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Your Weekly Guide to New Movies for
May 12, 2006
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to the Weekend
Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend’s new movies. Tune in every
Tuesday for the latest look at the upcoming weekend, and then check
back on Friday for final projections based on actual theatre counts.
RUSSIAN DOLLS (IFC
Films)
NEW THIS WEEK:
POSEIDON (Warner Bros.)
Starring Josh Lucas, Kurt Russell, Emmy Rossum, Jacinda Barrett, Mike Vogel,
Jimmy Bennett, Mia Maestro, Andre Braugher, Richard Dreyfuss
Directed by Wolfgang Petersen (The Perfect Storm, Troy, Das
Boot); Written by Mark Protosevich (The Cell, upcoming I Am Legend, John
Carter of Mars)
Genre: Action, Adventure, Drama, Thriller
Rated PG-13 (for intense prolonged sequences of disaster and peril)
Tagline: “May Day”
Story: On New Year’s Eve, the luxury cruise ship Poseidon is hit by an enormous
wave that flips it upside-down stranding thousands of passengers underwater.
Mini-Review: Impressive stunts and massive set pieces are the
driving force of this film that
For the most part, it sufferse from
some of the same problems as the original, since when it's not
in full gear, it tends to drag. None of this cast is going to be
nominated for an Oscar, and Lucas may further cement his position
as the "worst actor in the history of acting." Still,
it's better than a movie like this should be, and that's saying
something. Rating: 6/10
Ah, yes. The disaster movie. As much real human tragedy there
is in the world, you just can’t keep moviegoers away from theatres, when they
get to see lots of death and destruction on a massive scale, and it
gives directors a chance to flex their effects and budgetary muscle.
Disaster movies like Jan de Bont’s Twister, Michael Bay’s Armageddon,
the similar Deep Impact and Roland Emmerich’s The Day After
Tomorrow have all done wonders at bringing people into theatres,
with the latter earning $186 million after an $85 million 4-day
For director Wolfgang Petersen, it’s another chance to explore
his fixation with boats and water that started way back with his
first
Oscar-nominated
film Das Boot in 1981, and continuing into his 2000 hit The Perfect
Storm. Even his last movie, the Greek epic Troy, had a prominent
boat scene, but Poseidon takes his obsession to the next level,
as he remakes Irwin Allen’s classic 1972 disaster movie, The Poseidon
Adventure, based on Paul Gallico’s novel. The movie successfully
began a long run of disaster films like Earthquake and The Towering
Inferno, and considering the recent success of original disaster
films, it seemed almost rife for the remake treatment with Peterson
spending almost
$160 million to do it.
Unlike Peterson’s last two films, Poseidon doesn’t have the added
box office draw of a major star like George Clooney or Brad Pitt, instead
relying more on the combined efforts of an ensemble cast, much like the
original. The most bankable star is probably Kurt Russell, making a return
to action-adventure movies after an extensive foray into family films like
last year’s Sky High and Dreamer. For Russell, this movie
is a return to the type of movie that he's been very popular in like
when he starred in the 1991 Ron Howard action-drama Backdraft.
He’s
joined by an actor who Hollywood has hoped to turn into a bankable star,
Josh
Lucas,
although
he’s yet to make any waves (sorry for the bad pun) with his last few movies.
At least this year’s basketball drama, Glory Road, did better
than the high-flying Rob Cohen action film Stealth did last
summer.
If things weren’t bad enough for 19-year-old Emmy Rossum, being killed
in Clint Eastwood’s Mystic River, being wooed by a hideous
murderer in Joel Schumacher’s version of Andrew Lloyd Webber’s
Phantom of the Opera, and then facing the end of the world
in The Day After
Tomorrow, she picked the wrong time to go on a boat cruise.
She’s
joined by former “Real World” star, Australia’s own supermodel
Jacinda Barrett, who has been seen in movies like Ladder 49 and Bridget
Jones: The Edge of Reason. The cast is rounded out by HBO regulars,
Freddy Rodríguez from “Six Feet Under” and Dillon from “Entourage,”
though neither is featured prominently, and my personal hero, Richard
Dreyfuss--anyone who punches Devin Faraci is okay by me!--whose lengthy
career dates back over 30 years to summer blockbusters like Steven Spielberg’s Jaws.
Most young folks will probably not have seen the original Poseidon Adventure,
if they’ve even heard of it, so they’ll be more drawn to the type of watery destruction
that they know Peterson can deliver. Oddly, Irwin Allen’s movie was remade just
last year for a Hallmark Channel TV movie, starring has-beens like Rutger Hauer,
Steve Guttenberg and Adam Baldwin, but that shouldn’t detract people from
a version made on a much grander scale. To show that off, Warner Bros. will
be
opening Poseidon in
IMAX theatres, as well as regular theatres, and that might end up being a
huge draw, this being the first big budget disaster movie to open in the
larger IMAX
format. The marketing and promotion for the movie has been in full gear for
months with the most prominent selling piont being the very inventive posters
that have
been everywhere.
Unfortunately, the movie hasn’t been tracking that well in terms of
public awareness and interest, at least when compared to the blockbusters
surrounding it like M:i:III and The Da Vinci Code, and
Peterson is really the movie’s only big name draw. (Shame that WB isn’t
really mentioning him in the commercials, though.) It's doubtful
that this will do as well as Petersen's last movie Troy without
any real star power, but it also doesn't have the stigma of that
movie's R-rating. It seems that moviegoers who avoided M:i:III and
those who have already seen it will be looking for something else
to see this weekend, and the short running time should mean there
are
enough screenings for a good amount of walk-in business.
Why I Should See It: Lots of watery death and destruction!!
Why Not: Can’t we just see that by turning on the news for
free?
Projection: $35 to 38 million on its way to $120 million
by summer’s
end.
JUST MY LUCK (20th Century
Fox)
Starring Lindsay Lohan, Chris Pine, Faizon Love, Missi Pyle, Samaire
Armstrong, McFly
Directed by Donald Petrie (How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days, Miss Congeniality, Welcome
to Mooseport); Written by I. Marlene King (Now and Then, “If These
Walls Could Talk”), Amy B. Harris (“Sex and the City”)
Genre: Comedy, Romance
Rated PG-13 (for some brief sexual references)
Tagline: “Good luck charm. Bad luck magnet.”
Story: Ashley Albright (Lindsay Lohan), the luckiest woman in the world with
a great job and everything going her way, meets Jake (Chris Pine), a chronic
loser, at a costume party, but when they kiss, his bad luck is transferred
to her and vice versa. Suddenly, Ashley’s life isn’t going so well, and she
needs to find Jake and try to get her luck back from him.
Lindsay Lohan is back!! Yeah, I know it doesn’t seem like she’s really
gone away, but this is her first movie since last year’s Herbie Fully
Loaded, and it’ll be a good test to see if she has what it
takes to have another summer hit on par with Freaky Friday or Mean
Girls. (You can read more about what Ms. Lohan has been up
to in our Star Spotlight this week)
Although Just My Luck will probably appeal mainly to teen
girls, it’s a more grown-up role for Lohan that takes her further
into romantic comedy territory, maybe in hopes she can fill the
shoes of older actresses
like Meg Ryan, Kate Hudson, or Sandra Bullock. For this high premise
comedy about a lucky woman who suddenly finds her luck gone after kissing
a masked
loser, Lohan has been teamed with director Donald Petrie, who has quite
a few successful romantic comedies under his belt like Miss Congeniality and How
to Lose a Guy in 10 Days. The movie also gets Lohan away from her
lifelong connections to Disney, bringing her to 20th Century
Fox, who haven’t really had that much success in the genre.
Lohan’s male co-star Chris Pine hasn’t done much, although he played
a similar hunky love interest in The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement,
and has appeared on various TV shows. Just My Luck also co-stars
another TV favorite, Samaire Armstrong, who has been on shows like “Entourage” and “The
O.C.” and more recently starred in the horror flick Stay Alive.
This might be a good time for another movie geared towards women, since
the last big romantic comedy Failure to Launch, has already
left theatres, and there’s certainly room for a movie like this to do well against
the more male-driven blockbusters. Unfortunately, it seems to be fairly
low profile compared to Lohan’s last few movies. Fortunately, Fox wisely
attached the trailer to Ice Age: The Meltdown, a movie that
has been seen by more people than any other film this year, so at least
the
film’s audience will know it’s out there. It might have trouble getting
many screens or much attention away from the much higher profile Poseidon,
but Lohan’s box office star power is bonafide, which will make this
the first choice for women not interested in watching a boat flip upside-down.
Why I Should See It: Seems like a strong comedy premise for
Lohan, which might help get her out of the ‘strictly for teens’ market.
Why Not: Petrie’s resume seems to include a lot of schticky
slapstick humor, which is rather prevalent in the trailers and commercials.
Projection: $11 to 13 million opening weekend on its way to
$40 million.
GOAL! THE DREAM BEGINS (Touchstone
Pictures)
Starring Kuno Becker, Stephen Dillane, Alessandro Nivola, Anna Friel,
Marcel Iures, Sean Pertwee
Directed by Danny Cannon (Judge Dredd, I Still Know What You Did Last
Summer, various “CSI” shows); Written by Adrian Butchart (I Love Your
Work), Mike Jefferies
Genre: Action, Sports, Drama
Rated PG (language, sexual situations and some thematic material including
partying)
Tagline: “Every dream has a beginning.” (Now let’s see if anyone cares enough
to see this, so maybe it will have a middle and an end, as well.)
Story: Santiago Muñez (Kuno Becker) is a poor Mexican immigrant, living in L.A.,
when he’s discovered by a British football (AKA soccer) scout (Dillane),
who brings him to England to try out for Newcastle United. Despite lots of
hardships
and obstacles, Santiago will do everything he can to achieve his dream of
being a football star.
REVIEW
Buena Vista continues its connections to the world of sports, this time
with a movie that takes place in the world of professional football (soccer,
to
Americans) with the full support of the international football league
FIFA. It’s a fairly ambitious project, being the first part of a planned trilogy
of movies that follows the young Mexican-American Santiago as he makes his
way through the way of professional football. It’s a bit of a gamble thinking
that it might find success in the United States, where the sport just isn’t
nearly as popular it is in other countries.
The movie is the English debut of Kuno Becker, a Mexican television
star who probably isn’t very well known here, although maybe he has some appeal
among Mexican and Latino-Americans--him being an immigrant might have particular
resonance with that audience, and there should be a potential
crossover with football fans in that market, too. Stephen Dillane appears
in his second
Disney
sports
drama,
after having played Shia LaBeouf’s arch-rival in The Greatest Game Ever
Played, while Alessandro Nivola, the underrated star of last year’s Junebug,
plays a hot shot veteran of the Newcastle team who helps Santiago on
the way. You may have trouble finding anyone who knows who any of these
three
actors are, so it’s really going to be relying more on the appeal of
the sport than the stars.
Fortunately, a lot of younger kids are learning how to play soccer
these days, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that their parents would
take them to see a movie about the sport, especially considering how
Eurocentric
this one is. Last year, Will Ferrell found a bit of success in the
same weekend with his comedy Kicking & Screaming, but that
movie really brought in its audience because of its star. After tons
of delays
by Miramax, back when they were still with Disney, Steven Chow’s Asian
hit Shaolin Soccer failed to find any audience, maybe since
they couldn’t decide between dubbing or subtitles. Goal! has
similar issues, because a lot of it is told via subtitles, and the
rest involves
heavy British accents and slang that kids just won’t get. In fact, it’s
pretty amazing that Touchstone was able to get a PG rating for this
despite there being quite a bit of the drinking and swearing you
might expect from a movie about British soccer stars.
The movie has already been released in nine other countries, including
the UK, France and Spain, where it’s earned roughly $17 million, not
great for a movie about a beloved sport. Still, the sequel Goal!
Living the Dream… has already completed production, and one has
to assume that it will be completed and released, however poorly the
first movie
does
here. It would be a shame if they’re unable to finish the planned trilogy,
although one can expect that DVD rentals and sales will eventually
help.
Disney/Touchstone are obviously nervous about a movie geared towards
Europeans having any sort of interest with audiences here, which might
explain why
they’re only giving it a moderate release into 1,000 theatres. Disney’s
golf drama The Greatest Game Ever Played opened in a similar
number of theatres last September and ended up grossing $15 million
after a
$3.6 million opening weekend, and that was probably a better marketed
than this
film. Then again, I’d hate to underestimate the appeal of the movie as
I did with Touchstone’s gymnastics movie Stick It, since that
found a decent opening weekend audience despite weak marketing.
Why I Should See It: Football/soccer is really the only sport
that anyone should care about.
Why Not: I’m probably one of the few Americans who thinks that.
Projection: $2 to 4 million on its way to $10 million tops.
KEEPING UP WITH THE STEINS (Miramax
Films)
Starring Daryl Sabara, Jami Gertz, Jeremy Piven, Doris Roberts, Garry Marshall,
Cheryl Hines, Richard Benjamin, Daryl Hannah
Directed by Scott Marshall (Spin Cycle); Written by Mark Zakarin (“The
L Word”)
Genre: Family, Comedy
Rated PG-13 (for some crude language, nudity and brief drug references)
Tagline: “Something’s not quite kosher.”
Story: 13-year-old Benjamin Fiedler (Spy Kids’ Daryl Sabara) is about
to be bar-mitzvahed but his parents (Jeremy Piven, Jami Gertz) are driving
him crazy with their exorbitant plans to try to compete with another family.
To stir
things up, Benjamin invites his estranged grandfather (Garry Marshall) and
young girlfriend (Daryl Hannah) to the bar mitzvah, knowing that it will
force his
father and grandmother to deal with their own family issues.
REVIEW
In a year that’s been all about “keeping it in the family”--example: Thank You for Smoking,
directed by Ivan Reitman’s son Jason--Scott
Marshall, son of legendary producer/director Gary Marshall, directs
his first feature film after working as second unit director and actor
in his father’s projects. And what a cast he’s assembled for it, including
his own father playing a key role in his first movie in some time. Of
course, there’s a bit of irony that the Marshalls would do a movie
about a bar mitzvah, since neither of them are Jewish, but apparently,
a lot
of the rest of their cast is, including former Spy Kid Sabara, “Entourage” star Jeremy Piven, Doris Roberts from “Everybody Loves Raymond,”
and teen television star Jami Gertz. It’s quite a mixed ensemble cast,
rounded out by Daryl Hannah and Richard Benjamin, but like Miramax’s
other recent comedy, Kinky Boots, this will have a very
specific audience--Jewish families--but might have trouble getting
their interest
away from the more prominent studio films.
Why I Should See It: Those who have ever gone through their
own bar-mitzvah woes might enjoy laughing at how it’s taken to the extreme
in Scott Marshall’s debut.
Why Not: Did he really have to have a scene showing his father’s
naked ass? (That’s rhetorical.)
From child model to teen star to pop singer and superstar, the story of
Lindsay Lohan might make a good movie in itself, but she certainly wouldn’t
have gotten where she is today if not for Walt Disney Studios, who first
cast the model in their 1998 remake of The Parent Trap. |
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Herbie Fully Loaded |
6/24/05 |
3,521 |
$5.04 |
$12.71 |
$3,610 |
$75.39 |
|
Mean Girls |
4/30/04 |
2,839 |
$24.43 |
$8,606 |
$86.05 |
|
|
Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen |
2/20/04 |
2,503 |
$9.35 |
$3,736 |
$29.30 |
|
|
Freaky Friday |
8/8/03 |
2,954 |
$10.90 |
$22.20 |
$7,516 |
$110.22 |
|
The Parent Trap |
7/31/98 |
2,247 |
$5.06 |
$11.15 |
$4,962 |
$66.30 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Troy |
5/14/04 |
3,411 |
$46.87 |
$13,739 |
$133.23 |
|
Twister |
5/10/96 |
2,414 |
$41.06 |
$17,009 |
$241.89 |
|
Daddy Day Care |
5/9/03 |
3,370 |
$27.62 |
$8,197 |
$103.55 |
|
Monster-in-Law |
5/13/05 |
3,424 |
$23.11 |
$6,748 |
$82.93 |
|
Kicking & Screaming |
5/13/05 |
3,455 |
$20.16 |
$5,835 |
$52.58 |
|
A Knight's Tale |
5/11/01 |
2,980 |
$16.51 |
$5,541 |
$56.08 |
|
Unfaithful |
5/10/02 |
2,613 |
$14.07 |
$5,383 |
$52.75 |
|
The Horse Whisperer |
5/15/98 |
2,039 |
$13.69 |
$6,714 |
$75.37 |
|
Battlefield: Earth |
5/12/00 |
3,307 |
$11.55 |
$3,493 |
$21.47 |
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Poseidon |
$36.8 |
N/A |
3,555 |
$10,352 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Mission Impossible III |
$24.5 |
-49% |
4,059 |
$6,036 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Just My Luck |
$12.3 |
N/A |
2,541 |
$4,841 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
RV |
$7.0 |
-36% |
3,536 |
$1,980 |
3 |
|
5 |
3 |
An American Haunting |
$3.0 |
-49% |
1,703 |
$1,762 |
2 |
|
6 |
4 |
Stick It |
$2.8 |
-50% |
2,009 |
$1,369 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
United 93 |
$2.7 |
-48% |
,1870 |
$1,444 |
3 |
|
8 |
New |
Goal! The Dream Begins |
$2.5 |
N/A |
1,007 |
$2,483 |
1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Ice Age: The Meltdown |
$2.3 |
-44% |
1,879 |
$1,224 |
7 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hoot |
$2.2 |
-38% |
3,018 |
$729 |
2 |
|
11 |
7 |
Silent Hill |
$1.9 |
-52% |
1,550 |
$1,006 |
3 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
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