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Your Weekly Guide to New Movies for
March 31, 2006
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to
the NEW Weekend Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend’s new
movies, celebrating the start of its fourth year at ComingSoon.net!
Tune in every Tuesday
for the latest look at the upcoming weekend, and then check back
on Friday for final projections based on actual theatre counts.
THE DEVIL AND DANIEL JOHNSTON (Sony
Classics) NEW THIS WEEK:
ICE AGE: THE MELTDOWN (20th Century
Fox)
Starring (the voices of): Ray Romano, John Leguizamo, Dennis Leary, Queen Latifah
Directed by Carlos Saldanho (Ice Age, Robots); Written by Jon
Vitti (“The Critic,” “The Simpsons,” “King of the Hill,” “Saturday Night Live”)
Genre: Animated, Comedy, Family
Rated PG for some mild language and innuendo
Tagline: “Kiss Your Ice Goodbye.”
Story: The three Ice Age friends, Diego, Manny and Sid, once again face
a dilemma. As the Ice Age is coming to an end, the melting glaciers threaten
to destroy their valley home. Banding together, they try to warn their friends
and neighbors of the impending doom, but Manny is depressed that he may be
the last living mammoth.
In March 2002, less than two weeks before Shrek would win the
first animated feature Oscar, 20th Century Fox and Blue Sky
Studios released Ice Age, hoping to have the same success Shrek and
Pixar Studios’ Monsters Inc. had found the year before, each
grossing over $250 million. Although Ice Age opened with a
softer $46 million, it was unprecedented for a movie opening in March,
let
alone a family film, greatly benefiting from its popular teaser featuring
a rodent-like creature called a “Scrat” trying to hold onto his precious
acorn despite all sorts of obstacles. After setting the record for
a
March opening movie, which it still holds, it went on to gross over
$170 million, and it had a healthy run on video and DVD, as well.
As hard as it is to believe, Ice Age: the Meltdown is only the
third computer animated family film to get a sequel in the ten years
since Toy Story’s debut, but both previous computer animated
sequels have far exceeded the business done by their predecessors. Toy Story
2 made twice as much opening weekend as the original movie, and in
the summer of 2004, Shrek 2 became one of the top opening and
grossing movies of all time, making more than $100 million its opening
weekend and over $400 million total in the U.S. alone.
Blue Sky worked for four years on the sequel, releasing the less successful
follow-up Robots in between, and most of the voice cast has
returned, including Ray Romano as Manny the Mammoth, John Leguizamo
as the popular
Sid the Sloth, and Dennis Leary as Diego the Sabretooth. This time,
they’re
joined by the voice of Queen Latifah as a new mammoth mate for Manny,
which should add to the humor. It won’t matter much to anyone, but the
sequel isn’t written by the same team who did the first movie, instead
being penned by Jon Vitti, who has an impressive resume working on some
of the funniest television shows like “The Simpsons” and “The Critic.”
Times have certainly changed since the opening of the original Ice
Age, and The Meltdown might not have nearly as many factors
working in its favor. First of all, Ice Age came out after a
long period of time without any strong family films in theatres, and
yet it
still didn’t have the longetivity in theatres as Shrek. There
have been plenty of big family hits in the last few months, including Eight
Below, The Pink Panther and others, so there isn’t the urgency
in families to get their kids out of the house. The box office is generally
slower and movies aren’t opening nearly as big as they have in years
past, and computer animation just isn’t the novelty or the draw that
it was when the first Ice Age opened either.
That aside, 20th Century Fox is releasing their animated
sequel into over 3,800 theatres, which puts it line to become one of
the top
10 widest opening films ever, but that just means that the business
may be more spread out than the previous film. The promotion and marketing
doesn’t seem to be as strong as the first film, and the novelty of the
teaser featuring Skrat doesn’t seem nearly as novel or fresh. Ice
Age: The Meltdown should do slightly better opening weekend than
the first movie, but it might be hindered by the fact that people still
have school and work on Friday and Monday. That said, it should maintain
strong legs through the month of April with few other family films to
quickly become the highest grossing film of the year.
Why I Should See It: If you loved the original movie and its cast
of prehistoric characters, the sequel should be just as much fun.
Why Not: Was the first movie really as good as the promise of
the original teaser?
Projection: $50 to 53 million opening weekend on its way to
close to $200 million. (Update: I'm probably going to regret this but
as the 5th widest opening movie ever, I decided to up my prediction
a few million.)
SLITHER (Universal
Pictures)
Starring Nathan Fillion, Elizabeth Banks, Gregg Henry, Michael Rooker, Rheagan
Wallace, Tania Saulnier
Written and directed by James Gunn (Tromeo and Juliet, writer of Scooby
Doo and Dawn of the Dead)
Genre: Horror
Rated R for strong horror violence and gore, and language
Tagline: “Whatever You Do… Don’t Scream”
Story: The quiet life of the small town of Wheelsy abruptly ends when a horrible
dark force invades the town with deadly parasites, turning the residents into
creatures with the intent of taking over the earth.
Wow! It’s been a long time since we’ve seen a small town being attacked
by creatures, maybe not since the CGI spider movie Eight Legged Freaks.
James Gunn, the screenwriter of Dawn of the Dead, certainly took
a step back into the past for the concept behind his first film as a director,
because Slither seems to be influenced heavily by the B-horror
movies of the ‘80s, which put regular folk into strange circumstances. Although
those types of movies rarely did big business, they’ve brought forth
a lot of cult classics like the 1990 film Tremors. Although the
film’s
cast doesn’t have very strong box office presence, it does have Nathan
Fillion, star of the television show “Firefly” and last fall’s Serenity that
might help bring in that show’s diehard fanbase, and actress Elizabeth
Banks has been making a name for herself, most recently in a prominent
role in Steve Carrell’s The 40-Year-Old Virgin. (She was the woman
in the bathtub!) Gunn also got his wife Jenna Fischer, who plays Pam
on the popular sitcom “The Office,” to appear in his movie.
This seems to be the type of horror movie that fans of the genre will
really appreciate, because it doesn’t take itself very seriously, plus
its R-rating will mean that the gore won’t be softened up. On the other
hand, its B-movie mentality might not make it look like something that
needs to be seen in theatres by anyone except for true horror fans. Slither seems
to be getting lost in the shuffle of Universal’s output of movies between
last week’s Inside Man and the upcoming American Dreamz,
both of which have far more star power. They’ve been trying to generate
interest on the internet where they’ll find the most genre fans, but
its mainly going to be of interest to college-age guys who have plenty
of other options, including last week’s Inside Man and this
week’s
other thriller Basic Instinct 2. The best thing going for the
movie right now is the last minute commercials featuring a raving quote
from Eli Roth, whose own movie Hostel was helped by a similar
quote from Quentin Tarantino. They should help bring in a college-age
crowd over the weekend, although the title may make it a harder sell
to anyone who doesn’t know about the movie.
Why I Should See It: It’s got thousands of creepy crawly slug
parasites that take people over! That is so freakin’ cool!
Why Not: Because you’re a tasteless moron who doesn’t like to
laugh or be scared. (Sorry, that might have come across a bit harsh.)
Projection: $6 to 8 million opening weekend on its way to around $20 million
total.
BASIC INSTINCT 2 (Sony/MGM
Pictures)
Starring Sharon Stone, David Morrissey, Charlotte Rampling, David Thewlis,
Stan Collymore, Andre Schneider
Directed by Michael Caton-Jones (Scandal, Memphis Belle, City
by the Sea, Rob Roy, This Boy’s Life; Written by Leora Barish
(Desperately Seeking Susan), Henry Bean (Internal Affairs, Deep Cover, The
Believer)
Genre: Thriller
Rated R for strong sexuality, nudity, violence, language and some drug content
Tagline: “Everything interesting begins in the mind.” (So that rules this
movie out.)
Story: Novelist Catherine Tramell (Sharon Stone) is once again in trouble
with the law, this time in England, where her sports star boyfriend has turned
up
dead. She’s assigned a psychiatrist, Dr. Michael Glass (David Morrissey),
which gives her the perfect opportunity to resume her sexual antics.
REVIEW
Twelve years ago, a thriller written by Joe Esterhaus and directed by Paul
Verhoeven shook the world with its graphic sexuality and nudity. That movie, Basic
Instinct, also solidified Sharon Stone’s status as a bonafide star
in her own right. For years, the producers have tried to make a sequel,
but it remained in development hell for the good part of a decade while
slowly losing all of the original creators and actor Michael Douglas. When
the planned sequel wasn’t able to find a leading man to start shooting
in 2000, Stone sued the producers for breach of contract, which made
most people assume the movie was dead.
Part of the 2004 settlement meant that the sequel went ahead with Sharon
Stone, now in her mid-40s, reprising the role of sexy but deadly writer
Catherine Trammell. With Michael Douglas out of the picture, a great
opportunity arose for little known British character actor David Morrissey
to play the film’s lead opposite Stone. Morrissey is better known in
England, most recently appearing in the Stones biodrama Stoned,
and he’ll also appear in the upcoming Joel Silver thriller The Reaping.
The cast is rounded out by Charlotte Rampling, who gave her own take
on the erotic thriller in the French film Swimming Pool, and David
Thewlis, last seen in Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban,
as a police detective from Scotland Yard hellbent on taking Catherine
down. They won’t really matter, since the only actor who may be any sort
of draw is Sharon Stone, and her career hasn’t been going that well.
(See Star Spotlight below). Considering the number of
strong films made by director Michael Caton-Jones, it’s a bit surprising
that he got roped into making this dog.
Originally, the movie had a lot more sex and was being threatened with
an NC-17 rating before some of the scenes, including a ménage a trois,
were removed, although a lot of these scenes ended up on the internet,
which might end up hurting the movie more than help it.
What’s strange is that the movie’s new home, Sony, doesn’t seem to
really be getting behind the movie despite the success of the original
film.
The movie is being released in only 1,300 theatres, which is even less
than the original movie got 14 years ago. This may be a telltale sign
that the studio is not supportive of the movie, but unlike their other
MGM acquisition, The Pink Panther which was drastically changed
when they picked it up, they’re just throwing it out there with little
fanfare, although Sharon Stone will probably be doing the rounds to promote
it. This will probably bring in mostly older adults based on the name
alone, but younger moviegoers under 30 probably won’t have seen the original
movie, and they’re more than likely to be put off by the negative reviews,
so that the movie ends up doing far better on DVD.
Why I Should See It: You want to learn more about Sharon Stone’s
character from the first movie… or see more of her naked.
Why Not: Because there is a chance that Sharon Stone might open
her legs again! Yipes.
Projection: $7 to 9 million on its way to $23 million total.
ATL (Warner
Bros.)
Starring Tip "T.I." Harris, Lauren London, Evan Ross, Jackie Long,
Big Boi, Albert Daniels, Jason Weaver, Kadijah, Malika, Lonette McKey, Mykelti
Williamson, Keith David
Directed by Chris Robinson (directorial debut); Written by Tina Gordon Chism
(Drumline, upcoming Nappily Ever After), based on a story by
Antwone Fischer
Genre: Comedy, Drama
Rated PG-13 for drug content, language, sexual material and some violence
Tagline: “A New American Story”
Story: Four teens living in a working class neighborhood of Atlanta
enjoy spending time listening to hip-hop and rollerskating, but as they
prepare to finish high school and move on with their lives, they face
new challenges.
Mini-Review: While the story and characters aren't
bad, this really isn't a very well-made film, because it's obvious,
predictable, and about as subtle as Spike Lee. The many attempts
it takes at trying to be funny fails miserably, and for the most
part, it's all over the
place,
since few
of
the
young
actors
are
strong enough to pull off the more dramatic scenes.However you
slice it, the best part of the movie is the hip hop filled soundtrack. Rating: 4.5/10
Loosely based on the experiences of Dallas Austin and Tionne
Watkins growing up in Atlanta, this coming-of-age story is
the latest in a long line of
movies targeted directly towards the African-American audience, and
I really knew almost nothing about it until I sat down to write
about it. The feature
film directorial debut of popular video director Chris Robinson, the
story is based on a screenplay by Tina Gordon Chism, who wrote
the 2003 holiday
hit Drumline, which made over $50 million after a surprise $13
million opening weekend.
Although a lot of the film takes place on the skating rink, the marketing
for the film has tried to play that aspect down to avoid comparisons
to Roll Bounce, which made $17 million after opening lightly
last September. The film features a mostly unknown cast with the
one exception
being Big Boi from the popular rap duo Outkast, but he’s not going to
be the movie’s only selling point. The film’s street-savvy subject matter
may strike a chord with younger African-Americans also trying to make
it, and the PG-13 will certainly make it of interest to teens looking
for something. Then again, they might decide it’s too preachy and
sneak into one of the two thrillers instead. Still, expect ATL get
a lot of business in Atlanta and in urban areas where the film will
get
the biggest push and not so much in other areas, which should be
enough to allow it into the fight for third place with the other
new movies.
Why I Should See It: The involvement of some of the people
behind Drumline and Antwone
Fischer would make it seem like a movie that would appeal to
fans of those movies.
Why Not: I liked the movie better when it was called Roll
Bounce.
Projection: $7 to 9 million on its way to $25 million.
BRICK (Focus Features)
Starring Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Nora Zehetner, Noah Fleiss, Matt O'Leary,
Noah Segan, Meagan Good, Emilie de Ravin, Richard Roundtree, Lukas Haas
Written and directed by Rian Johnson
Genre: Drama, Thriller, Action, High School
Rated R for violence and drug content
Story: A rebellious high school loner (Joseph Gordon-Levitt) gets caught
up in the world of drugs after finding his ex-girlfriend dead, as he tries
to
find her killer.
REVIEW
One of the year’s big mysteries due to its enigmatic one-sheet posters,
Rian Johnson’s filmmaking debut Brick is an innovative take
on the high school drama, mixing the usual archetypes with the
type of
storytelling seen in crime noir films from the ‘40s and ‘50s. By doing
this, he’s created something truly original with a great young cast
along for the ride, including Joseph Gordon-Levitt, best known as Tommy
from the sitcom “3rd Rock from the Sun”, Meagan Good, Lukas Haas, and
Noah Fleiss. The film is challenging and often confusing, but it’s the
type of film that intelligent cinephiles will probably appreciate. It’ll
open in a single theatre in New York and L.A. this weekend.
Why I Should See It: It’s an innovative mix of crime noir
and teen drama.
Why Not: Very confusing and hard to follow.
MARILYN HOTCHKISS’ BALLROOM
DANCING AND CHARM SCHOOL (Samuel Goldwyn Films)
Starring Robert Carlyle, Marisa Tomei, John Goodman, Mary Steenburgen,
Sean Astin, Donnie Wahlberg, Danny DeVito, Joshua Horowitz
Written and directed by Randall Miller (Houseguest, Class
Act)
Genre: Comedy, Drama, Romance
Rated PG-13 for mature situations and language
Tagline: “When destiny leads, love follows.”
Story: Widower baker Frank Keane (Robert Carlyle) on his rounds comes across
a car wreck and at the behest of the dying driver (John Goodman), he attends
the Marilyn Hotchkiss’ Ballroom Dancing and Charm School, where eclectic characters
come together every week to learn how to dance. Although it doesn’t seem
like his scene, he soon finds new love and true happiness in his weekly
lessons.
Mini-Review: What keeps this fun little movie entertaining is
the way it's told in three very distinct sections, each with their
own look and feel. While the modern-day ballroom dancing scenes are
great, the flashback coming-of-age story has a "Stand By Me" like feel
that
really makes it worthwhile.
This is clearly Robert Carlyle's best role, and he really carries through
as the film's romantic lead, thanks to the support of a great cast
of mostly character actors, who bring a lot of laughs and emotions.
It gets a bit silly at the end, but for the most part, it's an enjoyable
way
to
spend
some time. Rating: 7.5/10
After many delays, director Randall
Miller’s
romantic dramedy sees the light of day with an impressive array
of character actors including Academy
Award
winner Marisa Tomei, John Goodman, Mary Steenburgen and Sean Astin.
Based on a short film Miller made fifteen years ago, it stars Scottish
actor
Robert Carlyle (Trainspotting)
as a widowed baker who comes upon a car crash and honors the victim’s
dying wish by attending a dancing class to see if his childhood sweetheart
shows
up.
It’s the type of comedy-drama that might appeal to those who love the
ABC reality show “Dancing with the Stars,” the ballroom dancing romantic
comedy Shall
We Dance? or even the movie version of Stephen King’s Stand
By Me.
It's too bad it comes out the week before the much more high profile Take
the Lead.
Why I Should See It: It’s an endearing dramedy with lots of
romance and laughs.
Why Not: The eclectic mix of character actors with no big
stars might put some moviegoers off.
Actress Sharon Stone’s career has definitely seen better days, because
there was a time in the early ‘90s where it looked like she would be
another Julia Roberts or Demi Moore, especially when she had two back-to-back
hits with director Paul Verhoeven, the sci-fi film Total Recall,
and then the thriller Basic Instinct, a movie for which Stone
will forever be remembered. That might explain why she’s returning to
the character of Catherine Tramell after fourteen years, hopes of repeating
that success. |
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Catwoman |
7/23/04 |
3,117 |
$16.73 |
$5,367 |
$39.78 |
|
Cold Creek Manor |
9/19/03 |
2,035 |
$8.19 |
$4,025 |
$21.38 |
|
The Muse |
8/27/99 |
1,259 |
$3.93 |
$3,122 |
$11.61 |
|
Gloria |
1/22/99 |
1,527 |
$2.14 |
$1,401 |
$4.11 |
|
Sphere |
2/13/98 |
2,814 |
$14.45 |
$5,135 |
$37.30 |
|
Diabolique |
3/22/96 |
1,824 |
$5.52 |
$3,026 |
$17.10 |
|
Casino |
11/24/95 |
1,616 |
$9.95 |
$6,157 |
$42.42 |
|
Intersection |
1/21/94 |
1,300 |
$7.82 |
$6,015 |
$20.64 |
|
Basic Instinct |
3/20/92 |
1,567 |
$15.13 |
$9,655 |
$117.73 |
|
Total Recall |
6/1/90 |
2,060 |
$25.53 |
$12,393 |
$119.39 |
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Ice Age: The Meltdown |
$52.4 |
N/A |
3,962 |
$13,226 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Inside Man |
$16.5 |
-43% |
2,870 |
$5,830 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Basic Instinct 2 |
$8.5 |
N/A |
1,453 |
$5,850 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
ATL |
$8.3 |
N/A |
1,602 |
$5,181 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Slither |
$7.4 |
N/A |
1,943 |
$3,757 |
1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Failure to Launch |
$6.7 |
-36% |
3,074 |
$2,180 |
4 |
|
7 |
2 |
V For Vendetta |
$6.5 |
-48% |
2,910 |
$2,234 |
3 |
|
8 |
5 |
The Shaggy Dog |
$5.0 |
-47% |
2,929 |
$1,707 |
4 |
|
9 |
6 |
She's the Man |
$4.6 |
-38% |
2,552 |
$1,803 |
3 |
|
10 |
3 |
Stay Alive |
$4.3 |
-60% |
2,009 |
$2,140 |
2 |
|
11 |
7 |
Larry the Cable Guy |
$3.4 |
-59% |
1,747 |
$1,946 |
2 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
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