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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for November 21 - 25,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
3-Day Weekend (in millions) |
5-Day Holiday Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
3-Day Weekend Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Enchanted |
$27.9 |
$38.6 |
N/A |
3,632 |
$7,682 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Beowulf |
$17.1 |
$24.8 |
-38% |
3,218 |
$5,314 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Stephen King's The Mist |
$13.6 |
$19.3 |
N/A |
2,423 |
$5,613 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Hitman |
$12.5 |
$18.6 |
N/A |
2,457 |
$5,088 |
1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Bee Movie |
$11.8 |
$16.0 |
-14% |
3,507 |
$3,365 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Fred Claus |
$11.0 |
$14.5 |
-8% |
3,603 |
$3,053 |
3 |
|
7 |
3 |
American Gangster |
$9.2 |
$12.6 |
-29% |
2,816 |
$3,267 |
4 |
|
8 |
New |
This Christmas |
$8.2 |
$10.8 |
N/A |
1,750 |
$4,488 |
1 |
|
9 |
5 |
Mr. Magorium's Wonder Emporium |
$8.0 |
$10.7 |
-18% |
3,167 |
$2,528 |
2 |
|
10 |
New |
August Rush |
$6.5 |
$8.9 |
N/A |
2,310 |
$2,844 |
1 |
|
11 |
7 |
No Country for Old Men |
$5.2 |
$7.5 |
60% |
860 |
$6,047 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. 3-Day Weekend Total
$131.00 |
Est. 5-Day Weekend Total
$182.30 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-6% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,485 |
|
COMPARISONS:
ENCHANTED (Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Underdog |
8/3/07 |
3,013 |
|
$11.59 |
$3,845 |
$43.12 |
|
Talladega Nights |
8/4/06 |
3,803 |
|
$47.04 |
$12,370 |
$148.21 |
|
June Bug |
8/3/05 |
7 |
|
$0.07 |
$10,677 |
$2.68 |
|
The Wedding Date |
2/4/05 |
1,695 |
|
$11.13 |
$6,566 |
$31.59 |
|
Hairspray |
7/20/07 |
3,121 |
|
$27.48 |
$8,804 |
$118.82 |
|
Rent |
11/25/05 |
2,433 |
$7.12 |
$10.02 |
$4,117 |
$29.08 |
|
102 Dalmatians |
11/22/00 |
2,704 |
|
$19.89 |
$7,355 |
$66.90 |
|
101 Dalmatians |
11/29/96 |
2,794 |
|
$33.50 |
$11,990 |
$136.19 |
|
Tarzan |
6/18/99 |
3,005 |
$0.14 |
$34.22 |
$11,388 |
$170.82 |
|
The Little Mermaid |
11/17/89 |
994 |
|
$6.03 |
$6,066 |
$84.36 |
|
Princess Diaries 2: The Royal Engagement |
8/13/04 |
3,472 |
$14.18 |
$22.96 |
$6,612 |
$91.89 |
|
The Princess Diaries |
8/3/01 |
2,537 |
|
$22.86 |
$9,011 |
$108.24 |
|
Legally Blonde |
7/13/01 |
2,620 |
|
$20.38 |
$7,778 |
$95.66 |
STEPHEN KING’S THE MIST (Dimension)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Majestic |
12/21/01 |
2,361 |
|
$4.90 |
$2,077 |
$27.80 |
|
The Green Mile |
12/10/99 |
2,875 |
|
$18.02 |
$6,268 |
$136.80 |
|
The Shawshank Redemption |
10/14/94 |
944 |
$4.75 |
$2.40 |
$2,542 |
$28.24 |
|
1408 |
6/22/07 |
2,678 |
|
$20.62 |
$7,699 |
$71.98 |
|
Dreamcatcher |
3/21/03 |
2,945 |
|
$15.03 |
$5,103 |
$33.69 |
|
Needful Things |
8/27/93 |
1,963 |
|
$5.20 |
$2,649 |
$15.13 |
|
The Dark Half |
4/23/93 |
1,563 |
|
$3.25 |
$2,079 |
$9.58 |
|
Misery |
11/30/90 |
1,244 |
|
$10.08 |
$8,103 |
$61.16 |
|
Pet Sematary |
4/21/89 |
1,585 |
|
$12.05 |
$7,603 |
$57.47 |
|
The Punisher |
4/16/04 |
2,649 |
|
$13.83 |
$5,223 |
$33.68 |
|
Mystic River |
10/17/03 |
1,467 |
$3.09 |
$10.45 |
$7,121 |
$90.14 |
|
Silent Hill |
4/21/06 |
2,926 |
|
$20.15 |
$6,887 |
$46.98 |
|
The Fog |
10/14/05 |
2,972 |
|
$11.75 |
$3,955 |
$28.00 |
HITMAN (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Live Free or Die Hard |
6/27/07 |
3,408 |
$15.03 |
$33.37 |
$9,792 |
$134.53 |
|
The Girl Next Door |
4/9/04 |
2,148 |
|
$6.00 |
$2,795 |
$14.59 |
|
Dreamcatcher |
3/21/03 |
2,945 |
|
$15.03 |
$5,103 |
$33.69 |
|
The Transporter 2 |
9/2/05 |
3,303 |
|
$20.10 |
$6,087 |
$43.10 |
|
The Transporter |
10/11/02 |
2,573 |
|
$9.11 |
$3,540 |
$25.30 |
|
The Professional |
11/18/94 |
1,158 |
|
$5.31 |
$1,658 |
$19.25 |
|
Doom |
10/21/05 |
3,044 |
|
$15.49 |
$5,088 |
$27.62 |
|
House of the Dead |
10/10/03 |
1,520 |
|
$5.68 |
$3,734 |
$10.20 |
|
Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever |
9/20/02 |
2,705 |
|
$7.01 |
$2,592 |
$14.29 |
|
Resident Evil |
3/15/02 |
2,528 |
|
$17.71 |
$7,004 |
$39.53 |
THIS CHRISTMAS (Sony/Screen Gems)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Crossover |
9/1/06 |
1,023 |
|
$3.77 |
$3,683 |
$7.01 |
|
Friday After Next |
11/22/02 |
1,616 |
|
$13.01 |
$8,052 |
$32.87 |
|
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls |
2/14/07 |
2,111 |
$5.70 |
$11.20 |
$5,311 |
$31.37 |
|
How Stella Got Her Groove Back |
8/14/98 |
1,395 |
|
$11.32 |
$8,115 |
$37.65 |
|
Family Stone, The |
12/16/05 |
2,466 |
|
$12.52 |
$5,077 |
$60.06 |
|
Johnson Family Vacation |
4/9/04 |
1,317 |
$2.44 |
$9.38 |
$7,119 |
$31.18 |
|
Home for the Holidays |
11/3/95 |
1,000 |
|
$4.01 |
$4,010 |
$17.47 |
AUGUST RUSH (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Arthur and the Invisibles |
1/12/07 |
2,247 |
|
$4.29 |
$1,911 |
$15.13 |
|
A Good Year |
11/10/06 |
2,066 |
|
$3.72 |
$1,801 |
$7.46 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
|
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
Finding Neverland |
11/12/04 |
513 |
$3.08 |
$4.67 |
$9,104 |
$51.68 |
|
Waitress |
5/4/07 |
510 |
$2.52 |
$3.08 |
$6,031 |
$19.07 |
|
Match Point |
12/30/05 |
8 |
$0.20 |
$0.53 |
$66,179 |
$20.36 |
|
Music of the Heart |
10/29/99 |
1,349 |
|
$3.65 |
$2,706 |
$14.85 |
|
Mr. Holland's Opus |
1/19/96 |
1,409 |
$0.02 |
$9.26 |
$6,572 |
$82.58 |
|
Rent |
11/25/05 |
2,433 |
$7.12 |
$10.02 |
$4,117 |
$29.08 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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