The Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 6 - 8, 2008
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.5.08)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Kung Fu Panda

$52.4

N/A

4,114

$12,737

1

2

New

You Don't Mess with the Zohan

$38.7

N/A

3,462

$11,179

1

3

1

Sex and the City

$25.5

-55%

3,325

$7,609

2

4

2

Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

$22.5

-50%

4,190

$5,370

3

5

3

The Strangers

$10.7

-49%

2,477

$4,320

2

6

4

Iron Man

$7.9

-42%

2,931

$2,661

6

7

5

Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

$6.5

-48%

3,065

$2,121

4

8

6

What Happens in Vegas

$3.7

-45%

2,366

$1,564

5

9

7

Baby Mama

$1.0

-50%

921

$1,086

7

10

9

Speed Racer

$0.85

-57%

855

$994

5

Est. Weekend Total
$ 169.75

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 50%

Est. Average PTA
$4,973



COMPARISONS:

KUNG FU PANDA (DreamWorks)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Nacho Libre

6/16/06

3,070

$28.31

$9,221

$80.16

The School of Rock

10/3/03

2,614

$19.62

$7,507

$81.05

Shark Tale

10/1/04

4,016

$47.60

$11,854

$160.76

Ice Age

3/15/02

3,316

$46.30

$13,966

$176.39

Bee Movie

11/2/07

3,928

$38.02

$9,679

$126.60

Open Season

9/29/06

3,833

$23.62

$6,163

$84.30

Over the Hedge

5/19/06

4,059

$38.46

$9,475

$155.02

Madagascar

5/27/05

4,131

$47.22

$11,432

$193.14

Robots

3/11/05

3,776

$36.05

$9,546

$128.19

Shrek

5/18/01

3,587

$42.35

$11,805

$267.65

The Wild

4/14/06

2,854

$9.68

$3,393

$37.37

Cars

6/9/06

3,985

$60.12

$15,086

$244.08

Finding Nemo

5/30/03

3,374

$70.25

$20,821

$339.71



YOU DON'T MESS WITH THE ZOHAN (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry

7/20/07

3,495

$34.23

$9,795

$119.68

Click

6/23/06

3,749

$40.01

$10,673

$137.35

The Longest Yard

5/27/05

3,634

$47.61

$13,100

$158.12

50 First Dates

2/13/04

3,591

$39.58

$11,098

$120.78

Anger Management

4/11/03

3,551

$42.22

$11,890

$133.76

Mr. Deeds

6/28/02

3,231

$37.16

$11,501

$126.02

Little Nicky

11/10/00

2,910

$16.06

$5,519

$39.44

Big Daddy

6/25/99

3,027

$41.54

$13,723

$163.48

The Waterboy

11/6/98

2,664

$39.41

$14,794

$161.49

The Wedding Singer

2/13/98

2,821

$19.10

$6,771

$80.25


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas


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