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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for July 13 - 15,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 7.12.07)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix |
$83.2 |
N/A |
4,285 |
$19,417 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Transformers |
$37.0 |
-48% |
4,050 |
$9,136 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Ratatouille |
$17.7 |
-39% |
3,625 |
$4,883 |
3 |
|
4 |
3 |
Live Free and Die Hard |
$9.3 |
-47% |
3,201 |
$2,905 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
License to Wed |
$6.0 |
-42% |
2,715 |
$2,210 |
2 |
|
6 |
5 |
Evan Almighty |
$4.6 |
-47% |
2,696 |
$1,706 |
4 |
|
7 |
6 |
1408 |
$4.1 |
-41% |
2,206 |
$1,859 |
4 |
|
8 |
7 |
Knocked Up |
$3.4 |
-35% |
1,709 |
$1,989 |
7 |
|
9 |
New |
Captivity |
$3.1 |
N/A |
1,050 |
$2,952 |
1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Sicko |
$2.5 |
-32% |
756 |
$3,307 |
4 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$170.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-41% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$5,036 |
|
COMPARISONS:
HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER
OF THE PHOENIX (Warner Bros. )
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire |
11/18/05 |
3,858 |
|
$102.69 |
$26,616 |
$289.99 |
|
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban |
6/4/04 |
3,855 |
|
$93.69 |
$24,303 |
$249.51 |
|
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
11/15/02 |
3,682 |
|
$88.36 |
$23,997 |
$261.99 |
|
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone |
11/16/01 |
3,672 |
|
$90.29 |
$24,590 |
$317.57 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King |
12/19/03 |
3,703 |
$51.47 |
$72.62 |
$19,614 |
$377.03 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers |
12/20/02 |
3,622 |
$40.04 |
$61.50 |
$16,980 |
$340.48 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Rings |
12/21/01 |
3,359 |
$27.91 |
$47.21 |
$14,055 |
$313.39 |
CAPTIVITY (After Dark
Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Quiet |
8/25/06 |
7 |
$0.03 |
$3,935 |
$0.38 |
|
House of Wax |
5/6/05 |
3,111 |
$12.08 |
$3,882 |
$32.05 |
|
THe Girl Next Door |
4/9/04 |
2,148 |
$6.00 |
$2,795 |
$14.59 |
|
Old School |
2/21/03 |
2,689 |
$17.45 |
$6,491 |
$75.16 |
|
Hostel: Part II |
6/8/07 |
2,350 |
$8.20 |
$3,491 |
$17.54 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes II |
3/23/07 |
2,447 |
$9.69 |
$3,958 |
$20.53 |
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.58 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
|
Hostel |
1/6/06 |
2,195 |
$19.56 |
$8,909 |
$47.23 |
|
High Tension |
6/10/05 |
1,323 |
$1.90 |
$1,434 |
$3.65 |
|
Saw |
10/29/04 |
2,315 |
$18.28 |
$7,895 |
$55.15 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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