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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for July 20 - 22,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (Final
update 7.19.07)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry |
$37.2 |
N/A |
3,495 |
$10.644 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix |
$36.2 |
-53% |
4,285 |
$8,448 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Transformers |
$20.0 |
-47% |
3,762 |
$5,316 |
3 |
|
4 |
New |
Hairspray |
$18.8 |
N/A |
3,121 |
$6,024 |
1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Ratatouille |
$11.5 |
-37% |
3,402 |
$3,380 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Live Free and Die Hard |
$6.8 |
-42% |
2,727 |
$2,494 |
4 |
|
7 |
5 |
License to Wed |
$4.7 |
-35% |
2,525 |
$1,861 |
3 |
|
8 |
6 |
1408 |
$2.8 |
-38% |
1,451 |
$1,930 |
5 |
|
9 |
8 |
Knocked Up |
$2.5 |
-33% |
1,284 |
$1,947 |
8 |
|
10 |
7 |
Evan Almighty |
$2.4 |
-50% |
1,779 |
$1,349 |
5 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$142.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-42% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,339 |
|
COMPARISONS:
I NOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK
AND LARRY (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Reign Over Me |
3/23/07 |
1,671 |
$7.46 |
$4,466 |
$19.66 |
|
Click |
6/23/06 |
3,749 |
$40.01 |
$10,673 |
$137.35 |
|
The Longest Yard |
5/27/05 |
3,634 |
$47.61 |
$13,100 |
$158.12 |
|
Spanglish |
12/17/04 |
2,438 |
$8.82 |
$3,617 |
$42.04 |
|
50 First Dates |
2/13/04 |
3,591 |
$39.58 |
$11,098 |
$120.78 |
|
Anger Management |
4/11/03 |
3,551 |
$42.22 |
$11,890 |
$133.76 |
|
Mr. Deeds |
6/28/02 |
3,231 |
$37.16 |
$11,501 |
$126.02 |
|
Little Nicky |
11/10/00 |
2,910 |
$16.06 |
$5,519 |
$39.44 |
|
Big Daddy |
6/25/99 |
3,027 |
$41.54 |
$13,723 |
$163.48 |
|
The Waterboy |
11/6/98 |
2,664 |
$39.41 |
$14,794 |
$161.49 |
|
The Wedding Singer |
2/13/98 |
2,821 |
$19.10 |
$6,771 |
$80.25 |
|
Hitch |
2/11/05 |
3,575 |
$43.14 |
$12,068 |
$177.58 |
|
In and Out |
9/19/97 |
1,992 |
$15.02 |
$7,540 |
$63.84 |
HAIRSPRAY (New Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Dreamgirls |
12/15/06 |
852 |
$22.96 |
$14.10 |
$16,549 |
$103.35 |
|
The Producers |
12/16/05 |
975 |
$.24 |
$1.62 |
$1,658 |
$19.38 |
|
Rent |
11/25/05 |
2,433 |
$7.12 |
$10.02 |
$4,117 |
$29.08 |
|
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera |
12/24/04 |
622 |
$2.32 |
$4.00 |
$6,434 |
$51.27 |
|
Chicago |
2/7/03 |
1,841 |
$53.02 |
$10.79 |
$5,859 |
$170.68 |
|
Wild Hogs |
3/2/07 |
3,287 |
|
$39.70 |
$12,078 |
$167.40 |
|
Be Cool |
3/4/05 |
3,216 |
|
$23.45 |
$7,292 |
$55.81 |
|
Last Holiday |
1/13/06 |
2,514 |
|
$12.81 |
$5,094 |
$38.36 |
|
Beauty Shop |
4/1/05 |
2,659 |
|
$12.80 |
$4,814 |
$36.35 |
|
The Cookout |
9/3/04 |
1,303 |
|
$6.22 |
$4,773 |
$11.54 |
|
Taxi |
10/8/04 |
3,001 |
$0.62 |
$12.03 |
$4,009 |
$36.61 |
|
Brown Sugar |
10/11/02 |
1,372 |
|
$10.74 |
$7,827 |
$27.36 |
|
She's the Man |
3/17/06 |
2,623 |
|
$10.73 |
$4,091 |
$33.90 |
|
What a Girl Wants |
4/4/03 |
2,964 |
|
$11.43 |
$3,858 |
$35.99 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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