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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for June 8 - 10,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 6/7)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Ocean's Thirteen |
$43.5 |
N/A |
3,565 |
$12,202 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Surf's Up |
$24.8 |
N/A |
3,528 |
$7,029 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Knocked Up |
$20.8 |
-33% |
2,877 |
$7,230 |
2 |
|
4 |
1 |
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's
End |
$20.7 |
-53% |
4,002 |
$5,172 |
3 |
|
5 |
New |
Hostel Part II |
$19.6 |
N/A |
2,350 |
$8,340 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Shrek the Third |
$14.5 |
-48% |
3,925 |
$3,694 |
4 |
|
7 |
4 |
Mr. Brooks |
$5.8 |
-43% |
2,453 |
$2,364 |
2 |
|
8 |
5 |
Spider-Man 3 |
$3.9 |
-48% |
2,570 |
$1,518 |
6 |
|
9 |
6 |
Waitress |
$1.5 |
-31% |
708 |
$2,119 |
4 |
|
10 |
7 |
Gracie |
$0.8 |
-40% |
1,093 |
$732 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$155.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-42% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$5,040 |
|
COMPARISONS:
OCEAN'S THIRTEEN (Warner
Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Ocean's Twelve |
12/10/04 |
3,290 |
|
$39.15 |
$11,901 |
$125.40 |
|
Ocean's Eleven |
12/7/01 |
3,075 |
|
$38.11 |
$12,393 |
$183.13 |
|
The Good German |
12/15/06 |
5 |
|
$0.08 |
$15,363 |
$1.30 |
|
Solaris |
11/29/02 |
2,406 |
$2.67 |
$6.75 |
$2,807 |
$14.91 |
|
Out of Sight |
6/26/98 |
2,106 |
|
$12.02 |
$5,708 |
$37.56 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
The Perfect Storm |
6/30/00 |
3,407 |
|
$41.33 |
$12,131 |
$182.60 |
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
|
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.90 |
|
The Bourne Supremacy |
7/23/04 |
3,165 |
|
$52.52 |
$16,595 |
$170.45 |
|
The Bourne Identity |
6/14/02 |
2,638 |
|
$27.12 |
$10,281 |
$121.38 |
|
Mr. & Mrs. Smith |
6/10/05 |
3,424 |
|
$50.34 |
$14,703 |
$186.34 |
|
Troy |
5/14/04 |
3,411 |
|
$46.87 |
$13,739 |
$133.23 |
|
Spy Game |
11/23/01 |
2,770 |
$8.88 |
$21.69 |
$7,830 |
$62.34 |
SURF'S UP (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Open Season |
9/29/06 |
3,833 |
|
$23.62 |
$6,163 |
$84.38 |
|
Monster House |
7/21/06 |
3,553 |
|
$22.22 |
$6,253 |
$73.85 |
|
Happy Feet |
11/17/06 |
3,804 |
|
$41.55 |
$10,918 |
$198.00 |
|
March of the Penguins |
6/24/05 |
1,867 |
$19.30 |
$7.12 |
$3,812 |
$77.41 |
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
|
$61.01 |
$14,769 |
$193.14 |
|
Over the Hedge |
5/19/06 |
4,059 |
|
$38.47 |
$9,475 |
$155.02 |
|
Ice Age |
3/15/02 |
3,316 |
|
$46.30 |
$13,966 |
$176.39 |
|
Robots |
3/11/05 |
3,776 |
|
$36.05 |
$9,546 |
$128.19 |
|
Chicken Little |
11/4/05 |
3,654 |
|
$40.05 |
$10,961 |
$135.36 |
HOSTEL: PART II (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hostel |
1/6/06 |
2,195 |
$19.56 |
$8,909 |
$47.23 |
|
Cabin Fever |
9/12/03 |
2,087 |
$8.63 |
$4,137 |
$21.14 |
|
Saw 2 |
10/28/05 |
2,949 |
$31.73 |
$10,758 |
$87.03 |
|
Saw |
10/29/04 |
2,315 |
$18.28 |
$7,895 |
$55.15 |
|
The Devil's Rejects |
7/22/05 |
1,757 |
$7.07 |
$4,022 |
$16.90 |
|
House of 1000 Corpses |
4/11/03 |
595 |
$3.46 |
$5,816 |
$12.58 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes II |
3/23/07 |
2,447 |
$9.69 |
$3,958 |
$20.53 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning |
10/6/06 |
2,820 |
$18.51 |
$6,563 |
$38.16 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre |
10/17/03 |
3,016 |
$28.09 |
$9,315 |
$80.15 |
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.58 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas

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