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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for July 27 - 29,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Simpsons Movie |
$48.5 |
N/A |
3,850 |
$12597 |
1 |
|
2 |
3 |
Hairspray |
$16.0 |
-42% |
3,160 |
$5,063 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix |
$15.7 |
-51% |
4,150 |
$3,783 |
3 |
|
4 |
1 |
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry |
$15.4 |
-55% |
3,350 |
$4,597 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
No Reservations |
$12.5 |
N/A |
2,450 |
$5,102 |
1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Transformers |
$10.8 |
-47% |
3,400 |
$3,176 |
4 |
|
7 |
5 |
Ratatouille |
$6.5 |
-41% |
3,000 |
$2,167 |
5 |
|
8 |
6 |
Live Free and Die Hard |
$4.0 |
-45% |
2,350 |
$1,702 |
5 |
|
9 |
New |
Who's Your Caddy? |
$2.6 |
N/A |
1,000 |
$2,600 |
1 |
|
10 |
24 |
Sunshine |
$2.3 |
N/A |
450 |
$5,111 |
2 |
|
11 |
New |
I Know Who Killed Me |
$2.1 |
N/A |
1,230 |
$1,707 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$136.40
|
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-47%
|
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,328
|
|
COMPARISONS:
THE SIMPSONS MOVIE (20th Century
Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Borat |
11/3/06 |
837 |
|
$26.46 |
$31,607 |
$128.51 |
|
Jackass: Number Two |
9/22/06 |
3,059 |
|
$29.00 |
$9,481 |
$72.82 |
|
SpongeBob SquarePants Movie, The |
11/19/04 |
3,212 |
|
$32.02 |
$9,968 |
$85.37 |
|
Jackass: The Movie |
10/25/02 |
2,509 |
|
$22.76 |
$9,072 |
$64.27 |
|
The Powerpuff Girls Movie |
7/5/02 |
2,340 |
$2.54 |
$3.58 |
$1,530 |
$11.41 |
|
South Park: Bigger, Longer, Uncut |
7/2/99 |
2,128 |
$8.30 |
$11.33 |
$5,324 |
$52.01 |
|
Pokemon the First Movie |
11/12/99 |
2,901 |
$19.72 |
$31.03 |
$10,696 |
$85.74 |
|
Rugrats |
11/20/98 |
2,782 |
|
$27.32 |
$9,820 |
$100.49 |
NO RESERVATIONS (Warner
Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Legend of Zorro |
10/28/05 |
3,520 |
|
$16.33 |
$4,639 |
$45.36 |
|
The Terminal |
6/18/04 |
2,811 |
|
$19.05 |
$6,778 |
$77.03 |
|
Intolerable Cruelty |
10/10/03 |
2,564 |
|
$12.53 |
$4,885 |
$35.10 |
|
Chicago |
2/7/03 |
1,841 |
$53.02 |
$10.79 |
$5,859 |
$170.68 |
|
America's Sweethearts |
7/20/01 |
3,011 |
|
$30.18 |
$10,024 |
$93.61 |
|
Traffic |
1/5/01 |
1,510 |
$0.52 |
$15.52 |
$10,277 |
$124.11 |
|
High Fidelity |
3/31/00 |
1,183 |
|
$6.43 |
$5,435 |
$27.04 |
|
Thank You For Smoking |
3/17/06 |
1,015 |
$7.05 |
$4.49 |
$4,425 |
$24.79 |
|
The Core |
3/28/03 |
3,017 |
|
$12.05 |
$3,995 |
$31.11 |
|
Erin Brockovich |
3/17/00 |
2,845 |
|
$28.14 |
$9,891 |
$125.55 |
|
Little Miss Sunshine |
7/26/06 |
691 |
$7.09 |
$5.61 |
$8,120 |
$59.89 |
WHO’S YOUR CADDY? (Dimension
Films/MGM)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Idlewild |
8/25/06 |
973 |
|
$5.75 |
$5,905 |
$12.67 |
|
ATL |
3/31/06 |
1,602 |
|
$11.55 |
$7,212 |
$21.16 |
|
Soul Plane |
5/28/04 |
1,566 |
|
$7.01 |
$4,476 |
$13.92 |
|
The Wash |
11/16/01 |
749 |
$0.84 |
$2.88 |
$3,839 |
$10.10 |
|
Pootie Tang |
6/29/01 |
712 |
|
$1.51 |
$2,115 |
$3.29 |
|
Friday |
4/28/95 |
865 |
$1.52 |
$6.59 |
$7,618 |
$27.39 |
|
Half Past Dead |
11/15/02 |
2,113 |
|
$7.82 |
$3,701 |
$15.36 |
|
The Greatest Game Ever Played |
9/30/05 |
1,014 |
|
$3.66 |
$3,607 |
$14.07 |
|
Bobby Jones, Stroke of Genius |
4/30/04 |
1,332 |
|
$1.23 |
$926 |
$2.70 |
|
Happy Gilmore |
2/16/96 |
2,022 |
|
$8.51 |
$4,209 |
$38.62 |
I KNOW WHO KILLED ME (Sony/Tristar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
George Rule |
5/11/07 |
2,523 |
|
$6.77 |
$2,685 |
$18.88 |
|
Bobby |
11/17/06 |
1,667 |
$1.25 |
$4.86 |
$2,914 |
$11.21 |
|
A Prairie Home Companion |
6/9/06 |
760 |
|
$4.57 |
$6,008 |
$20.34 |
|
Just My Luck |
5/12/06 |
2,541 |
|
$5.69 |
$2,240 |
$17.33 |
|
Captivity |
7/13/07 |
1,061 |
|
$1.43 |
$1,347 |
$1.43 |
|
The Invisible |
4/27/07 |
2,019 |
|
$7.72 |
$3,822 |
$20.53 |
|
The Number 23 |
2/23/07 |
2,759 |
|
$14.60 |
$5,293 |
$35.06 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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