The Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 10 - 12, 2007
By Edward Douglas -

Check out the Weekend Warrior Blog for this week's Analysis. (final update 8.9.07)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Rush Hour 3

$56.4

N/A

3,778

$14,929

1

2

1

The Bourne Ultimatum

$33.3

-52%

3,687

$9,032

2

3

New

Stardust

$13.2

N/A

2,540

$5,197

1

4

2

The Simpsons Movie

$12.0

-52%

3,552

$3,378

3

5

3

Underdog

$6.7

-43%

3,013

$2,224

2

6

New

Daddy Day Camp

$6.2

N/A

2,332

$2,659

1

7

4

I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry

$5.8

-45%

2,798

$2,073

4

8

6

Hairspray

$5.5

-40%

2,805

$1,961

4

9

5

Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

$5.0

-47%

2,585

$1,934

5

10

7

No Reservations

$3.9

-40%

2,053

$1,900

3

Est. Weekend Total
$148.00

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-46%

Est. Average PTA
$4,112



COMPARISONS:

DADDY DAY CAMP (Sony TriStar)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Daddy Day Care

5/9/03

3,370

$27.62

$8,197

$103.55

Radio

10/25/03

3,074

$13.30

$4,326

$52.28

Boat Trip

3/21/03

1,714

$3.82

$2,226

$8.59

Snow Dogs

1/18/02

2,302

$23.71

$10,299

$81.15

Rat Race

8/17/01

2,550

$11.66

$4,573

$56.09

Pearl Harbor

5/25/01

3,214

$59.08

$18,382

$198.54

Men of Honor

11/10/00

2,092

$13.34

$6,377

$48.75

Jerry Maguire

12/13/96

2,531

$17.08

$6,748

$153.75

Cheaper by the Dozen 2

12/23/05

3,175

$5.28

$15.34

$4,832

$82.41

Cheaper By the Dozen

12/26/03

3,298

$8.18

$27.56

$8,356

$128.03

Rebound

7/1/05

2,464

$6.00

$2,436

$16.71

Are We Done Yet?

4/6/07

2,877

$14.26

$4,957

$49.63

Are We There Yet?

1/21/05

2,709

$18.58

$6,857

$82.30

The Nutty Professor 2: The Klumps

7/28/00

3,242

$42.52

$13,115

$123.29

The Nutty Professor

6/28/96

2,115

$25.41

$12,014

$128.81

Dr. Dolittle 2

6/22/01

3,049

$25.04

$8,212

$112.89

Doctor Dolittle

6/26/98

2,777

$29.01

$10,447

$144.14



RUSH HOUR 3 (New Line)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Rush Hour 2

8/3/01

3,118

$67.41

$21,619

$226.14

Rush Hour

9/18/98

2,638

$33.00

$12,509

$141.17

Around the World in 80 Days

6/18/04

2,801

$2.79

$7.58

$2,705

$24.00

The Medallion

8/22/03

2,648

$8.11

$3,063

$22.11

Shanghai Knights

2/7/03

2,753

$19.60

$7,121

$60.47

The Tuxedo

9/27/02

3,022

$15.05

$4,980

$50.28

Shanghai Noon

5/26/00

2,711

$15.61

$5,758

$56.90

After the Sunset

11/12/04

2,819

$11.10

$3,938

$28.33

Bad Boys II

7/18/03

3,186

$46.52

$14,602

$137.26

Bad Boys

4/7/95

2,132

$15.52

$7,280

$65.65

Blue Streak

9/17/99

2,735

$19.21

$7,024

$68.21

Mission: Impossible 3

5/5/06

4,054

$47.74

$11,777

$133.50

Mission:Impossible 2

5/26/00

3,653

$21.00

$57.85

$15,836

$215.35



STARDUST (Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Layer Cake

5/13/05

10

$0.08

$8,171

$2.34

Mirrormask

9/30/05

18

$0.13

$7,025

$0.86

Sinbad: Legend of the Seven Seas

7/4/03

3,086

$3.18

$6.87

$2,227

$26.29

White Oleander

10/11/02

1,510

$5.61

$3,714

$16.11

What Lies Beneath

7/21/00

2,813

$29.70

$10,558

$155.37

Eragon

12/15/06

3,020

$23.24

$7,695

$75.03

Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow

9/17/04

3,170

$15.58

$4,915

$37.76

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe

12/9/05

3,616

$65.56

$18,130

$291.17

The Lord of the Ring: Fellowship of the Rings

12/21/01

3,359

$27.91

$47.21

$14,055

$313.39

From Hell

10/19/01

2,305

$11.32

$4,911

$31.60

The Fisher King

9/27/91

1,214

$0.50

$7.07

$5,824

$41.80

The Adventures of Baron Munchausen

3/10/89

46

$0.60

$12,986

$8.08

The Princess Bride

9/25/87

622

0.206

$4.48

$7,202

$30.86



SKINWALKERS (After Dark Films)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Blood and Chocolate

1/26/07

1,200

$2.07

$1,729

$3.53

Underworld: Evolution

1/20/06

3,207

$26.86

$8,375

$62.32

Cursed

2/25/05

2,805

$9.63

$3,434

$19.29

Underworld

9/19/03

2,915

$21.75

$7,462

$51.48

An American Werewolf in Paris

12/26/97

1,728

$7.54

$4,363

$26.55

Wolf

6/17/94

2,117

$17.91

$8,460

$65.01

Near Dark

10/2/87

262

$0.64

$2,426

$3.36

The Lost Boys

7/31/87

1,249

$5.24

$5,098

$32.22

Captivity

7/13/07

1,061

$1.43

$1,347

$2.69

Jason X

4/26/02

1,878

$6.65

$3,540

$12.61



Copyright 2007 Edward Douglas


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