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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for June 22 - 24,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 6.21.06)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Evan Almighty |
$35.6 |
N/A |
3,602 |
$9,883 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer |
$26.0 |
-55% |
3,963 |
$6,561 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
1408 |
$19.6 |
N/A |
2,678 |
$7,319 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Ocean's 13 |
$11.00 |
-44% |
3,450 |
$3,188 |
3 |
|
5 |
3 |
Knocked Up |
$9.5 |
-33% |
2,972 |
$3,197 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's
End |
$6.7 |
-47% |
2,802 |
$2,391 |
5 |
|
7 |
New |
A Mighty Heart |
$6.5 |
N/A |
1,355 |
$4,797 |
1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Surf's Up |
$5.3 |
-44% |
2,950 |
$1,602 |
3 |
|
9 |
6 |
Shrek the Third |
$5.1 |
-43% |
3,100 |
$1,807 |
6 |
|
10 |
7 |
Nancy Drew |
$3.5 |
-48% |
2,612 |
$1,340 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$128.80 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-45% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,208 |
|
COMPARISONS:
EVAN ALMIGHTY (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Little Miss Sunshine |
7/26/06 |
1,430 |
$15.51 |
$7.37 |
$5,155 |
$59.89 |
|
The 40-Year-Old Virgin |
8/19/05 |
2,845 |
|
$21.42 |
$7,530 |
$109.24 |
|
Bewitched |
6/24/05 |
3,174 |
|
$20.13 |
$6,343 |
$62.25 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
|
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
|
Bruce Almighty |
5/23/03 |
3,483 |
|
$85.73 |
$24,614 |
$242.60 |
|
Liar Liar |
3/21/97 |
2,845 |
|
$31.42 |
$11,044 |
$181.41 |
|
Son of the Mask |
2/18/05 |
2,966 |
|
$9.10 |
$3,068 |
$17.01 |
|
The Mask |
7/29/94 |
2,360 |
$1.87 |
$23.12 |
$9,797 |
$119.92 |
|
Dumb and Dumberer: When Harry Met Lloyd |
6/13/03 |
2,609 |
|
$10.85 |
$4,157 |
$26.21 |
|
Dumb and Dumber |
12/16/94 |
2,447 |
|
$16.36 |
$6,686 |
$127.18 |
1408 (Dimension Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Must Love Dogs |
7/29/05 |
2,505 |
|
$12.86 |
$5,132 |
$43.67 |
|
Runaway Jury |
10/17/03 |
2,815 |
|
$11.84 |
$4,205 |
$49.36 |
|
Identity |
4/25/03 |
2,733 |
|
$16.23 |
$5,937 |
$51.48 |
|
Serendipity |
10/5/01 |
2,601 |
|
$13.31 |
$5,117 |
$50.26 |
|
Snakes on a Plane |
8/18/06 |
37,485 |
|
$15.03 |
$4,277 |
$34.02 |
|
Unbreakable |
11/22/00 |
2,708 |
$15.90 |
$30.33 |
$11,202 |
$94.92 |
|
Derailed |
11/11/05 |
2,443 |
|
$12.21 |
$4,999 |
$36.02 |
|
Secret Window |
3/12/04 |
3,018 |
|
$18.24 |
$6,043 |
$47.78 |
|
Dreamcatcher |
3/21/03 |
2,945 |
|
$15.03 |
$5,103 |
$33.69 |
|
Needful Things |
8/27/93 |
1,963 |
|
$5.20 |
$2,649 |
$15.13 |
|
The Dark Half |
4/23/93 |
1,563 |
|
$3.25 |
$2,079 |
$9.58 |
|
Misery |
11/30/90 |
1,244 |
|
$10.08 |
$8,103 |
$61.16 |
|
Pet Sematary |
4/21/89 |
1,585 |
|
$12.05 |
$7,603 |
$57.47 |
|
The Sixth Sense |
8/6/99 |
2,161 |
|
$26.68 |
$12,346 |
$293.50 |
A MIGHTY HEART (Paramount
Vantage)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
|
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.91 |
|
Mr. & Mrs. Smith |
6/10/05 |
3,424 |
|
$50.34 |
$14,703 |
$186.34 |
|
Taking Lives |
3/19/04 |
2,705 |
|
$11.46 |
$4,236 |
$32.68 |
|
Beyond Borders |
10/25/03 |
1,798 |
|
$2.08 |
$1,155 |
$4.43 |
|
The Road to Guantanamo |
6/23/06 |
15 |
|
$0.06 |
$4,076 |
$0.32 |
|
24-Hour Party People |
8/9/02 |
2 |
|
$0.03 |
$17,470 |
$1.17 |
|
Babel |
10/27/06 |
1,251 |
$1.84 |
$5.55 |
$4,443 |
$34.30 |
|
United 93 |
4/28/06 |
1,795 |
|
$11.48 |
$6,395 |
$31.84 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
The Constant Gardener |
9/2/05 |
1,346 |
$1.72 |
$10.96 |
$8,144 |
$31.25 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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