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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for March 23 - 25,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
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TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
TMNT |
$21.6 |
N/A |
3,200 |
$6,750 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Shooter |
$19.7 |
N/A |
2,650 |
$7,434 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
300 |
$16.8 |
-49% |
3,200 |
$5,250 |
3 |
|
4 |
2 |
Wild Hogs |
$11.8 |
-38% |
3,150 |
$3,746 |
4 |
|
5 |
New |
The Hills Have Eyes 2 |
$11.5 |
N/A |
2,550 |
$4,510 |
1 |
|
6 |
New |
The Last Mimzy |
$11.3 |
N/A |
3,100 |
$3,645 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
Premonition |
$9.2 |
-48% |
2,831 |
$3,250 |
2 |
|
8 |
New |
Reign Over Me |
$7.5 |
N/A |
1,650 |
$4,545 |
1 |
|
9 |
New |
Pride |
$5.9 |
N/A |
1,700 |
$3,471 |
1 |
|
10 |
4 |
Dead Silence |
$3.5 |
-55% |
1,803 |
$1,941 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$118.80 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-48% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,457 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE HILLS HAVE EYES II (Fox
Atomic)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
Red Eye |
8/19/05 |
3,079 |
$16.17 |
$5,251 |
$57.86 |
|
Cursed |
2/25/05 |
2,805 |
$9.63 |
$3,434 |
$19.29 |
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.58 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning |
10/6/06 |
2,820 |
$18.51 |
$6,563 |
$38.16 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre |
10/17/03 |
3,016 |
$28.09 |
$9,315 |
$80.15 |
|
House of Wax |
5/6/05 |
3,111 |
$12.08 |
$3,882 |
$32.05 |
|
Wrong Turn |
5/30/03 |
1,615 |
$5.16 |
$3,164 |
$15.42 |
THE LAST MIMZY (New
Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
My Super Ex-Girlfriend |
7/21/06 |
2,702 |
$8.60 |
$3,184 |
$22.53 |
|
Arthur and the Invisibles |
1/12/07 |
2,247 |
$4.29 |
$1,911 |
$14.63 |
|
How to Eat Fried Worms |
8/25/06 |
1,870 |
$4.00 |
$2,141 |
$13.04 |
|
Zoom |
8/11/06 |
2,501 |
$4.51 |
$1,803 |
$11.63 |
|
Hoot |
5/5/06 |
3,018 |
$3.37 |
$1,116 |
$8.08 |
|
Bridge to Terabithia |
2/16/07 |
3,139 |
$22.56 |
$7,188 |
$69.08 |
|
Because of Winn-Dixie |
2/18/05 |
3,188 |
$13.22 |
$4,146 |
$32.65 |
|
Holes |
4/18/03 |
2,331 |
$16.30 |
$6,993 |
$67.38 |
|
Frequency |
4/28/00 |
2,621 |
$9.03 |
$3,445 |
$44.98 |
PRIDE (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Idlewild |
8/25/06 |
973 |
|
$5.74 |
$5,905 |
$12.57 |
|
Get Rich or Die Tryin' |
11/11/05 |
1,652 |
$5.70 |
$12.02 |
$7,277 |
$30.98 |
|
Four Brothers |
8/12/05 |
2,533 |
|
$21.18 |
$8,360 |
$73.62 |
|
Hustle & Flow |
7/22/05 |
1,013 |
|
$8.02 |
$7,915 |
$22.18 |
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
|
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
Guess Who |
3/25/05 |
3,147 |
|
$20.67 |
$6,569 |
$67.96 |
|
Mr. 3000 |
9/17/04 |
2,736 |
|
$8.68 |
$3,172 |
$21.80 |
|
Head of State |
3/28/03 |
2,151 |
|
$13.50 |
$6,278 |
$37.79 |
|
Akeelah and the Bee |
4/28/06 |
2,195 |
|
$6.01 |
$2,739 |
$18.85 |
|
Glory Road |
1/13/06 |
2,222 |
|
$13.59 |
$6,118 |
$42.65 |
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Coach Carter |
1/14/05 |
2,524 |
|
$29.17 |
$11,556 |
$67.25 |
REIGN OVER ME (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Spanglish |
12/17/04 |
2,438 |
|
$8.82 |
$3,617 |
$42.04 |
|
Punch-Drunk Love |
11/1/02 |
1,252 |
$6.86 |
$4.00 |
$3,197 |
$17.79 |
|
The Upside of Anger |
3/11/05 |
9 |
|
$0.21 |
$23,507 |
$18.76 |
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
|
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
Hotel Rwanda |
12/24/04 |
319 |
$4.29 |
$1.33 |
$4,158 |
$23.52 |
|
After the Sunset |
11/12/04 |
2,819 |
|
$11.10 |
$3,938 |
$28.33 |
|
Swordfish |
6/8/01 |
2,678 |
|
$18.14 |
$6,776 |
$69.72 |
|
Boogie Nights |
10/31/97 |
907 |
$4.07 |
$4.68 |
$5,160 |
$26.39 |
|
Stranger than Fiction |
11/10/06 |
2,264 |
|
$13.41 |
$5,924 |
$40.14 |
|
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind |
3/19/04 |
1,353 |
|
$8.18 |
$6,042 |
$34.13 |
|
Rain Man |
12/16/88 |
1,248 |
|
$7.01 |
$5,614 |
$171.19 |
SHOOTER (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
|
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
Four Brothers |
8/12/05 |
2,533 |
|
$21.18 |
$8,360 |
$73.62 |
|
The Italian Job |
5/30/03 |
2,633 |
|
$19.46 |
$7,390 |
$105.63 |
|
The Truth About Charlie |
10/25/02 |
753 |
|
$2.27 |
$3,015 |
$5.29 |
|
Planet of the Apes |
7/27/01 |
3,500 |
|
$68.53 |
$68.53 |
$19,581 |
|
The Perfect Storm |
6/30/00 |
3,407 |
|
$41.33 |
$12,131 |
$182.60 |
|
The Big Hit |
4/24/98 |
2,149 |
|
$10.81 |
$5,030 |
$27.07 |
|
King Arthur |
7/9/04 |
3,086 |
$8.43 |
$15.19 |
$4,924 |
$51.80 |
|
Tears of the Sun |
3/7/03 |
2,973 |
|
$17.06 |
$5,737 |
$43.63 |
|
Training Day |
10/5/01 |
2,712 |
|
$22.55 |
$7,315 |
$76.26 |
|
The Bourne Identity |
6/14/02 |
2,638 |
|
$27.12 |
$10,281 |
$121.38 |
|
Most Wanted |
10/10/97 |
2,098 |
|
$2.84 |
$1,354 |
$6.33 |
TMNT (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed |
3/26/04 |
3,312 |
|
$29.44 |
$8,888 |
$84.19 |
|
Scooby-Doo |
6/14/02 |
3,447 |
|
$54.16 |
$15,712 |
$153.29 |
|
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 3 |
3/19/93 |
2,087 |
$0.58 |
$12.42 |
$5,951 |
$42.27 |
|
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 |
3/22/91 |
2,868 |
|
$20.03 |
$6,984 |
$78.58 |
|
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles |
3/30/90 |
2,006 |
|
$25.40 |
$12,662 |
$135.27 |
|
Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie |
8/13/04 |
2,411 |
|
$9.49 |
$3,934 |
$19.65 |
|
Rocky Balboa |
12/20/06 |
3,017 |
$9.69 |
$12.16 |
$4,030 |
$70.23 |
|
The Adventures of Rocky and Bullwinkle |
6/30/00 |
2,458 |
|
$6.81 |
$2,771 |
$26.00 |
|
Looney Tunes: Back in Action |
11/14/03 |
2,903 |
|
$9.32 |
$3,209 |
$20.95 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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