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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for October 5 - 7,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 10.4.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Heartbreak Kid |
$28.3 |
N/A |
3,229 |
$8,764 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Game Plan |
$14.3 |
-38% |
3,105 |
$4,604 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
The Kingdom |
$9.8 |
-43% |
2,796 |
$3,505 |
2 |
|
4 |
New |
The Seeker: The Dark Is Rising |
$8.4 |
N/A |
3,141 |
$2,674 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Feel the Noise |
$4.2 |
N/A |
1,015 |
$4,138 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Resident Evil: Extinction |
$3.8 |
-53% |
2,848 |
$1,334 |
3 |
|
7 |
4 |
Good Luck Chuck |
$3.1 |
-50% |
2,476 |
$1,292 |
3 |
|
8 |
5 |
3:10 to Yuma |
$2.7 |
-35% |
2,562 |
$1,054 |
5 |
|
9 |
31 |
The Jane Austen Book Club |
$2.0 |
1041% |
1,187 |
$1,685 |
3 |
|
10 |
6 |
The Brave One |
$1.9 |
-47% |
2,358 |
$806 |
4 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$79.00 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-43% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$2,986 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE HEARTBREAK KID (DreamWorks/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Night at the Museum |
12/22/06 |
3,685 |
|
$30.43 |
$8,259 |
$250.86 |
|
Meet the Fockers |
12/24/04 |
3,518 |
$24.40 |
$46.12 |
$13,110 |
$275.94 |
|
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story |
6/18/04 |
2,694 |
|
$30.07 |
$11,162 |
$114.06 |
|
Envy |
4/30/04 |
2,445 |
|
$6.16 |
$2,520 |
$12.18 |
|
Starsky and Hutch |
3/5/04 |
3,185 |
|
$28.10 |
$8,824 |
$88.20 |
|
Along Came Polly |
1/16/04 |
2,984 |
|
$27.21 |
$9,290 |
$87.86 |
|
Meet the Parents |
10/6/00 |
2,614 |
|
$28.62 |
$10,949 |
$166.23 |
|
There's Something About Mary |
7/17/98 |
2,186 |
$4.06 |
$13.74 |
$6,285 |
$176.48 |
|
Fever Pitch |
4/8/05 |
3,267 |
|
$12.40 |
$3,796 |
$42.07 |
|
Stuck on You |
12/12/03 |
3,003 |
|
$9.41 |
$3,134 |
$33.45 |
|
Shallow Hal |
11/9/01 |
2,771 |
|
$23.28 |
$8,401 |
$70.83 |
|
Me, Myself and Irene |
6/23/00 |
3,019 |
|
$24.21 |
$8,019 |
$90.47 |
|
The In-Laws |
5/23/03 |
2,652 |
|
$9.22 |
$3,477 |
$20.44 |
|
Norbit |
2/9/07 |
3,136 |
|
$34.20 |
$10,904 |
$95.36 |
|
Blades of Glory |
3/30/07 |
3,372 |
|
$33.01 |
$9,791 |
$118.25 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
|
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
THE SEEKER: THE DARK IS RISING (Fox Walden)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
|
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$75.03 |
|
Bridge to Terabithia |
2/16/07 |
3,139 |
|
$22.56 |
$7,188 |
$82.23 |
|
Because of Winn-Dixie |
2/18/05 |
3,188 |
|
$13.22 |
$4,146 |
$32.65 |
|
Around the World in 80 Days |
6/18/04 |
2,801 |
$2.79 |
$7.58 |
$2,705 |
$24.00 |
|
How to Eat Fried Worms |
8/25/06 |
1,870 |
|
$4.00 |
$2,141 |
$13.04 |
|
Hoot |
5/5/06 |
3,018 |
|
$3.37 |
$1,116 |
$8.08 |
|
Zoom |
8/11/06 |
2,501 |
|
$4.50 |
$1,803 |
$11.98 |
|
Sky High |
7/29/05 |
2,905 |
|
$14.63 |
$5,037 |
$62.94 |
FEEL THE NOISE (Sony BMG/Tristar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Stomp the Yard |
1/12/07 |
2,051 |
$21.83 |
$10,645 |
$61.36 |
|
Crossover |
9/1/06 |
1,023 |
$3.77 |
$3,683 |
$7.01 |
|
Step Up |
8/11/06 |
2,467 |
$20.66 |
$8,374 |
$65.33 |
|
ATL |
3/31/06 |
1,602 |
$11.55 |
$7,212 |
$21.17 |
|
You Got Served |
1/30/04 |
1,933 |
$16.12 |
$8,341 |
$40.07 |
|
Illegal Tender |
8/24/07 |
512 |
$1.43 |
$2,785 |
$3.05 |
|
El Cantante |
8/3/07 |
542 |
$3.20 |
$5,908 |
$7.55 |
|
Dirty Dancing: Havana Nights |
2/27/04 |
2,042 |
$5.81 |
$2,846 |
$14.14 |
|
Stomp the Yard |
1/12/07 |
2,051 |
$21.83 |
$10,645 |
$61.36 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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