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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for December 28 - 30,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
National Treasure: Book of Secrets |
$40.5 |
-10% |
3,880 |
$10.438 |
2 |
|
2 |
2 |
I Am Legend |
$27.3 |
-19% |
3,550 |
$7,690 |
3 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alvin and the Chipmunks |
$23.8 |
-16% |
3,300 |
$7,212 |
3 |
|
4 |
New |
Aliens Vs. Predator - Requiem |
$15.3 |
N/A |
2,700 |
$5,667 |
1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Charlie Wilson's War |
$11.3 |
18% |
2,574 |
$4,390 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
The Water Horse |
$9.8 |
N/A |
2,772 |
$3,535 |
1 |
|
7 |
6 |
P.S. I Love You |
$8.4 |
29% |
2,454 |
$3,423 |
2 |
|
8 |
5 |
Sweeney Todd |
$8.2 |
-12% |
1,380 |
$6,308 |
2 |
|
9 |
New |
The Great Debaters |
$7.6 |
N/A |
1,250 |
$6,080 |
1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Juno |
$6.9 |
103% |
994 |
$6,942 |
4 |
|
11 |
7 |
Enchanted |
$5.0 |
20% |
2,550 |
$1,961 |
6 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$159.10 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
+13% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$6,168 |
|
COMPARISONS:
ALIENS VS. PREDATOR (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Alien vs. Predator |
8/13/04 |
3,395 |
|
$38.29 |
$11,279 |
$79.22 |
|
Alien: The Director's Cut |
10/31/03 |
347 |
$0.27 |
$1.02 |
$2,948 |
$1.99 |
|
Alien: Resurrection |
11/28/97 |
2,415 |
|
$15.69 |
$6,497 |
$47.76 |
|
Alien 3 |
5/22/92 |
2,227 |
|
$23.14 |
$10,391 |
$54.93 |
|
Aliens |
7/18/86 |
1,437 |
|
$10.05 |
$6,995 |
$81.84 |
|
Alien |
5/25/79 |
91 |
|
$3.52 |
$38,710 |
$80.92 |
|
Predator 2 |
11/21/90 |
1,950 |
$4.52 |
$8.78 |
$4,505 |
$28.32 |
|
Predator |
6/12/87 |
1,631 |
|
$12.03 |
$7,431 |
$59.74 |
|
Black Christmas |
12/25/06 |
1,544 |
$7.20 |
$3.72 |
$2,412 |
$16.24 |
|
Darkness |
12/24/04 |
1,700 |
|
$6.16 |
$3,625 |
$22.16 |
|
The Omen |
6/6/06 |
2,723 |
$13.30 |
$16.03 |
$5,886 |
$54.60 |
|
Freddy vs. Jason |
8/15/03 |
3,014 |
|
$36.43 |
$12,085 |
$82.49 |
THE WATER HORSE: LEGEND OF THE DEEP (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Millions |
3/11/05 |
5 |
|
$0.07 |
$14,045 |
$6.58 |
|
Free Willy 3: The Rescue |
8/8/97 |
1,258 |
|
$0.99 |
$787 |
$3.49 |
|
Free Willy 2 |
7/21/95 |
1,931 |
$2.48 |
$7.04 |
$3,646 |
$30.08 |
|
Free Willy |
7/16/93 |
1,476 |
|
$7.87 |
$5,332 |
$77.70 |
|
My Dog Skip |
3/3/00 |
2,331 |
$0.72 |
$5.86 |
$2,514 |
$34.10 |
|
Bridge to Terabithia |
2/16/07 |
3,139 |
|
$22.56 |
$7,188 |
$82.23 |
|
Because of Winn-Dixie |
2/18/05 |
3,188 |
|
$13.22 |
$4,146 |
$32.65 |
|
Around the World in 80 Days |
6/18/04 |
2,801 |
$2.79 |
$7.58 |
$2,705 |
$24.00 |
|
How to Eat Fried Worms |
8/25/06 |
1,870 |
|
$4.00 |
$2,141 |
$13.04 |
|
Hoot |
5/5/06 |
3,018 |
|
$3.37 |
$1,116 |
$8.08 |
| Babe |
8/4/95 |
1,591 |
|
$8.74 |
$5,493 |
$63.66 |
THE GREAT DEBATERS (The Weinstein Co.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Antwone Fisher |
1/10/03 |
1,007 |
$6.65 |
$3.78 |
$3,757 |
$21.08 |
|
Ali |
12/28/01 |
2,446 |
$20.03 |
$14.71 |
$6,014 |
$58.18 |
|
The Hurricane |
1/14/00 |
1,465 |
$4.06 |
$9.01 |
$6,150 |
$50.67 |
|
Philadelphia |
1/14/94 |
1,245 |
$0.95 |
$13.70 |
$11,004 |
$77.32 |
|
Mo' Better Blues |
8/3/90 |
544 |
|
$4.39 |
$8,065 |
$16.15 |
|
Glory |
2/16/90 |
801 |
$13.57 |
$2.68 |
$3,346 |
$26.59 |
|
Pride |
3/23/07 |
1,518 |
|
$3.53 |
$2,328 |
$7.04 |
|
Roll Bounce |
9/23/05 |
1,625 |
|
$7.57 |
$4,659 |
$17.38 |
|
Beloved |
10/16/98 |
1,501 |
|
$8.17 |
$5,443 |
$22.84 |
|
The Color Purple |
12/18/95 |
192 |
|
$1.71 |
$8,908 |
$93.59 |
|
The Emperor's Club |
11/22/02 |
809 |
|
$3.85 |
$4,755 |
$14.06 |
|
Finding Forrester |
1/22/02 |
2,002 |
$9.43 |
$9.95 |
$4,970 |
$51.77 |
|
Mr. Holland's Opus |
1/19/96 |
1,409 |
$0.02 |
$9.26 |
$6,572 |
$82.58 |
|
Dead Poet's Society |
6/2/89 |
687 |
|
$7.54 |
$10,976 |
$95.86 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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