Your Weekly Guide to New Movies for
September 29, 2006
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to the Weekend
Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend's new movies. Tune
in every Tuesday for the latest look at the upcoming weekend,
and then check back on Friday for final projections based on
actual theatre counts.
THE BATTLE CRY!
(If you have anything to say about this or anything else written
in the column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always
responded to.)
I just don't understand why studios seem to
have so much trouble marketing horror-comedies.
And if you don't know what I'm talking about, just look at
the treatment of movies like the "Project Greenlight" horror
flick Feast or the way that
New Line's Snakes on a Plane bombed this past summer, making only $15
million after some of the biggest hype for a movie maybe ever. Or you can go
back earlier this year when James Gunn's Slither, a campy retro mix
of ‘50s and ‘80s horror movies, failed to meet expectations.
It's funny to think that horror-comedy has fallen so far, when you realize
that Wes Craven's Scream series, which spoofed ‘80s slasher flicks,
is still one of the more successful horror franchises. On top of that,
the directors of two of the highest grossing franchises in film history
cut their teeth on independently-made horror-comedies. Yes, I'm talking
of course of Sam Raimi and Peter Jackson. Who would have thought that they
would become two of the most in-demand directors after their low budget
horror debuts? Shaun of the Dead is still one of the funniest movies
I've ever seen, and yet it found a lot of its audience here after it was
already out of of theatres.
The thing is that there are a lot of great horror-comedies still
being made, and their chances at being seen worry me after seeing
the treatment of some of the movies mentioned above. There's a great
horror comedy that's done the festival rounds in the last year called
Behind the Mask: The Rise of Leslie Vernon (here's a
review by my good friend Devin at CHUD), which has yet to get
distribution although it crosses the mockumentary genius of Christopher
Guest with the "reality horror" of Blair Witch Project. Two
other recent horror-comedies have generated great word-of-mouth
at festivals, the British Severance already getting released
by Magnolia Pictures next year, and the New Zealand horror-comedy
Black Sheep, which was almost a phenomenon at a recent festival,
still hasn't been picked up for distribution. One
respected journalist thought that the reason for this was because
of its horror-comedy genre. And he has a good point.
If you think about some of the most financially successful studio movies
of the last few years—that is, those which provided the most profit on
the least investment—there are many comedies and many horror movies in
that list, because both genres can be done fairly cheaply, so why is
it so hard to market something that mixes these two genres? Maybe it's
just too hard to make a movie seem funny and scary at the same time,
especially when working with less than a minute for a TV commercial or
slightly longer for a trailer, and often times, much of the best bits
involve gore or foul language, which is hard to include in an all-ages
environment.
Presumably, all of these movies will do better once they come to
video, which is why so many of the flops from the ‘70s and ‘80s
have since become cult classics worthy of lousy remakes, but honestly,
these movies just aren't the same when you're watching them at home
by yourself. You need a crowd that's really into the jokes and the
gore, who understands that there's something inherently funny in
dumb people getting killed by creatures or killers. It's such a
big part of the experience, and it seems like studios would do well
to sell THAT as a reason to go see a movie like Snakes on a Plane
in the theatres.
Instead of hiding these movies from the public and critics, have early
screenings mixing the two groups (preferably after 10pm, the best time
to see them!) and then film the audience reaction for use in the commercials.
It's not like that hasn't been done before, and for these kind of movies,
what's going on in the audience is almost always as fun or entertaining
as what's happening on the screen. If you take away that experience and
start pushing the genre only towards the home/DVD audience, then you're
just guaranteeing the death of the horror-comedy genre.
THE CHOSEN ONE:
THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND (Fox
Searchlight)
Starring Forest Whitaker, James McAvoy, Kerry Washington, Gillian Anderson,
Simon McBurney, David Oyelowo, Abby Mukiibi
Genre: Drama
Directed by Kevin Macdonald (One Day in September, Touching the Void);
Written by Peter Morgan (also this week The Queen), Jeremy Brock (Mrs.
Brown, Charlotte Gray, upcoming Driving Lessons, Brideshead
Revisited)
Genre: Drama, Historical
Rated R (for Idi Amin is one badass dictator!)
Tagline: "Charming. Magnetic. Murderous."
Story: Nicholas Garrigan (James McAvoy), a young Scottish doctor, travels to
Uganda to escape his unsupportive father and ends up becoming the personal
family physician and confidante to the country's powerful and ruthless president,
Idi Amin (Forest Whitaker), whose paranoia and savagery reveals itself over
time.
REVIEW
INTERVIEW
(with Forest Whitaker)
Dramas
set in Africa have become very common in recent years with movies
like Hotel Rwanda, The Constant Gardener and others,
but one story that hasn't been really told in this fashion is that
of Uganda dictator Idi Amin, who ruled the country throughout the
‘70s after a successful coup. Of course, the famous plane hijacking
that took place in Uganda's Entebbe Airport has been documented
in a number of movies, but The Last King of Scotland is very
different in that it looks at Amin's rule through the eyes of an
outsider, a Scottish doctor played by James McAvoy. Of course, this
is a completely fictionalized character, but a lot of the situations
were taken from first-hand accounts from Idi Amin's reign. Although
the movie is about McAvoy's character, the real buzz from the movie
comes from Forest Whitaker's amazing performance as Amin, which
runs the gamut from boyish exuberance to extreme paranoia and vicious
rage. It's the type of performance that will likely get Whitaker
an Oscar nomination, but it helps that he has a great script written
by two of Britain's finest screenwriter, Jeremy Brock who wrote
Mrs. Brown and Peter Morgan, who also wrote this week's The
Queen, which is likely to get Helen Mirren an Oscar nomination
as well. (See below)
More importantly, the movie is directed by Kevin Macdonald, the
man behind Touching the Void, which I considered one of the
best movies of 2003; it was an amazing achievement in recreating
a South American mountain climbing expedition gone wrong. The
Last King of Scotland is Macdonald's first straight dramatic
feature, but even so, he uses some of the same techniques to make
you feel that you're watching history.
I had a chance to talk with Macdonald a few weeks ago and the eloquent
filmmaker told me how it was different making The Last King to
his last movie. "Touching the Void I see as a documentary, but it's got dramatic
elements in it, while this is probably the reverse of that," he told
me. "This is a drama film that has got a real-life element in it, so
it's almost the mirror image of Touching the Void. One of the
things that I'm interested in is taking the audiences to a new place
and taking them into a world that's unfamiliar to them and unfamiliar
to me. There's a novelty to the texture of the place, that is an important
part of my filmmaking process. With Touching the Void, I liked
the idea of taking the audience up into the Andes and down into a crevasse,
to places I've never been and didn't know what they would be like, and
try to communicate what my experience was to an audience and the same
thing here. We made the decision to shoot it in Uganda because people
didn't know what Uganda was like. I wanted to say to people that here's
a world that you don't know anything about. I think the documentaries
and drama are quite similar apart from the actors' process. You're also
surrounded by people who know more than you do in almost every department,
so you've got your designer and a DP who are top of their field, so you
don't have to make every decision yourself. You're taking their advice
and using their experience, and when you get to the editing room, it's
just like a documentary, you're just trying to tell the story and trying
to create complex ambiguous characters."
Of
course, with such a great performance from Forest Whitaker, we had to
find out how he came up with the notion to cast him. "Once we finished
the script, I always knew we wanted James because he's so perfect for
the role. He's the best British actor under the age of 35, and this was
a chance for him to play his real Scottish accent, which he'd never done
before in a film," he began. "For Forest, it was hard, because I thought
originally that there wasn't going to be anybody for this part, because
they'd have
to be the right age to be a father figure towards James. He needs to
be big, because being big and imposing is so much a part of the personality.
He needs to be prepared to go spend three months in Uganda. He needs
to be an extravert and explosive, terrifying but also charismatic, there's
a lot of demands. I looked in Africa and I looked in Europe and then
I came to the U.S. and Forest was one of the people in the U.S. for me
to see, but I've never seen him do anything like this. I loved him in "Bird" and "The
Crying Game" but those are totally different kinds of performances. He's
known as the sweet, gentle, reserved internal person. And he came in
and spoke about how he understood the part and that he understood Amin,
and revealed even in the way he spoke about him a perspective on him
that I hadn't really quite got under the skin of. Then he said to me, ‘You
don't really believe I can do this, do you?' which is kind of an intimidating
thing for someone to say to you, then he read a scene and we were all
in the room absolutely shaking by the end of it. There was something
about the unbalanced nature, the way he does those frightening moments,
where you're never quite sure if he's going to tip over the edge. At
that moment, I just thought ‘Yes!' Anybody you work with, you want total
commitment and enthusiasm and with Forest, right from the first moment
I met him, it was obvious that he was going to give 150% of himself to
this. He worked so hard, immersed himself in the character and the world
of Amin, ate nothing but Ugandan food, spoke the entire time in his Amin
accent. He lived no life other than the life of Idi Amin for the entire
time. He was in Uganda for a month before we shot, and prior to that,
he had two to three months research, learning Swahili. As a director,
you can't ask for any more than that."
"We were a very low budget film and obviously, it's expensive shooting
abroad taking a lot of people, so we ended up taking about 40 people
and then hired another hundred or more people there in Uganda," Macdonald
said about the working conditions in the country. "That was challenging
at times, because there they haven't had any experience working in film
or TV. At the same time, it was really rewarding and kept you on your
toes all the time, and the great thing I found was that by the end of
it, we had trained up a crew that now knows what they're doing in various
departments. Because I come from a documentary and I'm used to thinking
on my feet, I quite liked the fact that there was always a degree of
uncertainty about what was going to happen, and if people were going
to do what they were meant to do. When you're using real army people
who've never been a real movie theatre and who've come from the north
of Uganda where civil war is going on and seen some terrible things,
you get them on your set, you're never quite sure what they're going
to do, and they don't necessarily take direction. But sometimes, you
get some fantastic bits of authenticity out of them. They were also so
excited to have a film coming there, that they embraced the idea of the
film and telling this Ugandan story. It surprised me in a way that there
was no sense of ‘Why are you coming in from the outside and telling our
story?' The President said that it needs to hang onto its history in
order to move forward into the future, and that's why he supported the
film and allowed us to use the army and the Parliament buildings, close
down the main street. He gave us a letter saying that whatever we wanted
to do, within reason, just show them this letter and they'll let you
do it.' Although filming in Uganda was logistically hard, it gave you
things like you'd always be meeting people who knew Amin, the people
in the crew had experiences of the period, who could constantly be telling
you, ‘No, that's not the right way to do it. They wouldn't say it like
that.' And Forest could visit ministers and friends of Amin's and James
could go to a Mission Hospital. You were soaking up the reality and I
think that makes a big impact on the story."
To see for yourself what he's talking about, you can see The Last
King of Scotland, when it opens in select theatres on Wednesday.
NEW THIS WEEK:
Welcome to "Dude, Where's My Ashton Kutcher?" Week!
THE GUARDIAN (Touchstone
PIctures)
Starring Kevin Costner, Ashton Kutcher,
Neal McDonough, Melissa Sagemiller, Clancy Brown, Brian Geraghty, Sela Ward
Directed by Andrew Davis (Chain Reaction, Collateral Damage, Holes, Under
Siege, Above the Law, Code of Silence, The Running Man);
Written by Ron L. Brinkerhoff
Genre: Action, Drama
Rated PG-13 (for I have nothing witty to say here…boy, this gag is getting
tired)
Tagline: "When lives are on the line, sacrifice everything."
Story: Ben Randall (Kevin Costner) starts teaching an elite training program
for Coast Guard Rescue Swimmers after losing his entire crew in a helicopter
crash, where he ends up meeting a cocky young swimmer named Jake Fischer (Ashton
Kutcher). The two form a bond as they go to the Bering Sea in Alaska to help
rescue people.
Mini-Review: What starts out as a stirring tribute to the men and
women of the Coast Guard with some fairly exciting sea rescues, quickly
turns into a typical military cadet drama with a lot of corny situations,
that training section of the movie going on for way too long. Surely, Costner
has played this same part many times before, and while Kutcher isn't bad
during the first two-thirds of the movie, being mostly believable as a
cocky swimmer, he lacks the credibility to make us believe that he could
actually rescue someone at sea once he goes into action. If nothing else,
he has some enjoyable romantic scenes with Rachel McAdams lookalike Melissa
Sagemiller, but for the most part, we've seen this type of relationship
in every military movie since An Officer and a Gentleman. Even worse, The
Guardian is one of those movies that can't figure out how to end, at
least not on a high point, instead dragging on with one needless epilogue
after another, each one worse than the last. Fans of Costner and Kutcher
have probably forgiven them for much worse, though. Rating: 5.5/10
After first reading the plot description for this movie, I thought,
"Hm… this is a movie about lifeguards" but the trailer makes it
look like your typical mentor-rookie military action-drama that
we've seen so many times in the past, a few years ago in The
Recruit or earlier this year, with Touchstone's Annapolis,
starring James Franco. With all of the water in the trailer, it
also looks like something that Wolfgang Peterson might have directed
if they didn't have director Andrew Davis spearheading this one.
He certainly has a lot of experience with the action-drama having
helmed movies starring Arnold Schwarzenegger and Steven Seagal,
not to mention Harrison Ford's The Fugitive, before switching
gears with the Disney-Walden Media family hit Holes in 2003.
The key is that this one teams the hunky heartthrobs from two generations,
Kevin Costner and Ashton Kutcher,
which is why The Guardian is likely to appeal more towards women,
both young and old, than some might expect, even though this sort of
action-drama is usually targeted specifically towards the guys. Costner
has done many of these kinds of movies—okay, get the Waterworld jokes
out of the way—though this is new terrain for Kutcher, whose only real
venture into drama was the 2004 sci-fi thriller The Butterfly Effect,
which became his second January #1 after Just Married the year
before. (You can read a lot more about Kutcher's career down in the Star
Spotlight below, if you so choose.)
While Kutcher's star has been on the rise, Costner's career has
stalled a bit with the 51-year-old former star appearing in less
and less movies and fewer of them achieving the type of blockbuster
status of his earlier films like Dances with Wolves (for
which he won 2 Oscars), Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves or
The Bodyguard, all $100 million grossing hits. His last significant
hit was three years ago with the Western Open Range, which
he also directed and four years before that, he had Message in
a Bottle, which also made around $50 million. In between, he's
had a few movies that did okay but also a number of flops like 3000
Miles From Graceland. Costner has cut back on action movies
like The Guardian in recent years, instead doing romantic
comedies like The Upside of Anger and Rumor Has It,
so for older guys and gals, The Guardian might seem like
a bit of a return… though you have to wonder whether they really
want to see a 50-year-old Costner in action. Age certainly hasn't
improved Harrison Ford's movie career or his success at the box
office. (See this year's Firewall for proof…but don't actually
SEE it.) Unfortunately, The Guardian looks a lot like the
kind of action movies we saw so much of in the ‘80s and ‘90s—maybe
that's a good thing for nostalgia's sake, but probably not.
The best thing going for The Guardian, besides the exemplary Disney
marketing campaign which included sneak previews last Saturday, is that
it's the kind of movie that can appeal to a wider range of ages and audiences,
not just older guys, but also women and girls, which will make it a good
choice for those who aren't being forced to bring their kids to see Open
Season this weekend. Of course, teen guys and gals would probably
rather go with something like School for Scoundrels over something
that looks like a movie made for their parents, which might hurt The
Guardian with Kutcher's female teen audience. Then again, there should
be enough others looking for a stirring action-drama like The Guardian.
Disney has already announced that Touchstone Pictures would be cutting
back on production next year, but if The Guardian is as successful
as last year's Flightplan, starring Jodie Foster, or Step Up last
month, maybe they'll reconsider.
Why I Should See It: The ladies should be happy seeing Costner
and Kutcher in the water, presumably in tight swim suits; guys should
enjoy a bit of extra lovin' for bringing their ladies to see that.
Why Not: Costner will never get away from the negativity towards Waterworld,
and let's face it, there's a lot of water in this movie, too.
Projection: $19 to 21 million opening; $55 million total.
OPEN SEASON (Sony)
Starring (the voices of) Martin Lawrence, Ashton Kutcher,
Gary Sinise, Debra Messing, Billy Connolly, Jon Favreau, Patrick Warburton,
Jane Krakowski, Gordon Tootoosis, Georgia Engel
Directed by Roger Allers (The Lion King, writer The Little Mermaid, Aladdin, The
Emperor's New Groove), Jill Culton (writer Monsters Inc.), Anthony
Stacchi (Antz); Written by Steve Bencich and Ron J. Friedman (Brother
Bear, Chicken Little)
Genre: Animated, Family, Comedy
Rated PG (for the usual farting, belching and double entendres)
Tagline: "The Odd Are About to Get Even"
Story: Boog (voiced by Martin Lawrence) is a grizzly bear who has been living
a cushy garage with no survival skills, but he's convinced by a fast-talking
deer Elliot (Ashton Kutcher) to go out into the wild, just as open season begins
and the duo have to work with the woodland creatures to protect each other
from invading hunters.
Now where have I heard that premise before? Talking animals living in captivity,
being pampered and taken care of, forced to survive out in the wild. Hm… let
me see. Could it be 2005's DreamWorks' hit Madagascar? Or maybe
it was Disney's 2006 knock-off The Wild? Then again, one might also
remember seeing this premise reversed for this past summer's animated comedy Over
the Hedge, which had wild woodland creatures discovering the suburbs.
Based on the cartoon humor of executive producer Steve Moore ("In the
Bleachers"), Open Season is Sony's second play of the year into
the world of animation, and this time, they decided to go to the studio
that has had the most success in the field by grabbing a script from
the writers of Chicken Little and Brother Bear, and then
teaming Roger Allers, director of Disney's biggest non-CG animated hit The
Lion King, with Jill Culton, another Disney/Pixar writer and artist
to try to have the same kind of success they did.
So with that in mind, they got together an impressive voice cast
including Martin Lawrence, who is coming off a bit of a comeback
with the hit sequel Big Momma's House 2 earlier this year,
and Ashton Kutcher, who we already talked about for The Guardian
and in the Star Spotlight below. (Chances are that Kutcher's
fans will want to see him rather than just hear his voice.) There
are a lot of others, none of them getting credit in the trailers
or commercials—many of them doing their first animated work—like
Gary Sinise, Debra Messing of "Will & Grace", Scotsman Billy
Connolly, actor/director Jon Favreau, Patrick Warburton AKA "The
Tick" and Jane Krakowski of "Ally McBeal."
Open Season was originally intended to be Sony's first full-length
animated feature, and it was the first one done completely in-house,
but it was delayed until the fall, which allowed
Imageworks' performance-captured Monster House to
come out first. It opened with about $22 million this past summer
and ended up
with less than $70 million. Fortunately, it came out before two
other computer animated films that didn't even do that well, but
it still wasn't even close to the kind of money made by Disney
and
DreamWorks with most of their movies.
We could be seeing a general fatigue with the computer animated
genre, especially since there have been more of computer animated
movies this year than any previous year, with few of them making
the kind of money pulled in by the Shrek movies or anything
from Pixar. This year's only successful animated movies were the
sequel Ice Age: The Meltdown and the ubiquitous Pixar release
Cars. Even DreamWorks, who released the highest-grossing
computer animated film of all time, didn't have nearly as much success
with Over the Hedge. Much of it can be due to the fact that
there are so many computer-animated movies that they're not nearly
as special or unique as they once were, and have become fairly commonplace.
The same could be said for the talking animals genre of animation. Sure,
talking bears are always lovable, going back to Disney's original Jungle
Book and their more recent Brother Bear, but The Country
Bears, based on the theme park ride, pretty much bombed, and the
once tried-and-true talking animal genre may be seeing its last days.
Fall isn't the best time to open a family or kids film either, because
they don't get very much business on the weekdays. DreamWorks' Shark
Tale was a rare exception, but there hasn't been a very successful
family film since Nickelodeon's Barnyard two months ago, and even
that wasn't as big as other computer animated films this year, maybe
since it came out after two weekends in a row of animated films.
Open Season is definitely going to see a bigger promotional
play by Sony to make sure that every single kid and parent knows
about it, probably more than Monster House, and it'll be
getting an even wider release, while also opening in IMAX 3-D, which
potentially could increase the business, even though it didn't help
Warner Bros.' The Ant Bully, which opened a week after Monster
House, to become one of the biggest animated bombs of the year.
Why I Should See It: The former Disney team behind this movie
should be able to bring some of the same animated magic.
Why Not: Computer generated talking animals are almost as played
as computerized ants. And how can this movie possibly do well without
the voices of Wanda Sykes, Catherine O'Hara or Fred Willard? Aren't they
contracted to have voices in every single animated movie?
Projection: $26 to 28 million opening weekend; $90 million total.
SCHOOL FOR SCOUNDRELS (MGM/Dimension)
Starring Billy Bob Thornton, Jon Heder, Jacinda
Barrett, Michael Clarke Duncan, Sarah Silverman, David Cross, Horatio Sanz,
Matt Walsh
Directed by Todd Phillips (Old School, Road Trip, Starsky
and Hutch); Written by Todd Phillips and Scott Armstrong (Old School)
Genre: Comedy
Rated PG-13 (as if it could be anything else?)
Tagline: "Nice Guys Graduate Last"
Story: Roger (Jon Heder) is a male New York meter maid with very little confidence
who has had a lifelong crush on his neighbor Amanda (Jacinda Barrett). In
order to win her over, he takes a class from the mysterious Dr. P (Billy Bob
Thornton)
who
teaches pantywaists to be playboys. When Roger turns into a successful graduate,
he learns how competitive Dr. P can be, as he decides to also chase after Amanda.
Mini-Review: How a movie with appearances by David Cross, Sarah
Silverman, Luis Guzman and Matt Walsh isn't the funniest movie ever made is
pretty incredible.
Oh, maybe that's because it stars Jon Heder and Billy Bob Thornton, who are
only as funny as their material and end up playing the same doofus and foul-mouthed
@sshole they've played too many times before. At least things get a little
more interesting when they face off against each other with some amusing physical
comedy, but Heder proves that he can't carry a movie himself, and definitely
not as a romantic lead. As with his role in High Fidelity,
Todd Louima almost steals the movie every time he opens his mouth, but instead
of making more of that, Todd Phillips goes to
his big gun AKA Ben Stiller
to try to save the movie, but it doesn't work. If you've seen the trailer,
you've probably seen enough. Rating: 5/10
Insuring that there isn't a week this year where there isn't a remake,
here is another one, this time of the obscure ‘60s British comedy
School for Scoundrels,
and in a nutshell, this comedy remake will pit Napoleon Dynamite
against Bad Santa in hopes that the fans of both comedies will turn
up to root on their favorite. Sure, it's high concept all the way,
although there may be enough different comedy elements, like romance,
that might make it a bit deeper than other recent comedies.
Maybe that's because at the helm is director Todd Phillips, who
first got attention in 2000 with the summer college comedy Road
Trip, featuring then hot Tom Green, which made almost $70 million,
followed two years later by the bigger high concept comedy hit Old
School, starring Vince Vaughn, Luke Wilson and Will Ferrell.
Having two back-to-back comedy hits helped get Phillips the gig
directing Ben Stiller and Owen Wilson in the comedy remake of ‘70s
cop show Starsky & Hutch, which ended up making $88 million
after an impressive $28 million debut in its spring release. So
basically, Phillips is going back to school with this new comedy
that will try to offer the same comedy magic as his previous films.
This time around, Phillips doesn't have two bonafide box office stars,
but he does have two actors who have made their marks in comedy, both
in the last three years, although Billy Bob Thornton obviously has had
a much longer career than Jon Heder, who
may forever be known to everyone under the age of 30 as Napoleon Dynamite,
after starring in the surprise sleeper hit comedy that came out of the
2004 Sundance Film Festival. In the time since then, Heder appeared in
Reese Witherspoon's romantic comedy Just Like Heaven and was teamed
with Rob Schneider and David Spade for the baseball comedy, The Benchwarmers,
which should have bombed, but actually made $57 million this past spring.
Next year, Heder has a bunch of other movies including Blades of Glory with
Will Ferrell, which should continue to build his comedy rep.
Billy Bob Thornton's comedy career has been spottier with his biggest
comedy being the holiday dark comedy Bad Santa, which made $59
million three years ago, but playing a similar role in the 2005 remake
of Bad News Bears didn't have nearly as much success and the crime
comedy The Ice Harvest later that year outright bombed. While
Thornton has starred in many non-comedy hits like Michael Bay's Armageddon and
the football drama Friday Night Lights, he has starred and directed
way too many movies that were dumped to video or cable without a theatrical
release.
School for Scoundrels also features the second love interest role
of the month for Australian model-actress-reality star Jacinda Barrett,
who co-starred with Zach Braff in The Last Kiss. Seeing how that
movie did—$8.5 million in its first ten days—it's doubtful she can bring
many people to the box office.
Although there's a lot of potential humor from Todd Phillips' latest,
there's something a bit familiar about the comedy. Part of it is reminiscent
of last year's Just Friends, a relative bomb for Ryan Reynolds,
but the competition between the two main actors is also a bit like the
Adam Sandler-Jack Nicholson pairing in Anger Management, though
neither Heder nor Thornton are quite the draws of either one of those
popular actors.
Like The Guardian, this received Saturday night sneak previews
in 1500 theatres (that's a lot) in hopes of building up word-of-mouth,
plus it's getting one of the wider releases by Dimension Films and their
distribution partner MGM. In general, there isn't that much advance buzz
about it, even after those sneaks, at least compared to other comedies
this year, mainly because Dimension took their time before they started
to promote it.
Why I Should See It: Billy Bob Thornton and Jon Heder have a funny
schtick and pitting them against each other sounds like pure comedy genius,
especially with Todd Phillips at the helm.
Why Not: Both actors have also taken on numerous bad movies, and
there's little to say that this one is different even with Phillips.
Projection: $11 to 13 million opening weekend; $35 million total.
THE QUEEN (Miramax)
Starring Helen Mirren, Michael Sheen, James Cromwell, Sylvia Syms, Alex Jennings,
Helen McCrory, Roger Allam, Tim McMullan
Directed by Stephen Frears (Dirty Pretty Things, Mrs. Henderson Presents, High
Fidelity, The Grifters, many more); Written by Peter Morgan (The
Last King of Scotland—also out this week)
Genre: Drama
Rated PG-13 (for we won't be seeing Queen Elizabeth II cussin' or strippin'…that
might be a bit much.)
Tagline: "Tradition Prepared Her. Change Will Define Her."
Story: After the death of Princess Diana, Queen Elizabeth II (Helen Mirren)
retreats into Balmoral Castle with her family, leaving a deeply worried prime
minister Tony Blair (Michael Sheen) about how she'll ever be able to reconnect
with the people of her country.
REVIEW (Coming Soon!)
Just a year after British filmmaker Stephen Frears directed Dame
Judi Dench to her fifth Oscar nomination with the WWII musical drama
Mrs. Henderson Presents, he pairs with another one of England's
finest Helen Mirren for a politically tinged drama that is likely
to be a heavy presence at the Oscars next year. Who knows? Maybe
it will finally get Stephen Frears his long-deserved Oscar, because
he's made many great movies since being nominated for one back in
1991 for his crime-drama The Grifters and he's made a number
of strong movies since then. In 2000, he reunited with John Cusack
for an Americanized version of Nick Hornby's novel High Fidelity,
followed a few years later by the thriller Dirty Pretty Things,
which was not only Audrey Tautou's first English role, but also
the debut of actor Chiwetel Ejiofor.
Frears' main star Helen Mirren has appeared in many of those great
British indie comedies like Greenfingers and Calendar
Girls, but she's best known on these shores for her Oscar-nominated
performance in Robert Altman's Gosford Park, her second nomination
after co-starring in The Madness of King George. The Queen
has already played at a number of film festivals like Telluride
and Venice, where Mirren was honored for her performance, and it
kicks off this year's New York Film Festival before opening the
next day in New York theatres. It's a similar approach that was
taken two years ago with Mike Leigh's Vera Drake, which did
get its star Imelda Staunton an Oscar nomination, and The Queen
should do the same for Helen Mirren.
Why I Should See It: It's reported that Helen Mirren gives the
performance that will win her the Oscar this year or at least get her
nominated.
Why Not: The movie might be way too British-centric, and some
may have problems with a movie that questions royalty.
STAR SPOTLIGHT: Ashton Kutcher
In just eight years, 28-year-old Ashton
Kutcher has attained a degree of fame and success that few other
actors his age have realized. Surprisingly, not a lot of that has come
from movies, since Kutcher has only really made 8 or 9 movies during
that time.
After an early career as a fashion model, Kutcher was discovered in 1988
and introduced to the nation as the dimwitted Michael Kelso in the FOX
sitcom "That ‘70s
Show", which quickly put him on the map. In 2000, Kutcher appeared in a number
of movies, a couple small roles at first but culminating by teaming with American
Pie's Seann William Scott in Dude, Where's My Car? The character
Kutcher played wasn't too far removed from Kelso, and though the movie opened
softly, it found a strong audience of teens over the holiday to become a cult
classic.
It would be over two years before Kutcher would be seen on the big screen
after that, as he kicked off 2003, appearing with then girlfriend Brittany
Murphy in the romantic comedy Just Married, a #1 movie with $17.5
million which far exceeded expectations. Later that year, Kutcher would
appear opposite Tara Reid in the long delayed My Boss' Daughter,
which wasn't able to find nearly as much success. Oh, let's not mince words;
it bombed. But Kutcher was back later that year in an uncredited role in
Steve Martin's comedy remake Cheaper by the Dozen; it was a huge
holiday hit, grossing over $120 million.
A month later, he appeared with Amy Smart in the time traveling thriller The
Butterfly Effect, which also opened at #1 with $17 million, while
giving the young actor a chance to show off his more dramatic side. Around
that same time, Kutcher started to produce his own hidden camera prank
show on MTV called "Punk'd" which just helped to increase his popularity
among young audiences, and he used that opportunity to finish his lengthy
run on "That ‘70s Show."
2005 followed Kutcher's normal path of having a hit followed by a bomb.
First, he teamed with Bernie Mac in another comedy remake, Guess Who (loosely
derived from Guess Who's Coming to Dinner?) which made over $20
million on Eastern weekend and just under $68 million total. A month
later, the romantic comedy A Lot Like Love teamed Kutcher with
Amanda Peet, but that failed to find much success, making in total what Guess
Who made opening weekend, in preparation for what would become the
worst summer in years.
Around this same time, Kutcher was all over the tabloids when he started
dating significantly older actress Demi Moore AKA Bruce Willis' ex-wife,
something which seemed to be done simply for publicity, until they ended
up getting married almost exactly a year ago this week. Sounds a lot
like love to me.
The last time a star appeared in a live action and animated movie in
the same weekend was over Memorial Day weekend last year when Chris Rock
provided one of the main voices for DreamWorks' Madagascar and
starred with Adam Sandler in the remake of The Longest Yard, both
which ended up making more than $50 million over the extended weekend.
While Ashton Kutcher's two new movies might not make $50 million combined,
it will still be seen as a mark of his star power if both movies do well.
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
A Lot Like Love |
4/22/05 |
2,502 |
|
$7.58 |
$3,028 |
$21.84 |
|
Guess Who |
3/25/05 |
3,147 |
|
$20.67 |
$6,569 |
$67.96 |
|
The Butterfly Effect |
1/23/04 |
2,605 |
|
$17.07 |
$6,551 |
$57.65 |
|
Cheaper By the Dozen |
12/26/03 |
3,298 |
$8.18 |
$27.56 |
$8,356 |
$128.03 |
|
My Boss's Daughter |
8/22/03 |
2,201 |
|
$4.86 |
$2,206 |
$15.55 |
|
Just Married |
1/10/03 |
2,766 |
|
$17.55 |
$6,345 |
$56.13 |
|
Dude, Where's My Car? |
12/15/00 |
2,087 |
|
$13.85 |
$6,634 |
$46.72 |
|
Down to You |
1/21/00 |
1,970 |
|
$7.60 |
$3,858 |
$20.04 |
ALSO IN LIMITED RELEASE:
Dito Montiel's autobiographical drama A
GUIDE TO RECOGNIZING YOUR SAINTS (First Look Media), a
hit at this year's Sundance Film Festival, explores Montiel's years
growing up in the crime-ridden streets of Astoria, Queens. Shia
Labouf plays the author during his teen years, while Robert Downey
Jr. assumes the role for the present-day Dito, returning to Queens
for the first time in fifteen years. The movie also stars Step
Up's Channing Tatum and Rosario Dawson.
Alex Kendrick's drama FACING THE GIANTS (Samuel
Goldwyn) is about Christian high school football coach Grant Taylor who faces
domestic problems while worrying about the parents of the kids in his team,
the Shiloh Eagles, dismissing him for the team's consecutive losing seasons.
In desperation, he looks to God to help him and his team to overcome the
odds against them.
After playing at the Tribeca Film Festival, Steven Cantor and Matthew Galkin's
documentary loudQUIETloud: A Film About
the Pixies opens in New York and L.A. It follows the influential
Boston alternative rock group's 2004 reunion tour after 12 years, having
seen a huge explosion in popularity in those years.
Opening at the Quad Cinemas in New York, Julián Hernández's BROKEN SKY (Strand Releasing)
is about a love triangle between three young men at a university.
THIS WEEKEND IN BOX OFFICE HISTORY:
I've decided to temporarily scrap this section and incorporate the information
into other sections, because there seems to be little relevance between
the next few weeks' movies and previous years at the box office.
LET'S LOOK AT THE NUMBERS: (final update 9.28.06)
As September comes to a close, it will be the first time in a number of
months where three movies opened in more than 3,000 theatres, something
that could prove fruitful for all of them (and the waning box office),
or it could mean there will be a lot of empty theatres this weekend.
Sony Pictures' second computer animated feature Open Season,
featuring the voices of Martin Lawrence and Ashton Kutcher, will
be taking
advantage of the lack of family films in theatres with an ultra-wide
release
which should allow it to have a strong showing over the weekend.
Likewise, the pairing of Ashton Kutcher with Kevin Costner in the
action-adventure
The Guardian should have enough interest among other audiences,
especially women, to give Open Season a run for its money
on Friday, though it will likely lose the weekend to the family
film.
Another clever face-off is that of Jon "Napoleon Dynamite" Heder vs.
Billy Bob "Bad Santa" Thornton in the Todd Phillips directed comedy
remake, School for Scoundrels, which will mainly be catering
to the teen audience, though losing some of that business to the other
two movies.
In some ways, this weekend is likely to mirror the weekend in early
October '04, where DreamWorks' Shark Tale went up against the
firefighter drama Ladder 49 with John Travolta and Joaquin
Phoenix, though in that case, the former had the voices of Will Smith
and Angelina Jolie to bring in teens and non-parents. Expect the margin
to be a lot closer between Ashton Kutcher's two movies this weekend.
There's a strong chance that this weekend will top last year's September
closer where Touchstone's Flightplan, starring Jodie Foster,
remained on top for a second weekend in a row with $14 million, while
Joss Whedon's Serenity opened with a disappointing $10 million
and the Jessica Alba-Paul Walker underwater thriller Into the Blue
bombed with just $3 million less. The disappointing $71 million
take for the top ten would lead into a dismal October where few movies
would make more than $16 million in any given weekend.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Open Season |
$27.2 |
N/A |
3,833 |
$7,175 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
The Guardian |
$19.4 |
N/A |
3,241 |
$5,986 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Jackass Number Two |
$14.9 |
-49% |
3,063 |
$4,878 |
2 |
|
4 |
New |
School for Scoundrels
|
$12.2 |
N/A |
3,000 |
$4,033 |
1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Jet Li's Fearless |
$5.7 |
-46% |
1,820 |
$3,132 |
2 |
|
6 |
3 |
Gridiron Gang |
$5.0 |
-48% |
3,033 |
$1,649 |
3 |
|
7 |
4 |
Flyboys |
$3.5 |
-42% |
2,033 |
$1,722 |
2 |
|
8 |
7 |
Everyone's Hero |
$2.8 |
-40% |
2,201 |
$1,272 |
3 |
|
9 |
8 |
The Illusionist |
$2.3 |
-31% |
1,319 |
$1,744 |
7 |
|
10 |
5 |
The Black Dahlia |
$2.2 |
-51% |
2,002 |
$1,099 |
3 |
|
11 |
6 |
All the King's Men |
$1.8 |
-50% |
1,520 |
$1,184 |
2 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$97.30 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-45% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,081 |
|
Next week, the month of October kicks off with Martin Scorsese's The Departed, a Hong
Kong remake starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Matt Damon, Jack Nicholson
and more; New Line's horror prequel The Texas Chainsaw Massacre:
The Beginning; Dane Cook and Dax Sheppard fight over
Jessica Simpson in the comedy Employee of the Month.
Copyright 2006 Edward Douglas

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