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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for February 16 - 19,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
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TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Ghost Rider |
$38.2 |
N/A |
3,550 |
$10,761 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Norbit |
$21.2 |
-38% |
3,150 |
$6,730 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Bridge to Terabithia |
$17.5 |
N/A |
2,850 |
$6,140 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Music and Lyrics |
$16.8 |
N/A |
2,950 |
$5,695 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Daddy's Little Girls |
$15.5 |
N/A |
2,200 |
$7,045 |
1 |
|
6 |
2 |
Hannibal Rising |
$7.7 |
-41% |
3,003 |
$2,564 |
2 |
|
7 |
3 |
Because I Said So |
$6.5 |
-35% |
2,350 |
$2,766 |
3 |
|
8 |
New |
Breach |
$6.3 |
N/A |
1,450 |
$4,345 |
1 |
|
9 |
5 |
Night at the Museum |
$4.5 |
-22% |
2,350 |
$1,915 |
9 |
|
10 |
4 |
The Messengers |
$4.2 |
-42% |
2,200 |
$1,909 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$138.40 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-36% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,984 |
|
COMPARISONS:
MUSIC AND LYRICS (Warner
Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason |
11/12/04 |
530 |
$8.68 |
$16,385 |
$40.20 |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
Two Weeks Notice |
12/20/02 |
2,755 |
$14.40 |
$5,227 |
$88.82 |
|
About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
|
Notting Hill |
5/28/99 |
2,745 |
$22.13 |
$8,062 |
$116.09 |
|
Fever Pitch |
4/8/05 |
3,267 |
$12.40 |
$3,796 |
$42.07 |
|
50 First Dates |
2/13/04 |
3,591 |
$39.58 |
$11,098 |
$120.78 |
|
Riding in Cars with Boys |
10/19/01 |
2,770 |
$10.80 |
$3,899 |
$29.78 |
|
Never Been Kissed |
4/9/99 |
2,455 |
$11.84 |
$4,823 |
$55.47 |
|
The Wedding Singer |
2/13/98 |
2,821 |
$19.10 |
$6,771 |
$80.25 |
TYLER PERRY’S DADDY’S LITTLE
GIRLS (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Madea's Family Reunion |
2/24/06 |
2,194 |
$30.03 |
$13,688 |
$63.26 |
|
Diary of a Mad Black Woman |
2/25/05 |
1,483 |
$21.91 |
$14,771 |
$50.38 |
|
Deliver Us From Eva |
2/7/03 |
1,139 |
$6.65 |
$5,837 |
$17.57 |
|
Two Can Play That Game |
9/7/01 |
1,297 |
$7.72 |
$5,953 |
$22.24 |
|
The Brothers |
3/23/01 |
1,378 |
$10.30 |
$7,477 |
$27.46 |
|
Bring it On |
8/25/00 |
2,380 |
$17.36 |
$7,294 |
$68.25 |
|
Love and Basketball |
4/21/00 |
1,237 |
$8.14 |
$6,580 |
$27.44 |
|
Brown Sugar |
10/11/02 |
1,372 |
$10.74 |
$7,827 |
$27.36 |
|
How Stella Got Her Groove Back |
8/14/98 |
1,395 |
$11.32 |
$8,115 |
$37.65 |
|
Waiting to Exhale |
12/22/95 |
1,253 |
$14.13 |
$11,277 |
$67.01 |
BREACH (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Shattered Glass |
10/31/03 |
8 |
|
$0.08 |
$9,693 |
$2.21 |
|
Seabiscuit |
7/25/03 |
1,987 |
|
$20.85 |
$10,495 |
$120.20 |
|
Adaptation |
1/10/03 |
560 |
$6.55 |
$2.64 |
$4,709 |
$22.50 |
|
Man of the year |
10/13/06 |
2,515 |
|
$12.29 |
$4,890 |
$37.44 |
|
The Exorcism of Emily Rose |
9/9/05 |
2,981 |
|
$30.05 |
$10,082 |
$72.13 |
|
The Life of David Gale |
2/21/03 |
2,002 |
|
$7.12 |
$3,555 |
$19.69 |
|
Flags of our Fathers |
10/20/06 |
1,876 |
|
$10.25 |
$5,461 |
$33.57 |
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
|
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
|
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.46 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
BRIDGE TO TERABITHIA (Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe |
12/9/05 |
3,616 |
$65.56 |
$18,130 |
$291.17 |
|
Because of Winn-Dixie |
2/18/05 |
3,188 |
$13.22 |
$4,146 |
$32.65 |
|
Holes |
4/18/03 |
2,331 |
$16.30 |
$6,993 |
$67.38 |
|
Zathura |
11/11/05 |
3,223 |
$13.43 |
$4,166 |
$28.05 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$73.70 |
|
Ella Enchanted |
4/9/04 |
1,931 |
$6.17 |
$3,195 |
$22.91 |
|
Tuck Everlasting |
10/11/02 |
1,185 |
$5.27 |
$4,446 |
$19.14 |
GHOST RIDER (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
|
$45.03 |
$12,974 |
$102.54 |
|
Constantine |
2/18/05 |
3,006 |
|
$33.62 |
$11,186 |
$75.50 |
|
Hellboy |
4/2/04 |
3,028 |
|
$23.17 |
$7,653 |
$59.04 |
|
V For Vendetta |
3/17/06 |
3,365 |
|
$25.64 |
$7,620 |
$70.51 |
|
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen |
7/11/03 |
3,002 |
|
$23.08 |
$7,687 |
$66.46 |
|
Blade: Trinity |
12/10/04 |
2,912 |
$8.42 |
$16.06 |
$5,516 |
$52.40 |
|
Blade II |
3/22/02 |
2,707 |
|
$32.53 |
$12,017 |
$81.65 |
|
Blade |
8/21/98 |
2,322 |
|
$17.07 |
$7,351 |
$70.10 |
|
Lord of War |
9/16/05 |
2,814 |
|
$9.39 |
$3,337 |
$23.28 |
|
National Treasure |
11/19/04 |
3,017 |
|
$35.14 |
$11,648 |
$169.79 |
|
Gone in 60 Seconds |
6/9/00 |
3,006 |
|
$25.34 |
$8,430 |
$101.61 |
|
Face/Off |
6/27/97 |
2,621 |
|
$23.39 |
$8,924 |
$112.28 |
|
Con Air |
6/6/97 |
2,824 |
|
$24.13 |
$8,545 |
$101.12 |
|
The Rock |
6/7/96 |
2,392 |
|
$25.07 |
$10,481 |
$134.07 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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