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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for February 15 - 18,
2008
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 2.14.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Jumper |
$36.2 |
N/A |
3,402 |
$10,641 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
The Spiderwick Chronicles |
$28.3 |
N/A |
3,847 |
$7,356 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
Step Up 2 The Streets |
$18.4 |
N/A |
2,470 |
$7,449 |
1 |
|
4 |
1 |
Fool's Gold |
$15.5 |
-28% |
3,125 |
$4,960 |
2 |
|
5 |
2 |
Welcome Home Roscoe Jenkins |
$12.2 |
-25% |
2,387 |
$5,111 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
Definitely, Maybe |
$10.3 |
N/A |
2,203 |
$4,675 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus |
$6.2 |
-41% |
685 |
$9,051 |
2 |
|
8 |
5 |
Juno |
$4.3 |
-18% |
1,862 |
$2,309 |
11 |
|
9 |
7 |
The Bucket List |
$4.0 |
-25% |
2,307 |
$1,734 |
3 |
|
10 |
6 |
27 Dresses |
$3.8 |
-29% |
1,913 |
$1,986 |
5 |
|
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$139.20 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 29% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$5,025 |
|
COMPARISONS:
JUMPER (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mr. & Mrs. Smith |
6/10/05 |
3,424 |
|
$50.34 |
$14,703 |
$186.34 |
|
The Bourne Identity |
6/14/02 |
2,638 |
|
$27.12 |
$10,281 |
$121.38 |
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
|
$40.31 |
$11,613 |
$102.54 |
|
X-Men: The Last Stand |
5/26/06 |
3,690 |
|
$122.86 |
$122.86 |
$278.46 |
|
The X-Men |
7/14/00 |
3,025 |
|
$54.47 |
$18,007 |
$157.30 |
|
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith |
5/20/05 |
3,661 |
$50.01 |
$108.44 |
$29,619 |
$380.21 |
|
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones |
5/16/02 |
3,161 |
$30.14 |
$80.03 |
$25,317 |
$302.18 |
|
Awake |
11/30/07 |
2,002 |
|
$5.86 |
$2,926 |
$14.21 |
|
Life as a House |
11/9/01 |
1,288 |
$1.24 |
$3.68 |
$2,857 |
$15.65 |
|
xXx |
8/9/02 |
3,374 |
|
$44.51 |
$13,191 |
$141.20 |
|
The Seeker |
10/5/07 |
3,141 |
|
$3.75 |
$1,192 |
$8.79 |
THE SPIDERWICK CHRONICLES (Paramount/Nickelodeon)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Golden Compass |
12/7/07 |
3,528 |
|
$25.78 |
$7,308 |
$69.25 |
|
Bridge to Terabithia |
2/16/07 |
3,139 |
|
$28.54 |
$9,091 |
$82.23 |
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
|
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$75.03 |
|
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe |
12/9/05 |
3,616 |
|
$65.56 |
$18,130 |
$291.17 |
|
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events |
12/17/04 |
3,620 |
|
$30.06 |
$8,304 |
$118.01 |
|
August Rush |
11/23/07 |
2,310 |
$3.82 |
$9.42 |
$4,079 |
$31.44 |
|
Arthur and the Invisibles |
1/12/07 |
2,247 |
|
$4.29 |
$1,911 |
$15.13 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
|
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
Finding Neverland |
11/12/04 |
513 |
$3.08 |
$4.67 |
$9,104 |
$51.68 |
|
Two Brothers |
6/25/04 |
2,175 |
|
$6.14 |
$2,825 |
$18.95 |
STEP UP 2 THE STREETS (Disney/Touchstone)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Step Up |
8/11/06 |
2,467 |
$20.66 |
$8,374 |
$65.33 |
|
Stomp the Yard |
1/12/07 |
2,051 |
$21.83 |
$10,645 |
$61.36 |
|
Take the Lead |
4/7/06 |
3,009 |
$12.05 |
$4,005 |
$34.74 |
|
You Got Served |
1/30/04 |
1,933 |
$16.12 |
$8,341 |
$40.07 |
|
Honey |
12/5/03 |
1,942 |
$12.86 |
$6,620 |
$30.00 |
|
Save the Last Dance |
1/12/01 |
2,230 |
$23.44 |
$10,511 |
$90.17 |
DEFINITELY, MAYBE (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Just Friends |
11/25/05 |
2,505 |
$4.05 |
$9.19 |
$3,669 |
$32.60 |
|
Waiting… |
10/7/05 |
1,652 |
|
$6.02 |
$3,645 |
$15.61 |
|
No Reservations |
7/27/07 |
2,425 |
|
$11.70 |
$4,827 |
$43.10 |
|
Little Miss Sunshine |
7/26/06 |
1,430 |
$15.51 |
$7.37 |
$5,155 |
$59.89 |
|
Wimbledon |
9/17/04 |
2,034 |
|
$7.12 |
$3,500 |
$16.83 |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
|
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
|
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
|
High Fidelity |
3/31/00 |
1,183 |
|
$6.43 |
$5,435 |
$27.04 |
|
Music and Lyrics |
2/14/07 |
2,955 |
5.528 |
$15.87 |
$5,370 |
$50.57 |
|
50 First Dates |
2/13/04 |
3,591 |
|
$39.58 |
$11,098 |
$120.78 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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