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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 3 - 5,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 8.12.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Bourne Ultimatum |
$57.2 |
N/A |
3,660 |
$15,628 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Simpsons Movie |
$33.8 |
-54% |
3,940 |
$8,579 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Underdog |
$13.6 |
N/A |
3,013 |
$4,514 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry |
$10.5 |
-45% |
3,289 |
$3,192 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hairspray |
$10.0 |
-38% |
3,115 |
$3,210 |
3 |
|
6 |
New |
Hot Rod |
$9.7 |
N/A |
2,607 |
$3,721 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix |
$8.9 |
-50% |
3,125 |
$2,848 |
4 |
|
8 |
5 |
No Reservations |
$6.9 |
-41% |
2,425 |
$2,845 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
Transformers |
$6.0 |
-48% |
2,419 |
$2,522 |
5 |
|
10 |
New |
Bratz |
$5.2 |
N/A |
1,509 |
$3,446 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$161.80 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-46% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,588 |
|
COMPARISONS:
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Bourne Supremacy |
7/23/04 |
3,165 |
|
$52.52 |
$16,595 |
$170.45 |
|
The Bourne Identity |
6/14/02 |
2,638 |
|
$27.12 |
$10,281 |
$121.38 |
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
|
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.91 |
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
United 93 |
4/28/06 |
1,795 |
|
$11.48 |
$6,395 |
$31.57 |
|
Breach |
2/16/07 |
1,489 |
|
$10.50 |
$7,055 |
$33.00 |
|
Shooter |
3/23/07 |
2,806 |
|
$14.52 |
$5,175 |
$47.00 |
|
Casino Royale |
11/17/06 |
3,434 |
|
$40.83 |
$11,891 |
$167.35 |
HOT ROD (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Taxi |
10/8/04 |
3,001 |
$12.03 |
$4,009 |
$36.61 |
|
Dickie Roberts: Former Child Star |
9/5/03 |
2,023 |
$6.66 |
$3,288 |
$22.74 |
|
Corky Romano |
10/12/01 |
2,062 |
$9.02 |
$4,374 |
$23.98 |
|
Ladies Man |
10/13/00 |
2,022 |
$5.43 |
$2,685 |
$13.59 |
|
Superstar |
10/8/99 |
1,943 |
$8.91 |
$4,586 |
$30.63 |
|
A Night at the Roxbury |
10/2/98 |
1,865 |
$9.61 |
$5,153 |
$30.32 |
|
Tommy Boy |
3/31/95 |
2,165 |
$8.03 |
$3,709 |
$32.65 |
|
Wayne's World |
2/14/92 |
1,768 |
$18.12 |
$10,249 |
$121.70 |
|
Wedding Crashers |
7/15/05 |
2,925 |
$33.90 |
$11,590 |
$209.22 |
UNDERDOG (Walt Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed |
3/26/04 |
3,312 |
$29.44 |
$8,888 |
$84.19 |
|
Scooby-Doo |
6/14/02 |
3,447 |
$54.16 |
$15,712 |
$153.29 |
|
Looney Tunes: Back in Action |
11/14/03 |
2,903 |
$9.32 |
$3,209 |
$20.95 |
|
The Adventures of Rocky and Bullwinkle |
6/30/00 |
2,458 |
$6.81 |
$2,771 |
$26.00 |
|
Firehouse Dog |
4/4/07 |
2,806 |
$3.83 |
$1,342 |
$10.80 |
|
Good Boy! |
10/10/03 |
3,225 |
$13.11 |
$4,064 |
$37.57 |
|
Racing Stripes |
1/14/05 |
3,185 |
$18.86 |
$5,922 |
$49.19 |
|
The Shaggy Dog |
3/10/06 |
3,501 |
$16.31 |
$4,659 |
$61.12 |
|
The Country Bears |
7/26/02 |
2,553 |
$5.31 |
$2,080 |
$16.99 |
|
The Incredibles |
11/5/04 |
3,933 |
$70.47 |
$17,917 |
$261.44 |
|
Zoom |
8/11/06 |
2,501 |
$4.51 |
$1,803 |
$11.63 |
|
My Super Ex-Girlfriend |
7/21/06 |
2,702 |
$8.60 |
$3,184 |
$22.53 |
|
Superbabies: Baby Geniuses 2 |
8/27/04 |
1,276 |
$3.25 |
$2,548 |
$9.11 |
BRATZ (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Material Girls |
8/18/06 |
1,509 |
|
$4.60 |
$3,050 |
$11.49 |
|
John Tucker Must Die |
7/28/06 |
2,560 |
|
$14.27 |
$5,577 |
$41.01 |
|
Raise Your Voice |
10/8/04 |
2,521 |
|
$4.02 |
$1,596 |
$10.41 |
|
New York Minute |
5/7/04 |
3,006 |
|
$5.96 |
$1,983 |
$14.02 |
|
Mean Girls |
4/30/04 |
2,839 |
|
$24.43 |
$8,606 |
$86.05 |
|
Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen |
2/20/04 |
2,503 |
|
$9.35 |
$3,736 |
$29.30 |
|
The Lizzie McGuire Movie |
5/2/03 |
2,825 |
|
$17.34 |
$6,138 |
$42.67 |
EL CANTANTE (Picturehouse)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Shall We Dance? |
10/15/04 |
1,772 |
|
$11.78 |
$6,650 |
$57.89 |
|
Enough |
5/24/02 |
2,623 |
|
$14.01 |
$6,562 |
$39.18 |
|
Selena |
3/21/97 |
1,850 |
|
$11.62 |
$6,281 |
$35.36 |
|
Walk the Line |
11/18/05 |
2,961 |
|
$22.35 |
$7,547 |
$119.40 |
|
Beyond the Sea |
12/17/04 |
6 |
|
$0.05 |
$7,544 |
$6.14 |
|
Ray |
10/29/04 |
2,006 |
|
$20.04 |
$9,990 |
$75.24 |
|
Pinero |
12/14/01 |
2 |
|
$0.02 |
$10,875 |
$0.28 |
|
Evita |
1/10/97 |
704 |
$2.85 |
$8.38 |
$11,903 |
$50.02 |
|
La Bamba |
7/24/87 |
1,251 |
|
$5.65 |
$4,517 |
$54.22 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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