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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for April 25 - 27, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 4.24.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Baby Mama |
$15.5 |
N/A |
2,543 |
$6,095 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Harold & Kumar Escape… |
$14.7 |
N/A |
2,510 |
$5,857 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$11.2 |
-37% |
2,799 |
$4,001 |
2 |
|
4 |
1 |
The Forbidden Kingdom |
$10.8 |
-50% |
3,151 |
$3,427 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
Deception |
$4.6 |
N/A |
2,001 |
$2,299 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Prom Night |
$4.2 |
-52% |
2,821 |
$1,489 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Nim's Island |
$3.6 |
-36% |
2,977 |
$1,209 |
4 |
|
8 |
4 |
88 Minutes |
$3.3 |
-52% |
2,168 |
$1,522 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
21 |
$3.2 |
-42% |
2,952 |
$1,084 |
5 |
|
10 |
8 |
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
$2.1 |
-40% |
2,159 |
$894 |
7 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$73.20 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$2,796 |
|
COMPARISONS:
BABY MAMA (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mean Girls |
4/30/04 |
2,839 |
|
$24.43 |
$8,606 |
$86.05 |
|
Austin Powers |
5/2/97 |
2,187 |
|
$9.55 |
$4,367 |
$53.82 |
|
Juno |
12/5/07 |
1,019 |
$15.38 |
$10.63 |
$10,436 |
$142.11 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
|
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
Waitress |
5/2/07 |
510 |
$2.51 |
$3.08 |
$6,031 |
$19.10 |
|
Hot Rod |
8/3/07 |
2,607 |
|
$5.31 |
$2,037 |
$13.98 |
|
Fever Pitch |
4/8/05 |
3,267 |
|
$12.40 |
$3,796 |
$42.07 |
|
Taxi |
10/8/04 |
3,001 |
$0.62 |
$12.03 |
$4,009 |
$36.61 |
|
Corky Romano |
10/12/01 |
2,062 |
|
$9.02 |
$4,374 |
$23.98 |
|
Superstar |
10/8/99 |
1,943 |
|
$8.91 |
$4,586 |
$30.63 |
|
A Night at the Roxbury |
10/2/98 |
1,865 |
|
$9.61 |
$5,153 |
$30.32 |
|
Tommy Boy |
3/31/95 |
2,165 |
|
$8.03 |
$3,709 |
$32.65 |
|
Wayne's World |
2/14/92 |
1,768 |
|
$18.12 |
$10,249 |
$121.70 |
HAROLD AND KUMAR ESCAPE FROM GUANTANAMO (New LIne)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle |
7/30/04 |
2,135 |
$5.48 |
$2,567 |
$18.23 |
|
Van Wilder: The Rise of Taj |
12/1/06 |
1,979 |
$2.31 |
$1,169 |
$4.26 |
|
National Lampoon's Van Wilder |
4/5/02 |
2,022 |
$7.30 |
$3,612 |
$21.01 |
|
Beerfest |
8/25/06 |
2,964 |
$7.03 |
$2,372 |
$19.19 |
|
Clerks II |
7/21/06 |
2,150 |
$10.06 |
$4,680 |
$24.14 |
|
Waiting... |
10/7/05 |
1,652 |
$6.02 |
$3,645 |
$15.61 |
|
Eurotrip |
2/20/04 |
2,512 |
$6.71 |
$2,672 |
$17.72 |
|
Jay and Silent Bob Strike Back |
8/24/01 |
2,765 |
$11.02 |
$3,985 |
$30.06 |
|
Dude, Where's My Car? |
12/15/00 |
2,087 |
$13.85 |
$6,634 |
$46.72 |
|
Road Trip |
5/19/00 |
2,530 |
$15.48 |
$6,119 |
$68.53 |
|
Half Baked |
1/16/98 |
1,701 |
$6.94 |
$4,080 |
$17.37 |
DECEPTION (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Fountain |
11/24/06 |
1,472 |
|
$3.77 |
$2,560 |
$10.14 |
|
The Prestige |
10/20/06 |
2,281 |
|
$14.80 |
$6,489 |
$53.09 |
|
Van Helsing |
5/7/04 |
3,575 |
|
$51.75 |
$14,480 |
$120.03 |
|
Stay |
10/21/05 |
1,684 |
|
$2.19 |
$1,299 |
$3.62 |
|
The Island |
7/22/05 |
3,122 |
|
$12.41 |
$3,975 |
$35.26 |
|
Big Fish |
1/9/04 |
2,406 |
$9.58 |
$13.81 |
$5,740 |
$66.43 |
|
Godsend |
4/30/04 |
2,323 |
|
$6.80 |
$2,928 |
$14.33 |
|
Femme Fatale |
11/8/02 |
1,066 |
$0.65 |
$2.78 |
$2,604 |
$6.59 |
|
Eyes Wide Shut |
7/16/99 |
2,411 |
|
$21.71 |
$9,005 |
$55.64 |
|
Basic Instinct 2 |
3/31/06 |
1,453 |
|
$3.20 |
$2,203 |
$5.95 |
|
Basic Instinct |
3/20/92 |
1,567 |
|
$15.13 |
$9,655 |
$117.73 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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