The Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 21 - 23, 2007
By Edward Douglas -

Check out the Weekend Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final update 9.20.07)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Resident Evil: Extinction

$22.8

N/A

2,828

$8,062

1

2

New

Good Luck Chuck

$12.9

N/A

2,612

$4,939

1

3

1

The Brave One

$7.5

-45%

2,755

$2,722

2

4

22

Eastern Promises

$6.5

1084%

1,325

$4,630

2

5

New

Sydney White

$6.3

N/A

1,900

$3,073

1

6

2

3:10 to Yuma

$6.0

-33%

2,902

$2,068

3

7

3

Mr. Woodcock

$4.8

-44%

2,237

$2,146

2

8

4

Superbad

$3.2

-35%

2,305

$1,388

6

9

7

The Bourne Ultimatum

$2.6

-37%

2,008

$1,295

8

10

17

Across the Universe

$2.4

423%

276

$8,696

2

Est. Weekend Total
$75.00

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
187%

Est. Average PTA
$3,902



COMPARISONS:

RESIDENT EVIL: EXTINCTION (Sony/Screen Gems)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Resident Evil: Apocalypse

9/10/04

3,284

$23.04

$7,015

$50.74

Resident Evil

3/15/02

2,528

$17.71

$7,004

$39.53

Ultraviolet

3/3/06

2558

$9.06

$3,544

$18.52

The Fifth Element

5/9/97

2,500

$17.03

$6,812

$63.55

Final Destination 2

1/31/03

2,834

$16.02

$5,652

$46.90

Final Destination

3/17/00

2,585

$10.02

$3,876

$53.30

George A. Romero's Land of the Dead

6/24/05

2,249

$10.22

$4,545

$20.43

Dawn of the Dead

3/19/04

2,745

$26.72

$9,735

$58.89

House of the Dead

10/10/03

1,520

$5.68

$3,734

$10.20



GOOD LUCK CHUCK (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Mr. Brooks

6/1/07

2,453

$10.02

$4,084

$28.48

Employee of the Month

10/6/06

2,579

$11.41

$4,423

$28.44

Waiting...

10/7/05

1,652

$6.02

$3,645

$15.61

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer

6/15/07

3,959

$58.05

$14,663

$131.73

Into the Blue

9/30/05

2,789

$7.06

$2,531

$18.25

Fantastic Four

7/8/05

3,602

$56.06

$15,564

$154.70

Sin City

4/1/05

3,230

$29.12

$9,016

$74.10

Shallow Hal

11/9/01

2,771

$23.28

$8,401

$70.83

There's Something About Mary

7/17/98

2,186

$4.06

$13.74

$6,285

$176.48

Mr. Brooks

6/1/07

2,453

$10.02

$4,084

$28.48



SYDNEY WHITE (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Hairspray

7/20/07

3,121

$27.48

$8,804

114.85

She's the Man

3/17/06

2,623

$10.74

$4,091

$33.89

What a Girl Wants

4/4/03

2,964

$11.43

$3,858

$35.99

Big Fat Liar

2/8/02

2,531

$11.55

$4,565

$47.81

Accepted

8/18/06

2,914

$10.02

$3,440

$36.58

Just My Luck

5/12/06

2,541

$5.69

$2,240

$17.00

Sleepover

7/9/04

2,207

$4.17

$1,890

$8.07

Ella Enchanted

4/9/04

1,931

$6.17

$3,195

$22.91

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

5/2/03

2,825

$17.34

$6,138

$42.67



EASTERN PROMISES (Focus Features)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

A History of Violence

9/23/05

1,340

0.76

$8.10

$6,047

$31.49

eXistenZ

4/16/99

256

$0.71

$2,773

$2.61

Hidalgo

3/5/04

3,063

$18.83

$6,147

$67.29

A Perfect Murder

6/5/98

2,845

$16.62

$5,842

$67.63

King Kong

12/16/05

3,568

$16.05

$50.13

$14,050

$218.05

Stay

10/21/05

1,684

$2.19

$1,299

$3.62

The Ring Two

3/18/05

3,332

$35.07

$10,524

$75.89

The Ring

10/18/02

1,981

$15.02

$7,580

$128.29

Le Divorce

8/29/03

701

$4.19

$1.60

$2,276

$9.07


Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas


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