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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for December 21 - 23,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 12.20.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
National Treasure: Book of Secrets |
$44.8 |
N/A |
3,832 |
$11,952 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
I Am Legend |
$33.8 |
-56% |
3,620 |
$9,337 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Alvin and the Chipmunks |
$25.2 |
-44% |
3,499 |
$7,088 |
2 |
|
4 |
New |
Sweeney Todd |
$14.6 |
N/A |
1,249 |
$11,689 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Charlie Wilson's War |
$10.8 |
N/A |
2,574 |
$4,196 |
1 |
|
6 |
New |
Walk Hard |
$9.4 |
N/A |
2,650 |
$3,547 |
1 |
|
7 |
New |
P.S. I Love You |
$8.1 |
N/A |
2,454 |
$3,301 |
1 |
|
8 |
3 |
The Golden Compass |
$4.3 |
-52% |
2,953 |
$1,422 |
3 |
|
9 |
4 |
Enchanted |
$3.3 |
-41% |
2,752 |
$1,199 |
5 |
|
10 |
11 |
Juno |
$3.0 |
105% |
304 |
$9,868 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$157.90 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 18% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$6,363 |
|
COMPARISONS:NATIONAL TREASURE: BOOK OF SECRETS (Walt
Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Ghost Rider |
2/16/07 |
3,619 |
|
$45.39 |
$12,542 |
$115.80 |
|
National Treasure |
11/19/04 |
3,017 |
|
$35.14 |
$11,648 |
$173.01 |
|
Gone in 60 Seconds |
6/9/00 |
3,006 |
|
$25.34 |
$8,430 |
$101.61 |
|
Con Air |
6/6/97 |
2,824 |
|
$24.13 |
$8,545 |
$101.12 |
|
The Rock |
6/7/96 |
2,392 |
|
$25.07 |
$10,481 |
$134.07 |
|
Shanghai Knights |
2/7/03 |
2,753 |
|
$19.60 |
$7,121 |
$60.47 |
|
Shanghai Noon |
5/26/00 |
2,711 |
|
$15.61 |
$5,758 |
$56.90 |
|
Rush Hour 2 |
8/3/01 |
3,118 |
|
$67.41 |
$21,619 |
$226.14 |
|
Rush Hour |
9/18/98 |
2,638 |
|
$33.00 |
$12,509 |
$141.17 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest |
7/7/06 |
4,133 |
|
$135.62 |
$32,817 |
$423.27 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl |
7/11/03 |
3,269 |
$24.00 |
$46.63 |
$14,264 |
$305.41 |
|
Meet the Fockers |
12/24/04 |
3,518 |
$24.40 |
$46.12 |
$13,110 |
$275.94 |
|
Meet the Parents |
10/6/00 |
2,614 |
|
$28.62 |
$10,949 |
$166.23 |
|
The Da Vinci Code |
5/19/06 |
3,735 |
|
$77.07 |
$20,635 |
$217.54 |
SWEENEY TODD: THE DEMON BARBER OF FLEET STREET (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride |
9/16/05 |
3,204 |
0.511 |
$19.15 |
$5,975 |
$53.34 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
|
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
Sleepy Hollow |
11/19/99 |
3,062 |
|
$30.06 |
$9,817 |
$101.07 |
|
Ed Wood |
9/30/94 |
623 |
$0.40 |
$1.90 |
$3,056 |
$5.83 |
|
Edward Scissorhands |
12/14/90 |
1,080 |
|
$6.33 |
$5,861 |
$53.98 |
|
Finding Nemo |
5/30/03 |
3,374 |
|
$70.25 |
$20,821 |
$339.71 |
|
Secret Window |
3/12/04 |
3,018 |
|
$18.24 |
$6,043 |
$47.78 |
|
From Hell |
10/19/01 |
2,305 |
|
$11.32 |
$4,911 |
$31.60 |
|
Big Fish |
1/9/04 |
2,406 |
$9.58 |
$13.81 |
$5,740 |
$66.43 |
|
Planet of the Apes |
7/27/01 |
3,500 |
|
$68.53 |
$19,581 |
$180.01 |
|
Batman |
6/23/89 |
2,194 |
|
$42.71 |
$19,467 |
$251.19 |
|
Dreamgirls |
12/29/06 |
852 |
$22.96 |
$14.10 |
$16,549 |
$103.34 |
|
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera |
12/24/04 |
622 |
$2.32 |
$4.00 |
$6,434 |
$49.44 |
|
Moulin Rouge |
6/1/01 |
2,279 |
$0.68 |
$13.72 |
$6,019 |
$57.22 |
|
Chicago |
2/7/03 |
1,841 |
$53.02 |
$10.79 |
$5,859 |
$170.68 |
CHARLIE WILSON'S WAR (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Da Vinci Code |
5/19/06 |
3,735 |
|
$77.07 |
$20,635 |
$217.54 |
|
The Polar Express |
11/12/04 |
3,650 |
$7.31 |
$23.32 |
$6,390 |
$162.75 |
|
The Terminal |
6/18/04 |
2,811 |
|
$19.05 |
$6,778 |
$77.03 |
|
The Ladykillers |
3/26/04 |
1,583 |
|
$12.63 |
$7,981 |
$39.69 |
|
Catch Me If You Can |
12/27/02 |
3,156 |
$18.60 |
$30.08 |
$9,532 |
$144.96 |
|
Road to Perdition |
7/12/02 |
1,797 |
|
$22.08 |
$12,267 |
$104.05 |
|
Cast Away |
12/22/00 |
2,774 |
|
$28.88 |
$10,411 |
$233.63 |
|
Philadelphia |
1/14/94 |
1,245 |
$0.95 |
$13.70 |
$11,004 |
$77.32 |
|
Mona Lisa Smile |
12/19/03 |
2,677 |
|
$11.53 |
$4,306 |
$62.96 |
|
Closer |
12/3/04 |
476 |
|
$7.71 |
$16,193 |
$33.99 |
|
Lions for Lambs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
|
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.91 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
Primary Colors |
3/20/98 |
1,965 |
|
$12.05 |
$6,132 |
$39.30 |
|
The American President |
11/17/95 |
1,508 |
$1.12 |
$10.01 |
$6,638 |
$60.02 |
WALK HARD: THE DEWEY COX STORY (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Talladega Nights |
8/4/06 |
3,803 |
|
$47.04 |
$12,370 |
$148.21 |
|
A Prairie Home Companion |
6/9/06 |
760 |
|
$4.57 |
$6,008 |
$20.34 |
|
The Aviator |
12/17/04 |
1,796 |
$1.36 |
$8.63 |
$4,806 |
$102.68 |
|
Anger Management |
4/11/03 |
3,551 |
|
$42.22 |
$11,890 |
$133.76 |
|
Gangs of New York |
12/20/02 |
1,504 |
|
$9.12 |
$6,051 |
$77.81 |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
|
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
|
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
Blades of Glory |
3/30/07 |
3,372 |
|
$33.01 |
$9,791 |
$118.25 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
|
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
|
Walk the Line |
11/18/05 |
2,961 |
|
$22.35 |
$7,547 |
$119.40 |
|
Beyond the Sea |
12/17/04 |
6 |
|
$0.05 |
$7,544 |
$6.14 |
|
Ray |
10/29/04 |
2,006 |
|
$20.04 |
$9,990 |
$75.24 |
|
The Ringer |
12/23/05 |
1,829 |
|
$7.70 |
$4,211 |
$35.42 |
|
A Mighty Wind |
4/18/03 |
133 |
$0.62 |
$2.11 |
$15,880 |
$17.58 |
P.S. I LOVE YOU (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Reaping |
4/6/07 |
2,603 |
|
$10.03 |
$3,851 |
$25.13 |
|
Freedom Writers |
1/5/07 |
1,360 |
|
$9.41 |
$6,916 |
$36.61 |
|
The Black Dahlia |
9/15/06 |
2,226 |
|
$10.01 |
$4,495 |
$22.67 |
|
Million Dollar Baby |
12/17/04 |
2,010 |
$9.31 |
$12.27 |
$6,102 |
$100.42 |
|
The Core |
3/28/03 |
3,017 |
|
$12.05 |
$3,995 |
$31.11 |
|
Insomnia |
5/24/02 |
2,610 |
|
$20.93 |
$9,988 |
$67.26 |
|
300 |
3/9/07 |
3,109 |
|
$70.89 |
$22,844 |
$210.61 |
|
In Her Shoes |
10/7/05 |
2,808 |
|
$10.02 |
$3,568 |
$32.88 |
|
Catch & Release |
1/26/07 |
1,622 |
|
$7.66 |
$4,722 |
$15.43 |
|
The Holiday |
12/8/06 |
2,610 |
|
$12.78 |
$4,896 |
$63.28 |
|
Living Out Loud |
11/6/98 |
1,086 |
$0.25 |
$4.32 |
$3,978 |
$12.70 |
|
Life Or Something Like It |
4/26/02 |
2,604 |
|
$6.22 |
$2,388 |
$14.45 |
|
Kate & Leopold |
12/28/01 |
2,452 |
$7.57 |
$9.73 |
$3,966 |
$47.10 |
|
Someone Like You |
3/30/01 |
2,345 |
|
$10.01 |
$4,269 |
$27.23 |
|
Message In A Bottle |
2/12/99 |
2,538 |
|
$16.71 |
$6,584 |
$52.80 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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