 |
|
Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion |
2/24/06 |
2,194 |
|
$30.03 |
$13,688 |
$63.26 |
|
Diary of a Mad Black Woman |
2/25/05 |
1,483 |
|
$21.91 |
$14,771 |
$50.38 |
|
Guess Who |
3/25/05 |
3,147 |
|
$20.67 |
$6,569 |
$67.96 |
|
Are We Done Yet? |
4/4/07 |
2,877 |
4.25 |
$14.26 |
$4,957 |
$49.63 |
|
How Stella Got Her Groove Back |
8/14/98 |
1,395 |
|
$11.32 |
$8,115 |
$37.65 |
|
Waiting to Exhale |
12/22/95 |
1,253 |
|
$14.13 |
$11,277 |
$67.01 |
DRILLBIT TAYLOR (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Darjeeling Limited |
11/29/07 |
699 |
$4.37 |
$1.76 |
$2,520 |
$11.90 |
|
You, Me and Dupree |
7/14/06 |
3,131 |
|
$21.53 |
$6,875 |
$75.80 |
|
Wedding Crashers |
7/15/05 |
2,925 |
|
$33.90 |
$11,590 |
$209.22 |
|
Starsky and Hutch |
3/5/04 |
3,185 |
|
$28.10 |
$8,824 |
$88.20 |
|
The Big Bounce |
1/30/04 |
2,304 |
|
$3.34 |
$1,448 |
$6.47 |
|
Shanghai Knights |
2/7/03 |
2,753 |
|
$19.60 |
$7,121 |
$60.47 |
|
Shanghai Noon |
5/26/00 |
2,711 |
|
$15.61 |
$5,758 |
$56.90 |
|
Walk Hard |
12/21/07 |
2,650 |
|
$4.17 |
$1,575 |
$18.32 |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
|
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
The Darjeeling Limited |
11/29/07 |
699 |
$4.37 |
$1.76 |
$2,520 |
$11.90 |
| Without a Paddle |
8/20/04 |
2,730 |
|
$13.53 |
$4,956 |
$58.16 |
| Little Nicky |
11/10/00 |
2,910 |
|
$16.06 |
$5,519 |
$39.44 |
SHUTTER (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Eye |
2/1/08 |
2,436 |
$12.43 |
$5,101 |
$30.65 |
|
One Missed Call |
1/4/08 |
2,240 |
$12.51 |
$5,585 |
$26.88 |
|
Pulse |
8/11/06 |
2,323 |
$8.20 |
$3,532 |
$20.26 |
|
White Noise |
1/7/05 |
2,261 |
$24.11 |
$10,665 |
$55.87 |
|
The Grudge 2 |
10/13/06 |
3,211 |
$20.83 |
$6,486 |
$39.14 |
|
The Grudge |
10/22/04 |
3,245 |
$39.13 |
$12,058 |
$110.18 |
|
Dark Water |
7/8/05 |
2,657 |
$9.94 |
$3,741 |
$25.46 |
|
The Ring Two |
3/18/05 |
3,332 |
$35.07 |
$10,524 |
$75.89 |
|
The Ring |
10/18/02 |
1,981 |
$15.02 |
$7,580 |
$128.29 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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