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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for June 29 - July 1,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 6.28)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Ratatouille |
$62.7 |
N/A |
3,940 |
$15,914 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Live Free and Die Hard |
$34.3* |
N/A |
3,408 |
$10,065 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Evan Almighty |
$15.2 |
-52% |
3,636 |
$4,100 |
2 |
|
4 |
3 |
1408 |
$11.3 |
-45% |
2,733 |
$4,109 |
2 |
|
5 |
2 |
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer |
$9.2 |
-53% |
3,424 |
$2,706 |
3 |
|
6 |
5 |
Knocked Up |
$7.1 |
-35% |
2,686 |
$2,643 |
5 |
|
7 |
4 |
Ocean's 13 |
$6.0 |
-47% |
2,903 |
$2,105 |
4 |
|
8 |
31 |
SiCKO |
$5.7 |
N/A |
441 |
$12,925 |
1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End |
$3.5 |
-52% |
2,162 |
$1,619 |
6 |
|
10 |
7 |
Surf's Up |
$3.3 |
-50% |
2,503 |
$1,318 |
4 |
|
11 |
New |
Evening |
$2.9 |
N/A |
978 |
$2,965 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$161.20 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-48% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$6,052 |
|
*"Live
Free or Die Hard" made roughly $9 million on Wednesday, so the original
prediction of $39.5 million for the weekend might be a little high, although
its also expanding into 200 more theatres on Friday.
COMPARISONS:
LIVE FREE OR DIE (20th Century
Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Lucky Number Slevin |
4/7/06 |
1,984 |
|
$7.03 |
$3,544 |
$22.50 |
|
16 Blocks |
3/3/06 |
2,706 |
|
$11.86 |
$4,381 |
$36.88 |
|
Hostage |
3/11/05 |
2,123 |
|
$10.21 |
$4,811 |
$34.64 |
|
Tears of the Sun |
3/7/03 |
2,973 |
|
$17.06 |
$5,737 |
$43.63 |
|
Die Hard with A Vengeance |
5/19/95 |
2,525 |
|
$22.16 |
$8,776 |
$100.01 |
|
Die Hard 2: Die Harder |
7/6/90 |
2,507 |
$13.82 |
$21.74 |
$8,672 |
$117.32 |
|
Die Hard |
7/15/88 |
1,276 |
$3.05 |
$7.11 |
$5,568 |
$83.01 |
|
Bad Boys II |
7/18/03 |
3,186 |
|
$46.52 |
$14,602 |
$137.26 |
|
Casino Royale |
11/17/06 |
3,434 |
|
$40.83 |
$11,891 |
$167.37 |
|
Mission: Impossible III |
5/5/06 |
4,054 |
|
$47.74 |
$11,777 |
$133.38 |
|
Batman Begins |
6/17/05 |
3,858 |
$24.15 |
$48.75 |
$12,635 |
$205.09 |
|
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines |
7/4/03 |
3,504 |
$28.35 |
$44.04 |
$12,569 |
$150.35 |
|
Jurassic Park III |
7/20/01 |
3,434 |
$30.60 |
$50.77 |
$14,785 |
$181.17 |
RATATOUILLE (Disney/Pixar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Flushed Away |
11/3/06 |
3,707 |
$18.81 |
$5,075 |
$64.57 |
|
Cars |
6/9/06 |
3,985 |
$60.12 |
$15,086 |
$244.08 |
|
The Incredibles |
11/5/04 |
3,933 |
$70.47 |
$17,917 |
$261.44 |
|
Finding Nemo |
5/30/03 |
3,374 |
$70.25 |
$20,821 |
$339.71 |
|
Monsters, Inc. |
11/2/01 |
3,237 |
$63.48 |
$19,611 |
$252.89 |
|
Toy Story 2 |
11/24/99 |
3,236 |
$57.39 |
$17,735 |
$245.82 |
|
A Bug's Life |
11/25/98 |
2,686 |
$32.83 |
$12,223 |
$162.79 |
|
Toy Story |
11/24/95 |
2,457 |
$29.14 |
$11,860 |
$191.78 |
SICKO (Lionsgate/The
Weinstein Company)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Fahrenheit 9/11 |
6/25/04 |
868 |
$0.16 |
$23.92 |
$27,558 |
$118.56 |
|
Bowling For Columbine |
10/11/02 |
8 |
|
$0.21 |
$26,144 |
$17.57 |
|
Super Size Me |
5/7/04 |
41 |
|
$0.52 |
$12,601 |
$11.49 |
|
An Inconvenient Truth |
5/26/06 |
514 |
$7.61 |
$2.02 |
$3,923 |
$23.81 |
|
March of the Penguins |
6/24/05 |
1,867 |
$19.30 |
$7.12 |
$3,812 |
$77.41 |
EVENING (Focus Features)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
A Home at the End of the World |
7/23/04 |
5 |
|
$0.06 |
$12,946 |
$1.00 |
|
The Hours |
1/17/03 |
402 |
$3.78 |
$4.64 |
$11,555 |
$41.60 |
|
The Devil Wears Prada |
6/30/06 |
2,847 |
|
27.57 |
$9,672 |
$124.74 |
|
A Prairie Home Companion |
6/9/06 |
760 |
|
$4.57 |
$6,008 |
$20.43 |
|
Prime |
10/28/05 |
1,827 |
|
$6.22 |
$3,405 |
$22.73 |
|
Music of the Heart |
10/29/99 |
1,349 |
|
$3.65 |
$2,706 |
$14.85 |
|
Little Children |
10/6/06 |
5 |
|
$0.10 |
$19,591 |
$5.45 |
|
The Family Stone |
12/16/05 |
2,466 |
|
$12.52 |
$5,077 |
$60.06 |
|
Shopgirl |
10/21/05 |
8 |
|
$0.23 |
$28,711 |
$10.23 |
|
Georgia Rule |
5/11/07 |
2,523 |
|
$6.77 |
$2,685 |
$18.78 |
|
Now and Then |
10/20/95 |
1,572 |
|
$7.44 |
$4,733 |
$27.07 |
|
The Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood |
6/7/02 |
2,507 |
|
$16.17 |
$6,449 |
$69.59 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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