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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for October 12 - 14,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 10.11.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Why Did I Get Married? |
$15.6 |
N/A |
2,011 |
$7,757 |
1 |
|
2 |
21 |
Michael Clayton |
$11.7 |
1600% |
2,511 |
$4,659 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
We Own the Night |
$11.3 |
N/A |
2,362 |
$4,784 |
1 |
|
4 |
1 |
The Game Plan |
$10.8 |
-35% |
3,128 |
$3,508 |
3 |
|
5 |
2 |
The Heartbreak Kid |
$8.1 |
-42% |
3,233 |
$2,509 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
Elizabeth: The Golden Age |
$7.5 |
N/A |
1,951 |
$3,833 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
The Kingdom |
$5.6 |
-43% |
2,835 |
$1,975 |
3 |
|
8 |
12 |
Across the Universe |
$3.0 |
53% |
954 |
$3,600 |
3 |
|
9 |
4 |
Resident Evil: Extinction |
$2.2 |
-48% |
2,249 |
$960 |
4 |
|
10 |
5 |
The Seeker: The Dark is Rising |
$2.2 |
-40% |
3,173 |
$700 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$78.10 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-22% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,384 |
|
COMPARISONS:
TYLER PERRY’S WHY DID I GET MARRIED? (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls |
2/14/07 |
2,111 |
$5.70 |
$11.20 |
$5,311 |
$31.37 |
|
Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion |
2/24/06 |
2,194 |
|
$30.03 |
$13,688 |
$63.26 |
|
Diary of a Mad Black Woman |
2/25/05 |
1,483 |
|
$21.91 |
$14,771 |
$50.38 |
|
The Nutty Professor 2: The Klumps |
7/28/00 |
3,242 |
|
$42.52 |
$13,115 |
$123.29 |
|
Poetic Justice |
7/23/93 |
1,273 |
|
$11.73 |
$9,214 |
$27.45 |
|
Something New |
2/3/06 |
1,265 |
|
$4.88 |
$3,857 |
$11.47 |
|
Deliver Us From Eva |
2/7/03 |
1,139 |
|
$6.65 |
$5,837 |
$17.57 |
|
Brown Sugar |
10/11/02 |
1,372 |
|
$10.74 |
$7,827 |
$27.36 |
|
Two Can Play That Game |
9/7/01 |
1,297 |
|
$7.72 |
$5,953 |
$22.24 |
|
How Stella Got Her Groove Back |
8/14/98 |
1,395 |
|
$11.32 |
$8,115 |
$37.65 |
|
Waiting to Exhale |
12/22/95 |
1,253 |
|
$14.13 |
$11,277 |
$67.01 |
WE OWN THE NIGHT (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Yards |
10/20/00 |
146 |
$0.31 |
$146 |
$0.88 |
|
Shooter |
3/23/07 |
2,806 |
$14.52 |
$5,176 |
$46.98 |
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
Invincible |
8/25/06 |
2,917 |
$17.03 |
$5,839 |
$57.81 |
|
Four Brothers |
8/12/05 |
2,533 |
$21.18 |
$8,360 |
$73.62 |
|
The Italian Job |
5/30/03 |
2,633 |
$19.46 |
$7,390 |
$105.63 |
|
The Truth About Charlie |
10/25/02 |
753 |
$2.27 |
$3,015 |
$5.29 |
|
The Big Hit |
4/24/98 |
2,149 |
$10.81 |
$5,030 |
$27.07 |
|
Walk the Line |
11/18/05 |
2,961 |
$22.44 |
|
$119.52 |
|
Ladder 49 |
10/1/04 |
3,260 |
$22.09 |
$6,776 |
$74.54 |
|
The Village |
7/30/04 |
3,730 |
$50.75 |
$13,605 |
$113.03 |
MICHAEL CLAYTON (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Good German |
12/15/06 |
5 |
|
$0.08 |
$15,363 |
$1.30 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
Solaris |
11/29/02 |
2,406 |
$2.67 |
$6.75 |
$2,807 |
$14.91 |
|
The Firm |
7/2/93 |
2,393 |
$13.07 |
$30.48 |
$12,737 |
$158.35 |
|
Devil's Advocate |
10/17/97 |
2,161 |
|
$12.17 |
$5,632 |
$61.00 |
|
The Bourne Identity |
6/14/02 |
2,638 |
|
$27.12 |
$10,281 |
$121.38 |
|
Proof of Life |
12/8/00 |
2,705 |
|
$10.21 |
$3,774 |
$32.56 |
|
Erin Brockovich |
3/17/00 |
2,845 |
|
$28.14 |
$9,891 |
$125.55 |
|
Runaway Jury |
10/17/03 |
2,815 |
|
$11.84 |
$4,205 |
$49.36 |
|
A Time to Kill |
7/26/96 |
2,123 |
$4.81 |
$14.82 |
$6,981 |
$108.77 |
|
The Client |
7/22/94 |
2,052 |
$5.87 |
$17.17 |
$8,367 |
$92.04 |
|
Pelican Brief |
12/17/93 |
1,993 |
|
$16.86 |
$8,460 |
$100.77 |
|
North Country |
10/21/05 |
2,555 |
|
$6.42 |
$2,514 |
$18.32 |
ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Elizabeth |
11/25/98 |
516 |
$3.57 |
$3.39 |
$6,570 |
$30.01 |
|
The Four Feathers |
9/20/02 |
1,912 |
|
$6.86 |
$3,587 |
$18.31 |
|
Notes on a Scandal |
12/29/06 |
641 |
$6.49 |
$2.60 |
$4,062 |
$17.51 |
|
Babel |
10/27/06 |
1,251 |
$1.85 |
$5.55 |
$4,443 |
$34.30 |
|
The Aviator |
12/17/04 |
1,796 |
$1.36 |
$8.63 |
$4,806 |
$102.68 |
|
The Queen |
9/29/06 |
606 |
$14.99 |
$2.20 |
$3,633 |
$56.41 |
|
Elizabethtown |
10/14/05 |
2,517 |
|
$10.62 |
$4,219 |
$26.84 |
|
Shakespeare in Love |
1/22/99 |
655 |
$22.25 |
$3.63 |
$5,542 |
$100.24 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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