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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for July 18 - 20,
2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 7.17.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Dark Knight |
$129.7 |
N/A |
4,366 |
$29,707 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Mamma Mia! |
$25.6 |
N/A |
2,976 |
$8,602 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Hancock |
$14.5 |
-54% |
3,776 |
$3,840 |
3 |
|
4 |
1 |
Hellboy II: The Golden Army |
$14.3 |
-59% |
3,212 |
$4,452 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
Journey to the Center of the Earth |
$10.8 |
-48% |
2,830 |
$3,816 |
2 |
|
6 |
4 |
Wall*E |
$10.1 |
-46% |
3,300 |
$3,051 |
4 |
|
7 |
New |
Space Chimps |
$6.7 |
N/A |
2,450 |
$2,668 |
1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Wanted |
$5.5 |
-53% |
2,650 |
$2,258 |
4 |
|
9 |
6 |
Get Smart |
$3.7 |
-48% |
2,650 |
$1,733 |
2 |
|
10 |
7 |
Meet Dave |
$2.2 |
-57% |
3,011 |
$731 |
7 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$223.10 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 52% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$6,086 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE DARK KNIGHT (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Batman Begins |
6/17/05 |
3,858 |
$24.15 |
$48.75 |
$12,635 |
$205.09 |
|
Batman and Robin |
6/20/97 |
2,934 |
|
$42.87 |
$14,611 |
$107.33 |
|
Batman Forever |
6/16/95 |
2,842 |
|
$52.78 |
$18,571 |
$184.03 |
|
Batman Returns |
6/19/92 |
2,644 |
|
$47.72 |
$18,048 |
$162.83 |
|
Batman |
6/23/89 |
2,194 |
|
$42.71 |
$19,467 |
$251.19 |
|
The Prestige |
10/20/06 |
2,281 |
|
$14.80 |
$6,489 |
$53.09 |
|
Insomnia |
5/24/02 |
2,610 |
|
$20.93 |
$9,988 |
$67.26 |
|
Memento |
5/11/01 |
445 |
$8.98 |
$1.22 |
$2,733 |
$25.93 |
|
3:10 to Yuma |
9/7/07 |
2,652 |
|
$14.04 |
$5,292 |
$53.61 |
|
Rescue Dawn |
7/6/07 |
500 |
$1.30 |
$1.65 |
$3,301 |
$5.49 |
|
Reign of Fire |
7/12/02 |
2,629 |
|
$15.63 |
$5,946 |
$43.06 |
|
Brokeback Mountain |
12/9/05 |
217 |
$4.94 |
$1.91 |
$8,803 |
$82.86 |
|
Lords of Dogtown |
6/3/05 |
1,865 |
|
$5.62 |
$3,015 |
$11.01 |
|
The Order |
9/5/03 |
1,975 |
|
$4.44 |
$2,248 |
$7.66 |
|
A Knight's Tale |
5/11/01 |
2,980 |
|
$16.51 |
$5,541 |
$56.08 |
|
The Patriot |
6/30/00 |
3,061 |
$9.32 |
$22.41 |
$7,321 |
$113.30 |
|
Thank You For Smoking |
4/14/06 |
1,015 |
$7.05 |
$4.49 |
$4,425 |
$24.79 |
|
World Trade Center |
8/11/06 |
2,957 |
|
$18.73 |
$6,334 |
$70.28 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest |
7/7/06 |
4,133 |
|
$135.62 |
$32,817 |
$423.27 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl |
7/11/03 |
3,269 |
$24.00 |
$46.63 |
$14,264 |
$305.41 |
MAMMA MIA! (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Lions for Lambs |
11/9/07 |
2,215 |
|
$6.70 |
$3,026 |
$15.00 |
|
The Devil Wears Prada |
6/30/06 |
2,847 |
|
$27.54 |
$9,672 |
$124.74 |
|
A Prairie Home Companion |
6/9/06 |
760 |
|
$4.57 |
$6,008 |
$20.34 |
|
Prime |
10/28/05 |
1,827 |
|
$6.22 |
$3,405 |
$22.73 |
|
The Manchurian Candidate |
7/30/04 |
2,867 |
|
$20.02 |
$6,982 |
$64.82 |
|
The Hours |
1/17/03 |
402 |
$3.78 |
$4.64 |
$11,555 |
$41.60 |
|
After the Sunset |
11/12/04 |
2,819 |
|
$11.10 |
$3,938 |
$28.33 |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
|
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason |
11/12/04 |
530 |
|
$8.68 |
$16,385 |
$40.20 |
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
|
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
|
Hairspray |
7/20/07 |
3,121 |
|
$27.48 |
$8,804 |
$118.82 |
|
Dreamgirls |
12/29/06 |
852 |
$22.96 |
$14.10 |
$16,549 |
$103.34 |
|
The Producers |
12/16/05 |
6 |
|
$0.15 |
$25,765 |
$19.38 |
|
Rent |
11/25/05 |
2,433 |
$7.12 |
$10.02 |
$4,117 |
$29.08 |
|
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera |
12/24/04 |
622 |
$2.32 |
$4.00 |
$6,434 |
$49.44 |
|
Chicago |
2/7/03 |
1,841 |
$53.02 |
$10.79 |
$5,859 |
$170.68 |
|
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
8/2/02 |
657 |
$37.17 |
$3.00 |
$4,569 |
$185.24 |
SPACE CHIMPS (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Happily N'Ever After |
1/5/07 |
2,381 |
$6.61 |
$2,775 |
$15.85 |
|
Valiant |
8/19/05 |
2,014 |
$5.91 |
$2,937 |
$19.12 |
|
Barnyard: Original Party Animals |
8/4/06 |
3,311 |
$15.82 |
$4,778 |
$72.78 |
|
The Wild |
4/14/06 |
2,854 |
$9.68 |
$3,393 |
$37.37 |
|
Hoodwinked |
1/13/06 |
2,394 |
$12.40 |
$5,180 |
$51.22 |
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
$61.01 |
$14,769 |
$193.14 |
|
Ice Age |
3/15/02 |
3,316 |
$46.30 |
$13,966 |
$176.39 |
|
Racing Stripes |
1/14/05 |
3,185 |
$18.86 |
$5,922 |
$49.19 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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