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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 22 - 24,
2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 8.21.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Death Race |
$15.8 |
N/A |
2,531 |
$6,243 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Tropic Thunder |
$15.0 |
-42% |
3,352 |
$4,415 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
The House Bunny |
$12.4 |
N/A |
2,714 |
$4,569 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
The Dark Knight |
$10.5 |
-36% |
3,163 |
$3,320 |
6 |
|
5 |
3 |
Star Wars: The Clone Wars |
$6.8 |
-54% |
3,452 |
$1,970 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
The Longshots |
$5.6 |
N/A |
2,089 |
$2,681 |
1 |
|
7 |
New |
The Rocker |
$5.4 / 6.2* |
N/A |
2,784 |
$1,940 |
1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Pineapple Express |
$5.1 |
-49% |
2,620 |
$1,947 |
3 |
|
9 |
4 |
Mirrors |
$4.9 |
-54% |
2,664 |
$1,839 |
2 |
|
10 |
8 |
Mamma Mia! |
$4.4 |
-28% |
2,322 |
$1,895 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$85.70 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$2,802 |
|
*Original prediction pre-Weds #s
COMPARISONS:
DEATH RACE (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Bank Job |
3/7/08 |
1,603 |
$5.94 |
$3,703 |
$30.06 |
|
In the Name of the King |
1/11/08 |
1,605 |
$2.98 |
$1,829 |
$4.54 |
|
War |
8/24/07 |
2,277 |
$9.82 |
$4,313 |
$22.47 |
|
Crank |
9/1/06 |
2,515 |
$10.30 |
$4,079 |
$27.84 |
|
The Transporter 2 |
9/2/05 |
3,303 |
$20.10 |
$6,087 |
$43.10 |
|
The Transporter |
10/11/02 |
2,573 |
$9.11 |
$3,540 |
$25.30 |
|
The Italian Job |
5/30/03 |
2,633 |
$19.46 |
$7,390 |
$105.63 |
|
Snatch |
1/19/01 |
1,444 |
$8.01 |
$5,544 |
$30.09 |
|
Waist Deep |
6/23/06 |
1,004 |
$9.40 |
$9,367 |
$21.34 |
|
Four Brothers |
8/12/05 |
2,533 |
$21.18 |
$8,360 |
$73.62 |
|
2 Fast 2 Furious |
6/6/03 |
3,408 |
$50.47 |
$14,810 |
$127.08 |
|
Alien vs. Predator |
8/13/04 |
3,395 |
$38.29 |
$11,279 |
$79.22 |
|
Resident Evil |
3/15/02 |
2,528 |
$17.71 |
$7,004 |
$39.53 |
|
Mortal Kombat |
8/18/95 |
2,421 |
$23.28 |
$9,616 |
$70.43 |
|
The Condemned |
4/27/07 |
2,310 |
$3.81 |
$1,648 |
$7.37 |
|
The Fast and the Furious |
6/22/01 |
2,628 |
$40.09 |
$15,255 |
$144.51 |
THE HOUSE BUNNY (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Just Friends |
11/25/05 |
2,505 |
$4.05 |
$9.19 |
$3,669 |
$32.60 |
|
Waiting... |
10/7/05 |
1,652 |
|
$6.02 |
$3,645 |
$15.61 |
|
The Hot Chick |
12/13/02 |
2,217 |
|
$7.40 |
$3,338 |
$33.86 |
|
Scary Movie |
7/7/00 |
2,912 |
|
$42.35 |
$14,543 |
$157.00 |
|
Scary Movie 2 |
7/6/01 |
3,220 |
$13.51 |
$20.50 |
$6,367 |
$71.28 |
|
Scary Movie 3 |
10/25/03 |
3,505 |
|
$48.11 |
$13,727 |
$109.94 |
|
Scary Movie 4 |
4/14/06 |
3,602 |
|
$40.22 |
$11,167 |
$90.71 |
|
Orange County |
1/11/02 |
2,317 |
|
$15.05 |
$6,497 |
$41.03 |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
|
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
Strange Wilderness |
2/1/08 |
1,208 |
|
$3.00 |
$2,485 |
$6.58 |
|
The Nanny Diaries |
8/24/07 |
2,629 |
|
$7.48 |
$2,846 |
$25.93 |
|
Material Girls |
8/18/06 |
1,509 |
|
$4.60 |
$3,050 |
$11.45 |
|
The Sweetest Thing |
4/12/02 |
2,670 |
|
$9.43 |
$3,745 |
$24.43 |
THE ROCKER (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Last Mimzy |
3/23/07 |
3,017 |
|
$10.02 |
$3,323 |
$21.47 |
|
My Super Ex-Girlfriend |
7/21/06 |
2,702 |
|
$8.60 |
$3,184 |
$22.53 |
|
Sahara |
4/8/05 |
3,154 |
|
$18.07 |
$5,729 |
$68.64 |
|
The School of Rock |
10/3/03 |
2,614 |
|
$19.62 |
$7,507 |
$81.05 |
|
Rock Star |
9/7/01 |
2,525 |
|
$6.02 |
$2,384 |
$16.99 |
|
Almost Famous |
9/22/00 |
1,193 |
$3.22 |
$6.93 |
$5,809 |
$32.47 |
THE LONGSHOTS (MGM/Dimension)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Are We Done Yet? |
4/4/07 |
2,877 |
4.25 |
$14.26 |
$4,957 |
$49.63 |
|
Are We There Yet? |
1/21/05 |
2,709 |
|
$18.58 |
$6,857 |
$82.30 |
|
Barbershop 2: Back in Business |
2/6/04 |
2,711 |
|
$24.24 |
$8,942 |
$64.96 |
|
Barbershop |
9/13/02 |
1,605 |
|
$20.63 |
$12,852 |
$75.07 |
|
Friday After Next |
11/22/02 |
1,616 |
|
$13.01 |
$8,052 |
$32.87 |
|
Next Friday |
1/14/00 |
1,103 |
$4.45 |
$14.44 |
$13,092 |
$57.18 |
|
Friday |
4/28/95 |
865 |
$1.52 |
$6.59 |
$7,618 |
$27.39 |
|
Akeelah and the Bee |
4/28/06 |
2,195 |
|
$6.01 |
$2,739 |
$18.85 |
|
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls |
2/14/07 |
2,111 |
$5.70 |
$11.20 |
$5,311 |
$31.37 |
|
The Game Plan |
9/28/07 |
3,103 |
|
$22.95 |
$7,396 |
$90.65 |
|
We Are Marshall |
12/22/06 |
2,606 |
|
$6.11 |
$2,346 |
$43.55 |
|
Gridiron Gang |
9/15/06 |
3,504 |
|
$14.41 |
$4,114 |
$38.43 |
|
Invincible |
8/25/06 |
2,917 |
|
$17.03 |
$5,839 |
$57.81 |
|
Radio |
10/25/03 |
3,074 |
|
$13.30 |
$4,326 |
$52.28 |
|
Remember the Titans |
9/29/00 |
1,865 |
|
$20.91 |
$11,212 |
$115.60 |
|
Gracie |
6/1/07 |
1,164 |
|
$1.36 |
$1,165 |
$2.95 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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