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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for February 29 - March
2, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final update
2.28.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog
at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Semi-Pro |
$31.1 |
N/A |
3,121 |
$9,965 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Vantage Point |
$13.0 |
-44% |
3,150 |
$4,127 |
2 |
|
3 |
3 |
The Spiderwick Chronicles |
$8.9 |
-32% |
3,654 |
$2,436 |
3 |
|
4 |
2 |
Jumper |
$6.5 |
-49% |
3,128 |
$2,078 |
3 |
|
5 |
New |
The Other Boleyn Girl |
$5.6 |
N/A |
1,166 |
$4,803 |
1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Step Up 2 The Streets |
$5.2 |
-46% |
2,528 |
$2,057 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Juno |
$3.8 |
-11% |
1,631 |
$2,330 |
13 |
|
8 |
5 |
Fool's Gold |
$3.7 |
-44% |
2,845 |
$1,301 |
4 |
|
9 |
New |
Penelope |
$3.3 |
N/A |
1,196 |
$2,759 |
1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Definitely, Maybe |
$3.0 |
-39% |
2,187 |
$1,372 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$84.10 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 38% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,021 |
|
COMPARISONS:
SEMI-PRO (New Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Blades of Glory |
3/30/07 |
3,372 |
$33.01 |
$9,791 |
$118.25 |
|
Talladega Nights |
8/4/06 |
3,803 |
$47.04 |
$12,370 |
$148.21 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
|
Old School |
2/21/03 |
2,689 |
$17.45 |
$6,491 |
$75.16 |
|
Walk Hard |
12/21/07 |
2,650 |
$4.17 |
$1,575 |
$18.32 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
Wedding Crashers |
7/15/05 |
2,925 |
$33.90 |
$11,590 |
$209.22 |
|
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story |
6/18/04 |
2,694 |
$30.07 |
$11,162 |
$114.06 |
|
The Longest Yard |
5/27/05 |
3,634 |
$47.61 |
$16,129 |
$158.12 |
|
The Waterboy |
11/6/98 |
2,664 |
$39.41 |
$14,794 |
$161.49 |
THE OTHER BOLEYN GIRL (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mr. Magorium's Wonder Emporium |
11/16/07 |
3,164 |
|
$9.63 |
$3,044 |
$32.02 |
|
V for Vendetta |
3/17/06 |
3,365 |
|
$25.65 |
$7,620 |
$70.51 |
|
Closer |
12/3/04 |
476 |
|
$7.71 |
$16,193 |
$33.99 |
|
The Nanny Diaries |
8/24/07 |
2,629 |
|
$7.48 |
$2,846 |
$25.93 |
|
The Prestige |
10/20/06 |
2,281 |
|
$14.80 |
$6,489 |
$53.09 |
|
Match Point |
12/30/05 |
304 |
$0.91 |
$2.71 |
$8,912 |
$23.09 |
|
The Island |
7/22/05 |
3,122 |
|
$12.41 |
$3,975 |
$35.26 |
|
In Good Company |
12/31/04 |
1,566 |
$0.49 |
$14.28 |
$9,125 |
$45.32 |
|
Elizabeth: the Golden Age |
10/23/07 |
2,001 |
|
$6.15 |
$3,075 |
$16.29 |
|
Elizabeth |
11/25/98 |
516 |
$3.57 |
$3.39 |
$6,570 |
$30.01 |
|
The Queen |
9/29/06 |
653 |
$18.39 |
$2.58 |
$3,962 |
$56.44 |
|
Marie Antoinette |
10/20/06 |
859 |
|
$5.36 |
$6,241 |
$15.96 |
|
Memoirs of a Geisha |
12/9/05 |
1,547 |
$3.34 |
$6.75 |
$4,364 |
$56.48 |
PENELOPE (Summit)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Black Snake Moan |
3/2/07 |
1,252 |
|
$4.41 |
$3,309 |
$9.40 |
|
Cursed |
2/25/05 |
2,805 |
|
$9.63 |
$3,434 |
$19.29 |
|
Anything Else |
9/19/03 |
1,033 |
|
$1.67 |
$1,620 |
$3.20 |
|
Sleepy Hollow |
11/19/99 |
3,062 |
|
$30.06 |
$9,817 |
$101.07 |
|
Addams Family Values |
11/19/93 |
2,577 |
|
$14.12 |
$5,479 |
$46.29 |
|
The Addams Family |
11/22/91 |
2,411 |
|
$24.20 |
$10,037 |
$113.50 |
|
Atonement |
12/7/07 |
950 |
$20.91 |
$4.22 |
$4,444 |
$47.45 |
|
The Last King of Scotland |
9/29/06 |
495 |
$3.73 |
$1.61 |
$3,252 |
$17.61 |
|
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe |
12/9/05 |
3,616 |
|
$65.56 |
$18,130 |
$291.17 |
|
Just Like Heaven |
9/16/05 |
3,508 |
|
$16.41 |
$4,678 |
$43.62 |
|
Vanity Fair |
9/3/04 |
1,051 |
$1.14 |
$6.27 |
$5,465 |
$16.12 |
|
Legally Blonde 2: Red, White & Blonde |
7/4/03 |
3,350 |
$16.29 |
$22.22 |
$6,655 |
$89.68 |
|
Legally Blonde |
7/13/01 |
2,620 |
|
$20.38 |
$7,778 |
$95.66 |
|
Ella Enchanted |
4/9/04 |
1,931 |
|
$6.17 |
$3,195 |
$22.91 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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