The Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 14 - 16, 2008
By Edward Douglas -

Check out the Weekend Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (Updated 3.13.07)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who

$48.3

N/A

3,954

$12,215

1

2

1

10,000 B.C.

$14.2

-61%

3,410

$4,164

2

3

2

College Road Trip

$7.9

-42%

2,706

$2,919

2

4

New

Never Back Down

$7.4

N/A

2,729

$2,712

1

5

New

Doomsday

$5.9

N/A

1,936

$3,048

1

6

3

Vantage Point

$4.2

-43%

2,761

$1,521

4

7

5

The Bank Job

$3.5

-42%

1,613

$2,170

2

8

4

Semi-Pro

$2.8

-53%

2,270

$1,233

3

9

6

The Spiderwick Chronicles

$2.4

-47%

2,407

$997

5

10

7

The Other Boleyn Girl

$2.3

-43%

1,212

$1,898

3

Est. Weekend Total
$98.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 47%

Est. Average PTA
$2,989



COMPARISONS:

DR. SEUSS’ HORTON HEARS A WHO (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat

11/21/03

3,464

$38.33

$11,065

$100.45

Dr. Seuss' How The Grinch Stole Christmas

11/17/00

3,127

$55.08

$17,614

$260.03

Evan Almighty

6/22/07

2,604

$31.19

$8,655

$100.29

Over the Hedge

5/19/06

4,059

$38.46

$9,475

$155.02

Bruce Almighty

5/23/03

3,483

$85.73

$24,614

$242.60

Robots

3/11/05

3,776

$36.05

$9,546

$128.19

Ice Age: the Meltdown

3/31/06

3,964

$68.03

$17,163

$195.33

Ice Age

3/15/02

3,316

$46.30

$13,966

$176.39

Bee Movie

11/2/07

3,928

$38.02

$9,679

$126.63

The Ant Bully

7/28/06

3,050

$8.43

$2,765

$28.13

Arthur and the Invisibles

1/12/07

2,247

$4.29

$1,911

$15.13



DOOMSDAY (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Descent

8/4/06

2,095

$8.91

$4,254

$26.02

Dead Silence

3/16/07

1,805

$7.84

$4,345

$16.57

Slither

3/31/06

1,945

$3.88

$1,995

$7.80

28 Weeks Later

5/11/07

2,303

$9.81

$4,258

$28.64

28 Days Later

6/27/03

1,260

$10.06

$7,985

$45.06

Skinwalkers

8/10/07

745

$0.75

$1,011

$1.02

The Last Legion

8/17/07

$2.75

$1,372

$5.93

The Nativity Story

10/1/06

3,083

$7.85

$2,546

$37.63

Syriana

11/25/05

1,752

$1.49

$11.74

$6,699

$50.82



NEVER BACK DOWN (Summit Entertainment)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Redline

4/13/07

1,607

$3.96

$2,466

$6.88

The Fast and the Furious

6/22/01

2,628

$40.09

$15,255

$144.51

Blood Diamond

12/8/06

1,910

$8.65

$4,528

$57.38

The Island

7/22/05

3,122

$12.41

$3,975

$35.26

Constantine

2/18/05

3,006

$33.62

$11,186

$75.50

In America

11/28/03

11

$0.21

$18,658

$10.05

Cry Wolf

9/16/05

1,789

$4.43

$2,475

$9.54

Redline

8/13/07

1,607

$3.96

$2,466

$6.88


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas


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