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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for May 25 - 28,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 5.24.07)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
4-Day Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End |
$164.3* |
N/A |
4,362 |
$37,666 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Shrek the Third |
$82.3 |
-33% |
4,172 |
$19,775 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Spider-Man 3 |
$18.0 |
-38% |
3,723 |
$4,835 |
4 |
|
4 |
New |
Bug |
$5.1 |
N/A |
1,661 |
$3,070 |
1 |
|
5 |
3 |
28 Weeks Later |
$3.5 |
-36% |
2,013 |
$1,739 |
3 |
|
6 |
5 |
Disturbia |
$2.5 |
-33% |
1,632 |
$1,532 |
7 |
|
7 |
4 |
Georgia Rule |
$2.4 |
-35% |
1,897 |
$1,265 |
3 |
|
8 |
12 |
Waitress |
$2.1 |
94% |
510 |
$4,118 |
3 |
|
9 |
6 |
Fracture |
$1.5 |
-35% |
907 |
$1,654 |
6 |
|
10 |
7 |
Delta Farce |
$0.9 |
-50% |
833 |
$1,020 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$282.75 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-21% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$7,667 |
|
*Not including Thursday night preview screenings.
COMPARISONS:
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN:
AT WORLD’S END (Walt Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest |
7/7/06 |
4,133 |
|
$135.62 |
$32,817 |
$423.27 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl |
7/11/03 |
3,269 |
$24.00 |
$46.63 |
$14,264 |
$305.41 |
|
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith |
5/20/05 |
3,661 |
$50.01 |
$108.44 |
$29,619 |
$380.21 |
|
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones |
5/16/02 |
3,161 |
$30.14 |
$80.03 |
$25,317 |
$302.18 |
|
Star Wars: Episode 1-The Phantom Menace |
5/21/99 |
2,970 |
$41.76 |
$64.81 |
$21,822 |
$431.07 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King |
12/19/03 |
3,703 |
$51.47 |
$72.62 |
$19,614 |
$377.03 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers |
12/20/02 |
3,622 |
$40.04 |
$61.50 |
$16,980 |
$340.48 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Rings |
12/21/01 |
3,359 |
$27.91 |
$47.21 |
$14,055 |
$313.39 |
|
The Matrix Revolutions |
11/5/03 |
3,502 |
$35.32 |
$48.48 |
$13,843 |
$139.08 |
|
The Matrix Reloaded |
5/16/03 |
3,603 |
$42.51 |
$91.77 |
$25,471 |
$281.91 |
|
The Matrix |
4/2/99 |
2,849 |
$9.57 |
$27.78 |
$9,751 |
$171.38 |
|
X-Men: The Last Stand |
5/26/06 |
3,690 |
|
$102.75 |
$27,846 |
$234.36 |
|
X2: X-Men United |
5/2/03 |
3,741 |
|
$85.56 |
$22,871 |
$214.95 |
|
The X-Men |
7/14/00 |
3,025 |
|
$54.47 |
$18,007 |
$157.30 |
BUG (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Twisted |
2/27/04 |
2,703 |
|
$8.90 |
$3,294 |
$25.20 |
|
The Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood |
6/7/02 |
2,507 |
|
$16.17 |
$6,449 |
$69.59 |
|
High Crimes |
4/5/02 |
2,717 |
|
$14.01 |
$5,155 |
$41.54 |
|
Eye of the Beholder |
1/28/00 |
1,751 |
|
$5.96 |
$3,404 |
$16.35 |
|
Double Jeopardy |
9/24/99 |
2,547 |
|
$23.16 |
$9,093 |
$116.40 |
|
Kiss the Girls |
10/3/97 |
2,271 |
|
$13.22 |
$5,821 |
$60.50 |
|
The Hunted |
3/14/03 |
2,516 |
|
$13.48 |
$5,359 |
$34.23 |
|
Rules of Engagement |
4/7/00 |
3,155 |
|
$15.01 |
$4,758 |
$61.32 |
|
The History Boys |
11/24/06 |
7 |
|
$.10 |
$14,430 |
$2.71 |
|
Proof |
9/16/05 |
517 |
$1.01 |
$1.48 |
$2,867 |
$7.53 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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