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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 17 - 19,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final
update 8.16.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Superbad |
$27.4 |
N/A |
2,947 |
$9,294 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Rush Hour 3 |
$22.6 |
-54% |
3,778 |
$5,982 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
The Bourne Ultimatum |
$18.4 |
-44% |
3,700 |
$4,973 |
3 |
|
4 |
New |
The Invasion |
$10.5 |
N/A |
2,750 |
$3,782 |
1 |
|
5 |
3 |
The Simpsons Movie |
$5.8 |
-49% |
3,162 |
$1,834 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Stardust |
$5.5 |
-40% |
2,540 |
$2,144 |
2 |
|
7 |
5 |
Hairspray |
$4.3 |
-33% |
2,400 |
$1,800 |
5 |
|
8 |
6 |
Underdog |
$3.8 |
-41% |
2,500 |
$1,490 |
3 |
|
9 |
New |
The Last Legion |
$3.6 |
N/A |
2,000 |
$1,798 |
1 |
|
10 |
12 |
Becoming Jane |
$3.4 |
17% |
1,186 |
$2,867 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$105.30 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-35% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,270 |
|
COMPARISONS:
SUPERBAD (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
|
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
Accepted |
8/18/06 |
2,914 |
|
$10.02 |
$3,440 |
$36.58 |
|
The 40-Year-Old Virgin |
8/19/05 |
2,845 |
|
$21.42 |
$7,530 |
$109.24 |
|
Anchorman |
7/9/04 |
3,091 |
|
$28.42 |
$9,193 |
$84.14 |
|
Without a Paddle |
8/20/04 |
2,730 |
|
$13.53 |
$4,956 |
$58.16 |
|
The Girl Next Door |
4/9/04 |
2,148 |
|
$6.00 |
$2,795 |
$14.59 |
|
10 Things I Hate About You |
4/2/99 |
2,271 |
$3.19 |
$8.33 |
$3,668 |
$38.18 |
|
Can't Hardly Wait |
6/12/98 |
1,987 |
|
$8.03 |
$4,041 |
$26.61 |
THE INVASION (Warner
Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Bewitched |
6/24/05 |
3,174 |
|
$20.13 |
$6,343 |
$62.25 |
|
The Interpreter |
4/22/05 |
2,758 |
|
$22.82 |
$8,275 |
$72.52 |
|
Birth |
10/29/04 |
550 |
|
$1.71 |
$3,102 |
$5.01 |
|
The Stepford Wives |
6/11/04 |
3,057 |
|
$21.41 |
$7,003 |
$59.48 |
|
Cold Mountain |
12/26/03 |
2,163 |
$4.51 |
$14.57 |
$6,738 |
$78.38 |
|
The Hours |
1/17/03 |
402 |
$3.78 |
$4.64 |
$11,555 |
$41.60 |
|
Birthday Girl |
2/1/02 |
1,000 |
|
$2.37 |
$2,370 |
$4.92 |
|
The Others |
8/10/01 |
1,678 |
|
$14.09 |
$8,397 |
$96.08 |
|
The Forgotten |
9/24/04 |
3,104 |
|
$21.02 |
$6,773 |
$66.64 |
|
The Reaping |
4/6/07 |
2,603 |
|
$10.03 |
$3,851 |
$25.12 |
|
The Wicker Man |
9/1/06 |
2,784 |
|
$9.60 |
$3,452 |
$24.41 |
|
V For Vendetta |
3/17/06 |
3,365 |
|
$25.64 |
$7,620 |
$70.51 |
THE LAST LEGION (Weinstein
Company)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Pathfinder |
4/13/07 |
1720 |
|
$5.00 |
$2,908 |
$9.96 |
|
Alexander |
11/26/04 |
2,445 |
$8.15 |
$13.69 |
$5,598 |
$34.29 |
|
King Arthur |
7/9/04 |
3,086 |
$8.43 |
$15.19 |
$4,924 |
$51.80 |
|
Lucky Number Slevin |
4/7/06 |
|
|
$7.03 |
$3,544 |
$22.50 |
|
Bloodrayne |
1/6/06 |
985 |
|
$1.55 |
$1,574 |
$2.41 |
|
Oliver Twist |
9/23/05 |
5 |
|
$0.07 |
$13,689 |
$1.99 |
|
A Sound of Thunder |
9/2/05 |
816 |
|
$1.19 |
$1,459 |
$1.89 |
|
Thunderbirds |
7/30/04 |
2,057 |
|
$2.77 |
$1,345 |
$6.77 |
|
Bride and Prejudice |
2/11/05 |
32 |
|
$0.39 |
$12,058 |
$6.60 |
|
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason |
11/12/04 |
530 |
|
$8.68 |
$16,385 |
$40.20 |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
|
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
|
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas
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