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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for November 2 - 4,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 11.1.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
American Gangster |
$45.1 |
N/A |
3,054 |
$14,768 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Bee Movie |
$40.3 |
N/A |
3,928 |
$10,260 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Saw IV |
$13.8 |
-56% |
3,183 |
$4,336 |
2 |
|
4 |
2 |
Dan in Real Life |
$7.5 |
-38% |
1,925 |
$3,896 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
Martian Child |
$4.9 |
N/A |
2,020 |
$2,426 |
1 |
|
6 |
4 |
The Game Plan |
$3.6 |
-43% |
2,844 |
$1,266 |
6 |
|
7 |
3 |
30 Days of Night |
$3.2 |
-53% |
2,627 |
$1,218 |
3 |
|
8 |
6 |
Michael Clayton |
$3.1 |
-37% |
2,107 |
$1,471 |
5 |
|
9 |
5 |
Why Did I Get Married? |
$2.9 |
-48% |
1,403 |
$2,067 |
4 |
|
10 |
7 |
Gone Baby Gone |
$2.4 |
-38% |
1,617 |
$1,484 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$126.80 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-45% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,319 |
|
COMPARISONS:
AMERICAN GANGSTER (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Déjà Vu |
11/24/06 |
3,108 |
$8.08 |
$20.57 |
$6,620 |
$64.04 |
|
Inside Man |
3/24/06 |
2,818 |
|
$28.95 |
$10,275 |
$88.63 |
|
The Manchurian Candidate |
7/30/04 |
2,867 |
|
$20.02 |
$6,982 |
$64.82 |
|
Man on Fire |
4/23/04 |
2,979 |
$0.04 |
$22.75 |
$7,637 |
$77.86 |
|
Training Day |
10/5/01 |
2,712 |
|
$22.55 |
$7,315 |
$76.26 |
|
A Good Year |
11/10/06 |
2,066 |
|
$3.72 |
$1,801 |
$7.46 |
|
Cinderella Man |
6/3/05 |
2,812 |
|
$18.32 |
$6,515 |
$61.65 |
|
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World |
11/14/03 |
3,101 |
|
$25.11 |
$8,096 |
$87.57 |
|
A Beautiful Mind |
1/4/02 |
1,853 |
$21.21 |
$16.57 |
$8,940 |
$170.71 |
|
Kingdom of Heaven |
5/6/05 |
3,216 |
|
$19.64 |
$6,106 |
$47.39 |
|
Black Hawk Down |
1/18/02 |
3,101 |
$1.85 |
$33.63 |
$10,844 |
$108.58 |
|
Gladiator |
5/5/00 |
2,938 |
|
$34.82 |
$11,852 |
$186.61 |
|
8 Mile |
11/8/02 |
2,470 |
|
$51.24 |
$20,745 |
$116.13 |
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
|
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
Narc |
1/10/03 |
822 |
$0.35 |
$2.83 |
$3,438 |
$10.46 |
|
Blow |
4/6/01 |
2,249 |
|
$12.44 |
$5,535 |
$52.94 |
BEE MOVIE (DreamWorks/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Flushed Away |
11/3/06 |
3,707 |
|
$18.81 |
$5,075 |
$64.57 |
|
Over the Hedge |
5/19/06 |
4,059 |
|
$38.46 |
$9,475 |
$155.02 |
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
|
$47.22 |
$11,432 |
$193.20 |
|
Shark Tale |
10/1/04 |
4,016 |
|
$47.60 |
$11,854 |
$160.76 |
|
Shrek |
5/18/01 |
3,587 |
$0.04 |
$42.35 |
$11,805 |
$267.65 |
|
The Simpsons Movie |
7/27/07 |
3,922 |
|
$74.04 |
$18,877 |
$182.71 |
|
Robots |
3/11/05 |
3,776 |
|
$36.05 |
$9,546 |
$128.19 |
|
The Ant Bully |
7/28/07 |
3,050 |
|
$8.43 |
$2,765 |
$28.13 |
|
A Bug's Life |
11/25/98 |
2,686 |
$0.51 |
$32.83 |
$12,223 |
$162.79 |
|
Antz |
10/2/98 |
2,449 |
|
$17.20 |
$7,023 |
$90.71 |
|
Surf's Up |
6/8/07 |
3,528 |
|
$17.64 |
$5,000 |
$58.87 |
|
Open Season |
9/29/06 |
3,833 |
|
$23.62 |
$6,163 |
$84.30 |
MARTIAN CHILD (New Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
1408 |
6/22/07 |
$2,678 |
|
$20.62 |
$7,699 |
$71.98 |
|
The Ice Harvest |
11/25/05 |
1,550 |
$1.31 |
$3.74 |
$2,413 |
$8.82 |
|
Must Love Dogs |
7/29/05 |
2,505 |
|
$12.86 |
$5,132 |
$43.67 |
|
Runaway Jury |
10/17/03 |
2,815 |
|
$11.84 |
$4,205 |
$49.36 |
|
Serendipity |
10/5/01 |
2,601 |
|
$13.31 |
$5,117 |
$50.26 |
|
Anastasia |
11/21/97 |
2,478 |
$0.14 |
$14.10 |
$5,690 |
$58.40 |
|
How to Eat Fried Worms |
8/25/06 |
1,870 |
|
$4.00 |
$2,141 |
$13.04 |
|
Hoot |
5/5/06 |
3,018 |
|
$3.37 |
$1,116 |
$8.08 |
|
The Astronaut Farmer |
2/23/07 |
2,155 |
|
$4.45 |
$2,067 |
$11.00 |
|
K-Pax |
10/26/01 |
2,541 |
|
$17.22 |
$6,774 |
$50.32 |
|
Hearts in Atlantis |
9/28/01 |
1,751 |
|
$9.53 |
$5,440 |
$24.19 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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