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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for April 18 - 20, 2008
By Edward Douglas -
This Week's Analysis
(final update 4.17.08)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Forbidden Kingdom |
$20.2 |
N/A |
3,151 |
$6,411 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
$15.5 |
N/A |
2,798 |
$5,540 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
88 Minutes |
$9.3 |
N/A |
2,168 |
$4,290 |
1 |
|
4 |
1 |
Prom Night |
$8.5 |
-59% |
2,700 |
$3,148 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
21 |
$7.4 |
-29% |
2,903 |
$2,549 |
4 |
|
6 |
2 |
Street Kings |
$6.7 |
-47% |
2,469 |
$2,714 |
2 |
|
7 |
4 |
Nim's Island |
$5.7 |
-37% |
3,277 |
$1,739 |
3 |
|
8 |
6 |
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
$3.6 |
-40% |
2,670 |
$1,348 |
6 |
|
9 |
5 |
Leatherheads |
$3.4 |
-48% |
2,796 |
$1,216 |
3 |
|
10 |
8 |
Smart People |
$2.5 |
-38% |
1,119 |
$2,234 |
2 |
|
11 |
New |
Expelled: No Intelligence Allowed |
$2.4 |
N/A |
1,052 |
$2,281 |
1 |
|
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$86.30 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 42% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,159 |
|
COMPARISONS:
FORGETTING SARAH MARSHALL (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
|
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
|
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
The 40-Year-Old Virgin |
8/19/05 |
2,845 |
|
$21.42 |
$7,530 |
$109.24 |
|
The Heartbreak Kid |
10/5/07 |
3,229 |
|
$14.02 |
$4,343 |
$36.79 |
|
The Break-Up |
6/2/06 |
3,070 |
|
$39.17 |
$12,760 |
$118.81 |
|
50 First Dates |
2/13/04 |
3,591 |
|
$39.58 |
$11,098 |
$120.78 |
|
The Big Bounce |
1/30/04 |
2,304 |
|
$3.34 |
$1,448 |
$6.47 |
|
Accepted |
8/18/06 |
2,914 |
|
$10.02 |
$3,440 |
$36.58 |
|
There's Something About Mary |
7/17/98 |
2,186 |
$4.06 |
$13.74 |
$6,285 |
$176.48 |
THE FORBIDDEN KINGDOM (Lionsgate/The Weinstein Co.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
War |
8/24/07 |
2,277 |
|
$9.82 |
$4,313 |
$22.47 |
|
Jet Li's Fearless |
9/22/06 |
1,806 |
|
$10.59 |
$5,864 |
$24.63 |
|
Unleashed |
5/13/05 |
1,957 |
|
$10.90 |
$5,570 |
$24.52 |
|
Hero |
8/27/04 |
2,031 |
|
$18.00 |
$8,865 |
$53.58 |
|
The One |
11/2/01 |
2,894 |
|
$19.11 |
$6,604 |
$43.91 |
|
Kiss of the Dragon |
7/6/01 |
2,025 |
|
$13.30 |
$6,570 |
$36.83 |
|
Shanghai Knights |
2/7/03 |
2,753 |
|
$19.60 |
$7,121 |
$60.47 |
|
Shanghai Noon |
5/26/00 |
2,711 |
|
$15.61 |
$5,758 |
$56.90 |
|
The Tuxedo |
9/27/02 |
3,022 |
|
$15.05 |
$4,980 |
$50.28 |
|
Sky High |
7/29/05 |
2,905 |
|
$14.63 |
$5,037 |
$62.94 |
|
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon |
1/12/01 |
693 |
$19.89 |
$7.73 |
$11,154 |
$128.07 |
|
House of Flying Daggers |
12/3/04 |
1,189 |
$5.23 |
$1.74 |
$1,461 |
$11.04 |
|
Kung Fu Hustle |
4/8/05 |
2,503 |
$0.73 |
$6.75 |
$2,697 |
$17.10 |
88 MINUTES (Sony/Tristar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Two for the Money |
10/7/05 |
2,391 |
|
$8.70 |
$3,640 |
$22.15 |
|
The Recruit |
1/31/03 |
2,376 |
|
$16.30 |
$6,861 |
$52.79 |
|
Gigli |
8/1/03 |
2,215 |
|
$3.75 |
$1,694 |
$6.07 |
|
S1m0ne (Simone) |
8/23/02 |
1,920 |
|
$3.81 |
$1,986 |
$9.68 |
|
Insomnia |
5/24/02 |
2,610 |
|
$20.93 |
$9,988 |
$67.26 |
|
Any Given Sunday |
12/24/99 |
2,505 |
$7.05 |
$13.58 |
$5,421 |
$75.53 |
|
Phone Booth |
4/4/03 |
2,481 |
|
$15.02 |
$6,054 |
$46.56 |
|
15 Minutes |
3/9/01 |
2,337 |
|
$10.52 |
$4,503 |
$24.38 |
|
Cellular |
9/10/04 |
2,749 |
|
$10.10 |
$3,674 |
$32.00 |
|
DOA |
3/18/88 |
875 |
|
$3.75 |
$4,287 |
$12.71 |
EXPELLED: NO INTELLIGENCE ALLOWED (Rocky Mountain Pictures)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Inconvenient Truth |
5/26/06 |
514 |
$7.61 |
$2.02 |
$3,923 |
$23.81 |
|
Fahrenheit 9/11 |
6/25/04 |
868 |
$0.16 |
$23.92 |
$27,558 |
$118.56 |
|
A Night with the King |
10/13/06 |
909 |
|
$4.11 |
$4,518 |
$13.40 |
|
End of the Spear |
1/20/06 |
1,162 |
|
$4.28 |
$3,684 |
$11.70 |
|
The Passion of the Christ (Recut) |
3/11/05 |
954 |
|
$0.22 |
$2,346 |
$0.50 |
|
The Passion of the Christ |
2/27/04 |
3,043 |
$41.34 |
$83.85 |
$27,554 |
$370.27 |
|
What the BLEEP Do We Know? |
5/21/04 |
13 |
|
$0.07 |
$5,091 |
$10.94 |
|
Left Behind |
2/2/01 |
867 |
|
$2.16 |
$2,490 |
$4.11 |
|
The Omega Code |
10/15/99 |
304 |
|
$2.35 |
$7,730 |
$12.46 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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