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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 15 - 17,
2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 8.14.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Tropic Thunder |
$29.8 /$25.4* |
N/A |
3,319 |
$7,653 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Star Wars: The Clone Wars |
$23.2 |
N/A |
3,452 |
$6,721 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
The Dark Knight |
$15.5 |
-41% |
3,590 |
$4,318 |
5 |
|
4 |
2 |
Pineapple Express |
$11.2 |
-52% |
3,072 |
$3,646 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
Mirrors |
$10.6 |
N/A |
2,664 |
$3,979 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor |
$7.8 |
-534% |
3,348 |
$2,330 |
3 |
|
7 |
4 |
Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants 2 |
$6.5 |
-40% |
2,714 |
$2,395 |
2 |
|
8 |
6 |
Mamma Mia! |
$5.3 |
-36% |
2,769 |
$1,914 |
5 |
|
9 |
5 |
Step Brothers |
$5.0 |
-45% |
2,648 |
$1,888 |
4 |
|
10 |
7 |
Journey to the Center of the Earth |
$3.2 |
-35% |
1,405 |
$2,278 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$113.70 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 43% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,375 |
|
*Updated prediction after the reporting of Wednesday numbers
COMPARISONS:
TROPIC THUNDER (DreamWorks)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Zoolander |
9/28/01 |
2,507 |
|
$15.70 |
$6,262 |
$45.16 |
|
The Cable Guy |
6/14/96 |
2,657 |
|
$19.81 |
$7,456 |
$60.17 |
|
Reality Bites |
2/18/94 |
1,149 |
|
$6.00 |
$5,222 |
$20.08 |
|
The Heartbreak Kid |
10/5/07 |
3,229 |
|
$14.02 |
$4,343 |
$36.79 |
|
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story |
6/18/04 |
2,694 |
|
$30.07 |
$11,162 |
$114.06 |
|
Envy |
4/30/04 |
2,445 |
|
$6.16 |
$2,520 |
$12.18 |
|
Starsky and Hutch |
3/5/04 |
3,185 |
|
$28.10 |
$8,824 |
$88.20 |
|
Meet the Fockers |
12/24/04 |
3,518 |
$24.40 |
$46.12 |
$13,110 |
$275.94 |
|
Meet the Parents |
10/6/00 |
2,614 |
|
$28.62 |
$10,949 |
$166.23 |
|
There's Something About Mary |
7/17/98 |
2,186 |
$4.06 |
$13.74 |
$6,285 |
$176.48 |
|
Nacho Libre |
6/16/06 |
3,070 |
|
$28.31 |
$9,221 |
$80.20 |
|
Iron Man |
5/2/08 |
4,105 |
|
$102.12 |
$24,877 |
$316.04 |
STAR WARS: THE CLONE WARS (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith |
5/20/05 |
3,661 |
$50.01 |
$108.44 |
$29,619 |
$380.21 |
|
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones |
5/16/02 |
3,161 |
$30.14 |
$80.03 |
$25,317 |
$302.18 |
|
Star Wars: Episode 1-The Phantom Menace |
5/21/99 |
2,970 |
$41.76 |
$64.81 |
$21,822 |
$431.07 |
|
Return of the Jedi:SE |
3/14/97 |
2,111 |
|
$16.29 |
$7,717 |
$45.41 |
|
Empire Strikes Back:SE |
2/21/97 |
2,111 |
|
$21.98 |
$10,412 |
$67.50 |
|
Star Wars:SE |
1/31/97 |
2,104 |
|
$35.91 |
$17,067 |
$138.21 |
|
Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within |
7/13/01 |
2,649 |
$7.62 |
$11.41 |
$4,307 |
$32.13 |
|
Titan A.E. |
6/16/00 |
2,734 |
|
$9.38 |
$3,431 |
$22.65 |
| The Powerpuff Girls Movie |
7/5/02 |
2.340 |
$2.54 |
$3.58 |
$1,530 |
$11.41 |
MIRRORS (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Sentinel |
4/21/06 |
2,822 |
$14.37 |
$5,091 |
$36.28 |
|
Taking Lives |
3/19/04 |
2,705 |
$11.46 |
$4,236 |
$32.68 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
High Tension |
6/10/05 |
1,323 |
$1.90 |
$1,434 |
$3.65 |
|
Shutter |
3/12/08 |
2,753 |
$10.45 |
$3,795 |
$25.93 |
|
The Eye |
2/1/08 |
2,436 |
$12.43 |
$5,101 |
$31.40 |
|
One Missed Call |
1/4/08 |
2,240 |
$12.51 |
$5,585 |
$26.88 |
|
The Grudge 2 |
10/13/06 |
3,211 |
$20.83 |
$6,486 |
$39.14 |
|
The Skeleton Key |
8/12/05 |
2,771 |
$16.06 |
$5,795 |
$47.47 |
|
Dark Water |
7/8/05 |
2,657 |
$9.94 |
$3,741 |
$25.46 |
|
The Grudge |
10/22/04 |
3,245 |
$39.13 |
$12,058 |
$110.18 |
|
The Others |
8/10/01 |
1,678 |
$14.09 |
$8,397 |
$96.08 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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