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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for October 26 - 28,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 10.25.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Saw IV |
$28.9 |
N/A |
3,183 |
$9,068 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Dan in Real Life |
$8.2 |
N/A |
1,921 |
$4,269 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Why Did I Get Married? |
$7.0 |
-42% |
1,897 |
$3,690 |
3 |
|
4 |
1 |
30 Days of Night |
$6.9 |
-57% |
2,859 |
$2,413 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
The Game Plan |
$6.1 |
-25% |
3,342 |
$1,825 |
5 |
|
6 |
4 |
Michael Clayton |
$4.4 |
-34% |
2,585 |
$1,702 |
4 |
|
7 |
5 |
Gone Baby Gone |
$3.5 |
-36% |
1,713 |
$2,043 |
2 |
|
8 |
6 |
We Own the Night |
$3.0 |
-45% |
2,402 |
$1,249 |
3 |
|
9 |
8 |
Tim Burton's Nightmare Before X-Mas |
$2.8 |
-48% |
564 |
$4,965 |
2 |
|
10 |
7 |
The Comebacks |
$2.7 |
-52% |
2,812 |
$960 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$73.50 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-43% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,220 |
|
COMPARISONS:
SAW IV (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Saw III |
10/27/06 |
3,167 |
$33.61 |
$10,613 |
$80.15 |
|
Saw II |
10/28/05 |
2,949 |
$31.73 |
$10,758 |
$87.03 |
|
Saw |
10/29/04 |
2,315 |
$18.28 |
$7,895 |
$55.15 |
|
Hostel: Part II |
6/8/07 |
2,350 |
$8.20 |
$3,491 |
$17.54 |
|
Hostel |
1/6/06 |
2,195 |
$19.56 |
$8,909 |
$47.33 |
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.53 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
|
Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning |
10/6/06 |
2,820 |
$18.51 |
$6,563 |
$39.52 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre |
10/17/03 |
3,016 |
$28.09 |
$9,315 |
$80.15 |
DAN IN REAL LIFE (Touchstone Pictures)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Evan Almighty |
6/22/07 |
2,604 |
|
$31.19 |
$8,655 |
$100.29 |
|
Little Miss Sunshine |
7/26/06 |
1,430 |
$15.51 |
$7.37 |
$5,155 |
$59.89 |
|
The 40-Year-Old Virgin |
8/19/05 |
2,845 |
|
$21.42 |
$7,530 |
$109.24 |
|
Bewitched |
6/24/05 |
3,174 |
|
$20.13 |
$6,343 |
$62.25 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
|
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
|
Good Luck Chuck |
9/21/07 |
2,612 |
|
$13.65 |
$5,227 |
$32.76 |
|
Employee of the Month |
10/6/06 |
2,579 |
|
$11.41 |
$4,423 |
$28.44 |
|
Bee Season |
11/11/05 |
21 |
|
$0.12 |
$5,740 |
$1.18 |
|
Chocolat |
1/19/01 |
658 |
$9.72 |
$3.09 |
$4,701 |
$71.31 |
|
The English Patient |
12/13/96 |
683 |
$14.24 |
$1.78 |
$2,606 |
$78.72 |
|
Pieces of April |
10/17/03 |
6 |
|
$0.05 |
$8,070 |
$2.38 |
|
About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
|
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
|
The Family Stone |
12/16/05 |
2,466 |
|
$12.52 |
$5,077 |
$60.06 |
|
Must Love Dogs |
7/29/05 |
2,505 |
|
$12.86 |
$5,132 |
$43.67 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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