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The Weekend Warrior
Box Office Predictions for August 10 - 12,
2007
By Edward Douglas -
Check out the Weekend
Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis.
(final
update 8.9.07)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check
out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything
to say about anything written in this column, feedback and
Email
is always
welcome,
and
almost
always responded
to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Rush Hour 3 |
$56.4 |
N/A |
3,778 |
$14,929 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Bourne Ultimatum |
$33.3 |
-52% |
3,687 |
$9,032 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Stardust |
$13.2 |
N/A |
2,540 |
$5,197 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
The Simpsons Movie |
$12.0 |
-52% |
3,552 |
$3,378 |
3 |
|
5 |
3 |
Underdog |
$6.7 |
-43% |
3,013 |
$2,224 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
Daddy Day Camp |
$6.2 |
N/A |
2,332 |
$2,659 |
1 |
|
7 |
4 |
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry |
$5.8 |
-45% |
2,798 |
$2,073 |
4 |
|
8 |
6 |
Hairspray |
$5.5 |
-40% |
2,805 |
$1,961 |
4 |
|
9 |
5 |
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix |
$5.0 |
-47% |
2,585 |
$1,934 |
5 |
|
10 |
7 |
No Reservations |
$3.9 |
-40% |
2,053 |
$1,900 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$148.00 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-46% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$4,112 |
|
COMPARISONS:
DADDY DAY CAMP (Sony
TriStar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Daddy Day Care |
5/9/03 |
3,370 |
|
$27.62 |
$8,197 |
$103.55 |
|
Radio |
10/25/03 |
3,074 |
|
$13.30 |
$4,326 |
$52.28 |
|
Boat Trip |
3/21/03 |
1,714 |
|
$3.82 |
$2,226 |
$8.59 |
|
Snow Dogs |
1/18/02 |
2,302 |
|
$23.71 |
$10,299 |
$81.15 |
|
Rat Race |
8/17/01 |
2,550 |
|
$11.66 |
$4,573 |
$56.09 |
|
Pearl Harbor |
5/25/01 |
3,214 |
|
$59.08 |
$18,382 |
$198.54 |
|
Men of Honor |
11/10/00 |
2,092 |
|
$13.34 |
$6,377 |
$48.75 |
|
Jerry Maguire |
12/13/96 |
2,531 |
|
$17.08 |
$6,748 |
$153.75 |
|
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 |
12/23/05 |
3,175 |
$5.28 |
$15.34 |
$4,832 |
$82.41 |
|
Cheaper By the Dozen |
12/26/03 |
3,298 |
$8.18 |
$27.56 |
$8,356 |
$128.03 |
|
Rebound |
7/1/05 |
2,464 |
|
$6.00 |
$2,436 |
$16.71 |
|
Are We Done Yet? |
4/6/07 |
2,877 |
|
$14.26 |
$4,957 |
$49.63 |
|
Are We There Yet? |
1/21/05 |
2,709 |
|
$18.58 |
$6,857 |
$82.30 |
|
The Nutty Professor 2: The Klumps |
7/28/00 |
3,242 |
|
$42.52 |
$13,115 |
$123.29 |
|
The Nutty Professor |
6/28/96 |
2,115 |
|
$25.41 |
$12,014 |
$128.81 |
|
Dr. Dolittle 2 |
6/22/01 |
3,049 |
|
$25.04 |
$8,212 |
$112.89 |
|
Doctor Dolittle |
6/26/98 |
2,777 |
|
$29.01 |
$10,447 |
$144.14 |
RUSH HOUR 3 (New
Line)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Rush Hour 2 |
8/3/01 |
3,118 |
|
$67.41 |
$21,619 |
$226.14 |
|
Rush Hour |
9/18/98 |
2,638 |
|
$33.00 |
$12,509 |
$141.17 |
|
Around the World in 80 Days |
6/18/04 |
2,801 |
$2.79 |
$7.58 |
$2,705 |
$24.00 |
|
The Medallion |
8/22/03 |
2,648 |
|
$8.11 |
$3,063 |
$22.11 |
|
Shanghai Knights |
2/7/03 |
2,753 |
|
$19.60 |
$7,121 |
$60.47 |
|
The Tuxedo |
9/27/02 |
3,022 |
|
$15.05 |
$4,980 |
$50.28 |
|
Shanghai Noon |
5/26/00 |
2,711 |
|
$15.61 |
$5,758 |
$56.90 |
|
After the Sunset |
11/12/04 |
2,819 |
|
$11.10 |
$3,938 |
$28.33 |
|
Bad Boys II |
7/18/03 |
3,186 |
|
$46.52 |
$14,602 |
$137.26 |
|
Bad Boys |
4/7/95 |
2,132 |
|
$15.52 |
$7,280 |
$65.65 |
|
Blue Streak |
9/17/99 |
2,735 |
|
$19.21 |
$7,024 |
$68.21 |
|
Mission: Impossible 3 |
5/5/06 |
4,054 |
|
$47.74 |
$11,777 |
$133.50 |
|
Mission:Impossible 2 |
5/26/00 |
3,653 |
$21.00 |
$57.85 |
$15,836 |
$215.35 |
STARDUST (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Layer Cake |
5/13/05 |
10 |
|
$0.08 |
$8,171 |
$2.34 |
|
Mirrormask |
9/30/05 |
18 |
|
$0.13 |
$7,025 |
$0.86 |
|
Sinbad: Legend of the Seven Seas |
7/4/03 |
3,086 |
$3.18 |
$6.87 |
$2,227 |
$26.29 |
|
White Oleander |
10/11/02 |
1,510 |
|
$5.61 |
$3,714 |
$16.11 |
|
What Lies Beneath |
7/21/00 |
2,813 |
|
$29.70 |
$10,558 |
$155.37 |
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
|
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$75.03 |
|
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow |
9/17/04 |
3,170 |
|
$15.58 |
$4,915 |
$37.76 |
|
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe |
12/9/05 |
3,616 |
|
$65.56 |
$18,130 |
$291.17 |
|
The Lord of the Ring: Fellowship of the Rings |
12/21/01 |
3,359 |
$27.91 |
$47.21 |
$14,055 |
$313.39 |
|
From Hell |
10/19/01 |
2,305 |
|
$11.32 |
$4,911 |
$31.60 |
|
The Fisher King |
9/27/91 |
1,214 |
$0.50 |
$7.07 |
$5,824 |
$41.80 |
|
The Adventures of Baron Munchausen |
3/10/89 |
46 |
|
$0.60 |
$12,986 |
$8.08 |
|
The Princess Bride |
9/25/87 |
622 |
0.206 |
$4.48 |
$7,202 |
$30.86 |
SKINWALKERS (After
Dark Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Blood and Chocolate |
1/26/07 |
1,200 |
$2.07 |
$1,729 |
$3.53 |
|
Underworld: Evolution |
1/20/06 |
3,207 |
$26.86 |
$8,375 |
$62.32 |
|
Cursed |
2/25/05 |
2,805 |
$9.63 |
$3,434 |
$19.29 |
|
Underworld |
9/19/03 |
2,915 |
$21.75 |
$7,462 |
$51.48 |
|
An American Werewolf in Paris |
12/26/97 |
1,728 |
$7.54 |
$4,363 |
$26.55 |
|
Wolf |
6/17/94 |
2,117 |
$17.91 |
$8,460 |
$65.01 |
|
Near Dark |
10/2/87 |
262 |
$0.64 |
$2,426 |
$3.36 |
|
The Lost Boys |
7/31/87 |
1,249 |
$5.24 |
$5,098 |
$32.22 |
|
Captivity |
7/13/07 |
1,061 |
$1.43 |
$1,347 |
$2.69 |
|
Jason X |
4/26/02 |
1,878 |
$6.65 |
$3,540 |
$12.61 |
Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas

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