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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for June 13 - 15,
2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 6.12.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Incredible Hulk |
$55.7 |
N/A |
3,505 |
$15,892 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Kung Fu Panda |
$36.5 |
-39% |
4,136 |
$8,752 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
The Happening |
$25.8 |
N/A |
2,987 |
$8,637 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
You Don't Mess with the Zohan |
$19.0 |
-51% |
3,466 |
$5,482 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull |
$11.6 |
-49% |
3,804 |
$3,049 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Sex and the City |
$10.5 |
-51% |
3,155 |
$3,328 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
The Strangers |
$4.3 |
-52% |
2,408 |
$1,786 |
3 |
|
8 |
6 |
Iron Man |
$4.1 |
-46% |
2,403 |
$1,706 |
7 |
|
9 |
7 |
Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian |
$3.0 |
-47% |
2,308 |
$1,300 |
5 |
|
10 |
8 |
What Happens in Vegas |
$1.9 |
-45% |
1,422 |
$1,336 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$172.10 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 48% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$5,127 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE INCREDIBLE HULK (Marvel Studios
/ Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Illusionist |
8/18/06 |
971 |
$4.06 |
$6.31 |
$6,495 |
$39.87 |
|
The Italian Job |
5/30/03 |
2,633 |
|
$19.46 |
$7,390 |
$105.63 |
|
Red Dragon |
10/4/02 |
3,357 |
|
$36.54 |
$10,885 |
$93.10 |
|
The Score |
7/13/01 |
2,129 |
|
$19.02 |
$8,933 |
$71.07 |
|
Fight Club |
10/15/99 |
1,963 |
|
$11.04 |
$5,624 |
$37.02 |
|
American History X |
11/20/98 |
512 |
$0.89 |
$1.34 |
$2,617 |
$6.71 |
|
Primal Fear |
4/5/96 |
1,983 |
$2.02 |
$9.87 |
$4,977 |
$56.07 |
|
The Transporter 2 |
9/2/05 |
3,303 |
|
$20.10 |
$6,087 |
$43.10 |
|
Unleashed |
5/13/05 |
1,957 |
|
$10.90 |
$5,570 |
$24.52 |
|
Iron Man |
5/2/08 |
4,105 |
$3.50 |
$98.62 |
$24,877 |
$281.37 |
|
Hulk |
6/20/03 |
3,660 |
|
$62.13 |
$16,975 |
$132.12 |
|
Ghost Rider |
2/16/07 |
3,619 |
|
$45.39 |
$12,542 |
$115.80 |
|
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer |
6/15/07 |
3,957 |
|
$58.05 |
$14,670 |
$131.92 |
|
Fantastic Four |
7/8/05 |
3,602 |
|
$56.06 |
$15,564 |
$154.70 |
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
|
$40.31 |
$11,613 |
$102.54 |
|
Spider-Man 2 |
7/2/04 |
4,152 |
$64.26 |
$88.52 |
$21,232 |
$371.17 |
|
Spider-Man |
5/3/02 |
3,615 |
|
$114.84 |
$31,769 |
$405.69 |
|
X2: X-Men United |
5/2/03 |
3,741 |
|
$85.56 |
$22,871 |
$214.95 |
|
The X-Men |
7/14/00 |
3,025 |
|
$54.47 |
$18,007 |
$157.30 |
|
Batman Begins |
6/17/05 |
3,858 |
$24.15 |
$48.75 |
$12,635 |
$205.09 |
|
Batman and Robin |
6/20/97 |
2,934 |
|
$42.87 |
$14,611 |
$107.33 |
THE HAPPENING (20th Century
Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Lady in the Water |
7/21/06 |
3,235 |
|
$18.04 |
$5,578 |
$42.29 |
|
The Village |
7/30/04 |
3,730 |
|
$50.75 |
$13,605 |
$113.03 |
|
Signs |
8/2/02 |
3,264 |
|
$60.12 |
$18,418 |
$225.77 |
|
Unbreakable |
11/22/00 |
2,708 |
$15.90 |
$30.33 |
$11,202 |
$94.92 |
|
The Sixth Sense |
8/6/99 |
2,161 |
|
$26.68 |
$12,346 |
$293.50 |
|
Shooter |
3/23/07 |
2,806 |
|
$14.52 |
$5,176 |
$46.98 |
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
|
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
Invincible |
8/25/06 |
2,917 |
|
$17.03 |
$5,839 |
$57.81 |
|
Four Brothers |
8/12/05 |
2,533 |
|
$21.18 |
$8,360 |
$73.62 |
|
Planet of the Apes |
7/27/01 |
3,500 |
|
$68.53 |
$19,581 |
$180.01 |
|
The Mist |
11/23/07 |
2,423 |
$3.93 |
$8.93 |
$3,686 |
$25.59 |
|
The Omen |
6/6/06 |
2,723 |
$13.30 |
$16.03 |
$5,886 |
$54.60 |
|
28 Weeks Later |
5/11/07 |
2,303 |
|
$9.81 |
$4,258 |
$28.64 |
|
28 Days Later |
6/27/03 |
1,260 |
|
$10.06 |
$7,985 |
$45.06 |
|
The Day After Tomorrow |
5/28/04 |
3,425 |
|
$68.74 |
$20,071 |
$186.58 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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