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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for November 9 - 11,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Fred Claus |
$27.2 |
N/A |
3,150 |
$8,635 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
American Gangster |
$22.7 |
-48% |
3,100 |
$7,323 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Bee Movie |
$22.1 |
-42% |
3,940 |
$5,609 |
2 |
|
4 |
New |
Lions for Lambs |
$10.2 |
N/A |
2,250 |
$4,533 |
1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Dan in Real Life |
$5.3 |
-33% |
1,970 |
$2,690 |
3 |
|
6 |
3 |
Saw IV |
$5.0 |
-52% |
2,700 |
$1,852 |
3 |
|
7 |
New |
P2 |
$2.7 |
N/A |
2,000 |
$1,350 |
1 |
|
8 |
5 |
The Game Plan |
$2.5 |
-38% |
2,500 |
$1,000 |
7 |
|
9 |
6 |
30 Days of Night |
$2.2 |
-44% |
2,627 |
$1,218 |
3 |
|
10 |
New |
After Dark Horror Fest 2007 |
$2.1 |
N/A |
333 |
$6,306 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$99.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-42% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,421 |
|
COMPARISONS:
FRED CLAUS (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Break-Up |
6/2/06 |
3,070 |
|
$39.17 |
$12,760 |
$118.81 |
|
Wedding Crashers |
7/15/05 |
2,925 |
|
$33.90 |
$11,590 |
$209.22 |
|
Mr. & Mrs. Smith |
6/10/05 |
3,424 |
|
$50.34 |
$14,703 |
$186.34 |
|
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story |
6/18/04 |
2,694 |
|
$30.07 |
$11,162 |
$114.06 |
|
Old School |
2/21/03 |
2,689 |
|
$17.45 |
$6,491 |
$75.16 |
|
Elf |
11/7/03 |
3,337 |
|
$31.11 |
$9,324 |
$172.70 |
|
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause |
11/3/06 |
3,458 |
|
$19.50 |
$5,640 |
$84.50 |
|
The Santa Clause 2 |
11/1/02 |
3,350 |
|
$29.01 |
$8,659 |
$139.14 |
|
The Santa Clause |
11/11/94 |
2,183 |
|
$19.32 |
$8,850 |
$144.83 |
|
The Polar Express |
11/12/04 |
3,650 |
$7.31 |
$23.32 |
$6,390 |
$162.75 |
LIONS FOR LAMBS (United Artists/MGM)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Collateral |
8/6/04 |
3,188 |
|
$24.70 |
$7,748 |
$101.00 |
|
Vanilla Sky |
12/14/01 |
2,742 |
|
$25.02 |
$9,123 |
$100.40 |
|
Magnolia |
1/7/00 |
1,034 |
$0.92 |
$5.69 |
$5,503 |
$22.45 |
|
Prime |
10/28/05 |
1,827 |
|
$6.22 |
$3,405 |
$22.73 |
|
The Hours |
1/17/03 |
402 |
$3.78 |
$4.64 |
$11,555 |
$41.60 |
|
Adaptation |
1/10/03 |
560 |
$6.55 |
$2.64 |
$4,709 |
$22.50 |
|
Spy Game |
11/23/01 |
2,770 |
$8.88 |
$21.69 |
$7,830 |
$62.34 |
|
The Last Castle |
10/19/01 |
2,262 |
|
$7.11 |
$3,143 |
$18.21 |
|
Legend of Bagger Vance |
11/3/00 |
2,061 |
|
$11.52 |
$5,590 |
$30.70 |
|
The Horse Whisperer |
5/15/98 |
2,039 |
|
$13.69 |
$6,714 |
$75.37 |
|
A River Runs through It |
10/30/92 |
795 |
|
$4.25 |
$5,346 |
$43.22 |
|
World Trade Center |
8/11/06 |
2,957 |
|
$18.73 |
$6,334 |
$70.28 |
|
Spartan |
3/12/04 |
832 |
|
$2.01 |
$2,418 |
$4.36 |
|
The Contender |
10/13/00 |
1,516 |
|
$5.36 |
$3,536 |
$17.80 |
|
The American President |
11/17/95 |
1,508 |
$1.12 |
$10.01 |
$6,638 |
$60.02 |
|
Basic |
3/28/03 |
2,876 |
|
$11.51 |
$4,003 |
$26.60 |
|
Black Hawk Down |
1/18/02 |
3,101 |
$1.85 |
$33.63 |
$10,844 |
$108.58 |
|
Behind Enemy Lines |
11/30/01 |
2,770 |
|
$19.20 |
$6,931 |
$58.77 |
P2 (Summit)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
High Tension |
6/10/05 |
1,323 |
$1.90 |
$1,434 |
$3.65 |
|
Captivity |
7/13/07 |
1,061 |
$1.43 |
$1,347 |
$2.69 |
|
Hostel: Part II |
6/8/07 |
2,350 |
$8.20 |
$3,491 |
$17.54 |
|
Hostel |
1/6/06 |
2,195 |
$19.56 |
$8,909 |
$47.33 |
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.53 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes II |
3/23/07 |
2,447 |
$9.69 |
$3,958 |
$20.80 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
Bloodrayne |
1/6/06 |
986 |
$1.55 |
$1,574 |
$2.41 |
|
Horror Fest |
11/17/07 |
488 |
$2.30 |
$4,735 |
$2.30 |
|
An American Haunting |
5/5/06 |
1,680 |
$5.78 |
$3,443 |
$16.30 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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