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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 31 - Sept.
3, 2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 8.30.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Halloween |
$23.4 |
N/A |
3,472 |
$6,740 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Superbad |
$13.6 |
-25% |
3,002 |
$4,530 |
3 |
|
3 |
New |
Balls of Fury |
$11.2 |
N/A |
2,850 |
$3,930 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
The Bourne Ultimatum |
$10.2 |
-18% |
3,290 |
$3,100 |
5 |
|
5 |
4 |
Mr. Bean's Holiday |
$9.8 |
0% |
1,767 |
$5,546 |
2 |
|
6 |
3 |
Rush Hour 3 |
$7.9 |
-33% |
3,008 |
$2,626 |
4 |
|
7 |
New |
Death Sentence |
$6.3 |
N/A |
1,822 |
$3,458 |
1 |
|
8 |
5 |
War |
$5.5 |
-44% |
2,277 |
$2,415 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
The Nanny Diaries |
$5.3 |
-30% |
2,636 |
$2,011 |
2 |
|
10 |
7 |
The Simpsons Movie |
$3.0 |
-32% |
2,066 |
$1,452 |
5 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$96.20 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-26% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,575 |
|
LABOR DAY COMPARISONS:
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Transporter 2 |
9/2/05 |
3,303 |
|
$20.10 |
$6,087 |
$43.10 |
|
Jeepers Creepers 2 |
8/29/03 |
3,124 |
|
$18.37 |
$5,879 |
$35.14 |
|
Jeepers Creepers |
8/31/01 |
2,944 |
|
$15.84 |
$5,380 |
$37.81 |
|
Crank |
9/1/06 |
2,515 |
|
$13.00 |
$5,168 |
$27.84 |
|
Wicker Man |
9/1/06 |
2,784 |
|
$11.72 |
$4,209 |
$24.41 |
|
The Constant Gardener |
9/2/05 |
1,346 |
$1.72 |
$10.96 |
$8,144 |
$31.25 |
|
Crow: City of Angels |
8/30/96 |
2,423 |
|
$9.79 |
$4,040 |
$17.90 |
|
Paparazzi |
9/3/04 |
2,115 |
|
$7.86 |
$3,714 |
$15.71 |
|
fear dot com |
8/30/02 |
2,550 |
|
$7.09 |
$2,779 |
$13.21 |
|
Wicker Park |
9/3/04 |
2,598 |
|
$6.82 |
$2,625 |
$12.83 |
HALLOWEEN (Dimension)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Devil's Rejects |
7/22/05 |
1,757 |
|
$7.07 |
$4,022 |
$16.90 |
|
House of 1000 Corpses |
4/11/03 |
595 |
|
$3.46 |
$5,816 |
$12.58 |
|
Halloween: Resurrection |
7/12/02 |
1,954 |
|
$12.29 |
$6,291 |
$30.26 |
|
Hallowe'en: H20 |
8/7/98 |
2,607 |
$8.56 |
$16.19 |
$6,210 |
$55.02 |
|
Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers |
9/29/95 |
1,679 |
|
$7.31 |
$4,354 |
$15.12 |
|
Halloween V |
10/13/89 |
1,483 |
|
$5.09 |
$3,432 |
$11.64 |
|
Black Christmas |
12/25/06 |
1,544 |
7.2 |
$3.72 |
$2,412 |
$16.24 |
|
The Omen |
6/6/06 |
2,723 |
20.27 |
$16.03 |
$5,886 |
$54.61 |
|
The Amityville Horror |
4/15/05 |
3,323 |
|
$23.51 |
$7,074 |
$64.26 |
|
Dawn of the Dead |
3/19/04 |
2,745 |
|
$26.72 |
$9,735 |
$58.89 |
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre |
10/17/03 |
3,016 |
|
$28.09 |
$9,315 |
$80.15 |
BALLS OF FURY (Rogue)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Reno 911!: Miami |
2/23/07 |
2,702 |
|
$10.27 |
$3,802 |
$20.34 |
|
Night at the Museum |
12/22/06 |
3,685 |
|
$30.43 |
$8,259 |
$250.86 |
|
Let's Go To Prison |
11/17/06 |
1,495 |
|
$2.22 |
$1,485 |
$5.53 |
|
Herbie: Fully Loaded |
6/24/05 |
3,521 |
$5.04 |
$12.71 |
$3,610 |
$65.94 |
|
The Pacifier |
3/4/05 |
3,131 |
|
$30.55 |
$9,758 |
$113.01 |
|
Blades of Glory |
3/30/07 |
3,372 |
|
$33.01 |
$9,791 |
$118.25 |
|
Beerfest |
8/25/06 |
2,964 |
|
$7.03 |
$2,372 |
$19.19 |
|
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story |
6/18/04 |
2,694 |
|
$30.07 |
$11,162 |
$114.06 |
|
Kung Pow: Enter the Fist |
1/25/02 |
2,478 |
|
$7.02 |
$2,832 |
$16.03 |
|
The Rundown |
9/26/03 |
3,152 |
|
$18.53 |
$5,880 |
$47.59 |
DEATH SENTENCE (Fox Atomic)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Dead Silence |
3/16/07 |
1805 |
|
$7.84 |
$4,345 |
$16.57 |
|
Saw |
10/29/04 |
2,315 |
|
$18.28 |
$7,895 |
$55.15 |
|
Beauty Shop |
4/1/05 |
2,659 |
$3.85 |
$12.80 |
$4,814 |
$36.31 |
|
Mystic River |
10/17/03 |
1,467 |
$3.09 |
$10.45 |
$7,121 |
$90.14 |
|
Hollow Man |
8/4/00 |
2,956 |
|
$26.41 |
$8,934 |
$73.21 |
|
Walking Tall |
4/2/04 |
2,836 |
|
$15.50 |
$5,466 |
$45.86 |
|
Payback |
2/5/99 |
2,720 |
|
$21.22 |
$7,801 |
$81.52 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas

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