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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for March 2 - 4,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Wild Hogs |
$28.1 |
N/A |
3,287 |
$8,549 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Zodiac |
$17.5 |
N/A |
2,362 |
$7,409 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Ghost Rider |
$9.5 |
-53% |
3,608 |
$2,633 |
3 |
|
4 |
3 |
Bridge to Terabitha |
$9.1 |
-36% |
3,159 |
$2,881 |
3 |
|
5 |
2 |
The Number 23 |
$6.8 |
-54% |
2,759 |
$2,465 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
Black Snake Moan |
$6.3 |
N/A |
1,252 |
$5,032 |
1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Norbit |
$5.4 |
-45% |
2,827 |
$1,910 |
4 |
|
8 |
4 |
Reno 911!: Miami |
$5.2 |
-49% |
2,702 |
$1,925 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
Music and Lyrics |
$4.7 |
-39% |
2,644 |
$1,778 |
3 |
|
10 |
7 |
Breach |
$3.4 |
-43% |
1,496 |
$2,273 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$96.00 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-46% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,685 |
|
COMPARISONS:
ZODIAC (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Panic Room |
3/29/02 |
3,053 |
|
$30.06 |
$9,845 |
$95.31 |
|
Fight Club |
10/15/99 |
1,963 |
|
$11.04 |
$5,624 |
$37.02 |
|
The Game |
9/12/97 |
2,403 |
|
$14.34 |
$5,968 |
$48.27 |
|
Se7en |
9/22/95 |
2,441 |
|
$13.95 |
$5,715 |
$100.12 |
|
Taking Lives |
4/19/02 |
2,705 |
|
$11.46 |
$4,236 |
$32.68 |
|
Murder By Numbers |
4/19/02 |
2,642 |
|
$9.31 |
$3,495 |
$31.87 |
|
Along Came a Spider |
4/6/01 |
2,530 |
|
$16.71 |
$6,606 |
$74.06 |
|
Summer of Sam |
7/2/99 |
1,536 |
|
$5.99 |
$3,900 |
$19.13 |
|
Kiss the Girls |
10/3/97 |
2,271 |
|
$13.22 |
$5,821 |
$60.50 |
|
Silence of the Lambs |
2/15/91 |
1,497 |
$1.41 |
$13.77 |
$9,198 |
$130.73 |
|
Brokeback Mountain |
12/9/05 |
5 |
|
$0.55 |
$109,485 |
$82.86 |
|
Jarhead |
11/4/05 |
2,411 |
|
$27.73 |
$11,500 |
$62.65 |
|
Collateral |
8/6/04 |
3,188 |
|
$24.70 |
$7,748 |
$101.00 |
|
In the Cut |
10/22/03 |
825 |
$0.17 |
$2.06 |
$2,501 |
$4.72 |
WILD HOGS (Touchstone
Pictures)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Big Momma's House 2 |
1/27/06 |
3,261 |
|
$27.74 |
$8,505 |
$70.17 |
|
Bad Boys II |
7/18/03 |
3,186 |
|
$46.52 |
$14,602 |
$137.26 |
|
Big Momma's House |
6/2/00 |
2,802 |
|
$25.66 |
$9,158 |
$117.48 |
|
Bad Boys |
4/7/95 |
2,132 |
|
$15.52 |
$7,280 |
$65.65 |
|
Be Cool |
3/4/05 |
3,216 |
|
$23.45 |
$7,292 |
$55.81 |
|
Primary Colors |
3/20/98 |
1,965 |
|
$12.05 |
$6,132 |
$39.30 |
|
Get Shorty |
10/20/95 |
1,612 |
|
$12.70 |
$7,878 |
$72.00 |
|
Pulp Fiction |
10/14/94 |
1,338 |
|
$9.31 |
$6,958 |
$107.93 |
|
The Santa Clause 3 |
11/3/06 |
3,458 |
|
$19.50 |
$5,640 |
$84.50 |
|
Zoom |
8/11/06 |
2,501 |
|
$4.51 |
$1,803 |
$11.63 |
|
The Shaggy Dog |
3/10/06 |
3,501 |
|
$16.31 |
$4,659 |
$61.11 |
|
Christmas with the Kranks |
11/26/04 |
3,393 |
$9.25 |
$21.57 |
$6,357 |
$73.70 |
|
Big Trouble |
4/5/02 |
1,961 |
|
$3.55 |
$1,808 |
$7.26 |
|
The Pacifier |
3/4/05 |
3,131 |
|
$30.55 |
$9,758 |
$113.01 |
|
Bringing Down the House |
3/7/03 |
2,801 |
|
$31.10 |
$11,104 |
$132.68 |
|
City Slickers 2 |
6/10/94 |
2,243 |
|
$11.52 |
$5,136 |
$43.44 |
|
City Slickers |
6/7/91 |
1,992 |
|
$13.03 |
$6,541 |
$124.03 |
BLACK SNAKE MOAN (Paramount
Vantage)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hustle & Flow |
7/22/05 |
1,013 |
|
$8.02 |
$7,915 |
$22.18 |
|
Snakes on a Plane |
8/18/06 |
3,555 |
|
$15.21 |
$4,277 |
$34.02 |
|
Freeedomland |
2/17/06 |
2,361 |
|
$5.83 |
$2,471 |
$12.51 |
|
The Man |
9/9/05 |
2,040 |
|
$4.07 |
$1,993 |
$8.28 |
|
Coach Carter |
1/14/05 |
2,524 |
|
$29.17 |
$11,556 |
$67.25 |
|
Twisted |
2/27/04 |
2,703 |
|
$8.90 |
$3,294 |
$25.20 |
|
Cursed |
2/25/05 |
2,805 |
|
$9.63 |
$3,434 |
$19.29 |
|
Monster |
12/26/03 |
668 |
$7.09 |
$3.37 |
$5,044 |
$34.47 |
|
Anything Else |
9/19/03 |
1,033 |
|
$1.67 |
$1,620 |
$3.20 |
| Alpha Dog |
1/12/07 |
1,289 |
|
$6.4 |
$4.975 |
$15.23 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas

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