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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for October 19 - 21,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 10.18)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
30 Days of Night |
$21.6 |
N/A |
2,855 |
$7,527 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Why Did I Get Married? |
$10.8 |
-49% |
2,034 |
$5,310 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
The Comebacks |
$9.4 |
N/A |
2,812 |
$3,343 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Rendition |
$8.2 |
N/A |
2,250 |
$3,644 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Gone Baby Gone |
$7.7 |
N/A |
1,713 |
$4,495 |
1 |
|
6 |
2 |
The Game Plan |
$7.6 |
-31% |
3,301 |
$2,302 |
4 |
|
7 |
4 |
Michael Clayton |
$6.3 |
-40% |
2,585 |
$2,437 |
3 |
|
8 |
3 |
We Own the Night |
$6.0 |
-45% |
2,362 |
$2,540 |
2 |
|
9 |
5 |
The Heartbreak Kid |
$4.0 |
-45% |
2,782 |
$1,438 |
3 |
|
10 |
New |
Things We Lost in the Fire |
$3.8 |
N/A |
1,142 |
$3,327 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$85.40 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-42% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,640 |
|
COMPARISONS:
30 DAYS OF NIGHT (Sony/Ghost House
Pictures)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Grudge |
10/22/04 |
3,245 |
$39.13 |
$12,058 |
$110.18 |
|
Resident Evil: Apocalypse |
9/10/04 |
3,284 |
$23.04 |
$7,015 |
$50.74 |
|
Resident Evil |
3/15/02 |
2,528 |
$17.71 |
$7,004 |
$39.53 |
|
The Black Dahlia |
9/15/06 |
2,226 |
$10.00 |
$4,495 |
$22.67 |
|
Lucky Number Slevin |
4/7/06 |
1,984 |
$7.03 |
$3,544 |
$22.50 |
|
Wicker Park |
9/3/04 |
2,598 |
$6.82 |
$2,625 |
$12.83 |
|
The Amityville Horror |
4/15/05 |
3,323 |
$23.51 |
$7,074 |
$64.26 |
|
Underworld |
9/19/03 |
2,915 |
$21.75 |
$7,462 |
$51.48 |
|
Queen of the Damned |
2/22/02 |
2,511 |
$14.76 |
$5,878 |
$30.31 |
|
Dracula 2000 |
12/22/00 |
2,204 |
$6.23 |
$2,827 |
$33.00 |
|
Blade |
8/21/98 |
2,322 |
$17.07 |
$7,351 |
$70.10 |
|
Interview with a Vampire |
11/11/94 |
2,604 |
$36.39 |
$13,975 |
$105.26 |
|
Bram Stoker's Dracula |
11/13/92 |
2,491 |
$30.52 |
$12,252 |
$82.49 |
THE COMEBACKS (Fox Atomic)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Epic Movie |
1/26/07 |
2,801 |
|
$18.61 |
$6,645 |
$39.74 |
|
Date Movie |
2/17/06 |
2,896 |
|
$19.08 |
$6,587 |
$48.55 |
|
Scary Movie 4 |
4/14/06 |
3,602 |
|
$40.22 |
$11,167 |
$90.71 |
|
Scary Movie 3 |
10/25/03 |
3,505 |
|
$48.11 |
$13,727 |
$109.94 |
|
Scary Movie 2 |
7/6/01 |
3,220 |
$13.51 |
$20.50 |
$6,367 |
$71.28 |
|
Scary Movie |
7/7/00 |
2,912 |
|
$42.35 |
$14,543 |
$157.00 |
|
Loaded Weapon |
2/5/93 |
1,989 |
|
$9.20 |
$4,625 |
$42.67 |
|
Hot Shots Part Deux |
5/21/93 |
2,122 |
|
$10.25 |
$4,830 |
$38.62 |
|
Hot Shots |
8/2/91 |
1,929 |
$4.00 |
$10.85 |
$5,625 |
$68.27 |
RENDITION (New Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Zodiac |
3/2/07 |
2,362 |
|
$13.39 |
$5,671 |
$33.07 |
|
Jarhead |
11/4/05 |
2,411 |
|
$27.73 |
$11,500 |
$62.65 |
|
Brokeback Mountain |
12/9/05 |
217 |
$4.94 |
$1.91 |
$8,803 |
$82.86 |
|
Walk the Line |
11/18/05 |
2,961 |
|
$22.35 |
$7,547 |
$119.40 |
|
Just Like Heaven |
9/16/05 |
3,508 |
|
$16.41 |
$4,678 |
$43.62 |
|
Vanity Fair |
9/3/04 |
1,051 |
$1.14 |
$6.27 |
$5,465 |
$16.12 |
|
The Manchurian Candidate |
7/30/04 |
2,867 |
|
$20.02 |
$6,982 |
$64.82 |
|
Flightplan |
9/23/05 |
3,424 |
|
$24.63 |
$7,193 |
$89.70 |
|
Shattered Glass |
10/31/03 |
8 |
|
$0.08 |
$9,693 |
$2.21 |
|
Tsotsi |
2/24/06 |
120 |
1.349 |
$0.30 |
$2,461 |
$2.91 |
|
Breach |
2/16/07 |
1,489 |
|
$10.50 |
$7,055 |
$33.00 |
GONE, BABY, GONE (Miramax)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hollywoodland |
9/8/06 |
1,548 |
|
$5.93 |
$3,828 |
$14.43 |
|
Mystic River |
10/17/03 |
1,467 |
$3.09 |
$10.45 |
$7,121 |
$90.14 |
|
Lucky Number Slevin |
4/7/06 |
1,984 |
|
$7.03 |
$3,544 |
$22.50 |
|
An Unfinished Life |
9/9/05 |
139 |
|
$1.01 |
$7,254 |
$8.54 |
|
High Crimes |
4/5/02 |
2,717 |
|
$14.01 |
$5,155 |
$41.54 |
|
Along Came a Spider |
4/6/01 |
2,530 |
|
$16.71 |
$6,606 |
$74.06 |
|
A History of Violence |
9/23/05 |
1,340 |
$0.76 |
$8.10 |
$6,047 |
$31.49 |
|
The Night Listener |
8/4/06 |
1,367 |
|
$3.55 |
$2,600 |
$7.84 |
|
Trapped |
9/20/02 |
2,227 |
|
$3.21 |
$1,442 |
$6.92 |
THINGS WE LOST IN THE FIRE (DreamWorks/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Perfect Stranger |
4/13/07 |
2,661 |
|
$11.21 |
$4,211 |
$23.71 |
|
Catwoman |
7/23/04 |
3,117 |
|
$16.73 |
$5,367 |
$39.78 |
|
Gothika |
11/21/03 |
2,382 |
|
$19.29 |
$8,097 |
$58.95 |
|
Monster's Ball |
3/1/02 |
660 |
$11.38 |
$1.80 |
$2,727 |
$31.25 |
|
Sin City |
4/1/05 |
3,230 |
|
$29.12 |
$9,016 |
$74.10 |
|
21 Grams |
11/21/03 |
291 |
$3.31 |
$1.22 |
$4,206 |
$16.43 |
|
The Hunted |
3/14/03 |
2,516 |
|
$13.48 |
$5,359 |
$34.23 |
|
The Last Kiss |
9/15/06 |
1,357 |
|
$4.63 |
$3,410 |
$11.61 |
|
In the Bedroom |
1/11/02 |
424 |
$5.03 |
$2.85 |
$6,722 |
$35.92 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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