The Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 25 - 27, 2008
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

The Dark Knight

$74.5

-53%

4,366

$17,064

2

2

New

Step Brothers

$28.4

N/A

2,930

$9,693

1

3

New

The X-Files

$23.2

N/A

3,260

$7,117

1

4

2

Mamma Mia!

$15.5

-44%

3,030

$5,116

2

5

4

Journey to the Center of the Earth

$7.5

-39%

2,820

$2,660

3

6

3

Hancock

$7.4

-47%

3,700

$2,000

4

7

6

Wall*E

$6.0

-40%

3,300

$1,818

5

8

5

Hellboy II: The Golden Army

$5.2

-49%

3,210

$1,620

3

9

7

Space Chimps

$4.4

-38%

2,450

$1,796

2

10

8

Wanted

$2.5

-50%

2,650

$943

5

Est. Weekend Total
$174.60

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45%

Est. Average PTA
$4,983



COMPARISONS:

THE X-FILES (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The X Files: Fight the Future

6/19/98

2,629

$30.14

$11,464

$83.89

The Simpsons Movie

7/27/07

3,922

$74.04

$18,877

$182.71

Serenity

9/30/05

2,188

$10.09

$4,610

$24.18

Twin Peaks: Fire Walk with Me

8/28/92

691

$1.81

$2,619

$4.16

Sex and the City

5/30/08

3,285

$56.85

$17,305

$149.15

Trust the Man

8/18/06

38

$0.18

$4,744

$1.53

Evolution

6/8/01

2,611

$13.41

$5,135

$38.31

Playing God

10/17/97

1,479

$1.94

$1,312

$4.06

Lady in the Water

7/21/06

3,235

$18.04

$5,578

$42.29



STEP BROTHERS (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Semi-Pro

2/29/08

3,121

$15.08

$4,830

$33.47

Blades of Glory

3/30/07

3,372

$33.01

$9,791

$118.25

Talladega Nights

8/4/06

3,803

$47.04

$12,370

$148.21

Bewitched

6/24/05

3,174

$20.13

$6,343

$62.25

Kicking & Screaming

5/13/05

3,455

$20.16

$5,835

$52.58

Anchorman

7/9/04

3,091

$28.42

$9,193

$84.14

Elf

11/7/03

3,337

$31.11

$9,324

$172.70

Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

12/21/07

2,650

$4.17

$1,575

$18.32

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

The 40-Year-Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas


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