Your Weekly Guide to New Movies for
March 10, 2006
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to the Weekend
Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend’s new movies. Tune in every
Tuesday for the latest look at the upcoming weekend, and then check
back on Friday for final projections based on actual theatre counts.
THE BATTLE CRY!
Last year was the year
of the slump, so I’d like
to personally welcome everyone to… The Year of the Dumb!
I’m not sure what is going on right now, but so far this
year, the box office has been teaming with stupid movies like Big
Momma’s House 2 and The
Pink Panther, which cater solely to the lowest common denominator—people
who don’t want to think too much while watching movies. When you
look at what has done well at the box office this year, it’s all about dumb
high concepts, whether they're comedy (men in drag) or horror (bad remakes
and sequels).
This week, there are no less than three stupid movies, starting with the
romantic comedy Failure to Launch to the horror remake The Hills
Have Eyes, and Disney’s remake of The Shaggy Dog, starring Tim
Allen, which looks like it might end up being this year’s The Pacifier.
Not to single out Disney, but they definitely seem to be playing up to
the fact that kids seem eat up low brow physical humor and things that
most intelligent adults would snub their noses at, except that we still
take our kids to see them because it’ll keep them entertained for an hour
or two.
I’m not sure what it says about the younger generation today, but I don’t
think that they are any less smart than we were as kids. As a matter
of fact, they’re probably more developed intellectually and culturally
than we were. I know that my two nephews constantly amaze me by how smart
they are, which says a lot about the current generation of parents, as
well as today’s teachers, but they still seem to love physical humor
or anything that involves bodily functions. As a kid, I used to be just
as enthralled by Disney’s movies but looking back, I seem to remember
them being sweet and fun rather than stupid and dumb and full of burping
and fart jokes.
But it’s not just the younger kids who might not know better, but teens
seem to be into anything that has sex, nudity, violence or action, regardless
of how dumb it might in terms of story or characters.
Essentially, we’re living in a world where well-crafted intelligent
films like Capote and Good Night, And Good Luck have trouble
getting studio financing, because they might not have mass appeal. If
I had money and someone came to me and said “Phillip Seymour Hoffman
is Truman Capote”, I’d have my checkbook out before they finished the
sentence, and yet instead, Hollywood keeps spending all their money
on dumb high concept premises and remakes of movies that were never
considered classics to begin with. The sad fact is that as long as people
are dumb enough to spend money on that crap, Hollywood is going to keep
on making them rather than trying to spend money on things that might
be groundbreaking or thought-provoking or even halfway intelligent.
The real test whether people are looking for smarter films will
come next week when Warner Bros. finally unleashes their politically-charged V
For Vendetta, which is being marketed as a mainstream action flick.
Will those who appreciated The Matrix for its intelligent storytelling
come out to see it or will it just not be dumb enough for anyone?
THE CHOSEN ONE:
DUCK SEASON (Warner
Independent Studios)
Starring Enrique Arreola, Daniel Miranda, Diego Cataño, Danny Perea,
Written and directed by Fernando Eimbcke
Rated R for language and some drug content
Tagline: “Adulthood is a moving target.”
Story: Two fourteen-year-old best friends plan to spend a day playing video
games, but when the power goes out in their housing complex, they end up killing
time with an older girl from across the hall and a pizza delivery man. REVIEW (Coming
Soon!—okay, so I lied. Sorry!)
Duck Season is a fun little film from Mexico. Shot in black and
white, it follows the adventures of two teen boys and the trouble they
get into on a Sunday when they’re left alone. Joining in on their escapades
is the older girl next door, who comes over to bake a cake since her stove
is broken, and the pizza delivery man, who refuses to leave when they won’t
pay him, saying that it took him longer than 30 minutes to deliver. Although
not a lot really happens in this unconventional coming-of-age story, what
these four get into over the course of the afternoon is what makes this
quirky comedy so fun to watch.
Maybe it’s not too surprising that three of Mexico’s top directors—Alfonso
Cuaron, Guillermo del Toro and Alejandro González Iñárritu--pulled together
to offer the film its support, much like Quentin Tarantino and Wes Craven
have done in recent years with various genre films. I spoke to Alfonso
Cuaron recently, and he told me how he first heard about this movie
and why it struck him as something he wanted to support. “I saw the
film at Cannes during the Week de la Critique, and I fell in love with
it immediately,” he said. “It's the kind of film that I love, a film
where apparently nothing is happening but everything is happening, and
everything is done in such an unpretentious way. It's a film that deals
with so many different subjects and themes, and such profound themes
in such a way that it makes everything look so easy, and even superficial.
It marks the difference from the convention that "comedy doesn't
travel well overseas" because supposedly each culture has a specific
way of laughing at things. That is true in conventional comedy, but
what Fernando does differently is that the film isn't just a comedy.
There's an ironic detachment in which he's not quite making fun of the
characters, but rather, he's observing human behavior with it, and that
is where the humor comes from. The characters' behavior is universal;
it's not about the specifics of any culture. What is great about this
film is I've seen this film play in different countries, in front of
different age groups, and it's played well with everyone. It pretty
much always hits the same beats. It's not that in this country they
like this more: the beats in each country are consistently found funny,
and I think it has a lot to do with the film's universality.”
I asked him whether or not he saw parallels between the film and his
own Y Tu Mama Tambien, to which he replied, “In retrospect, yes.
In doing these interviews, I've starting seeing parallels between the
characters, because it’s also two boys and a girl.”
Cuaron also told me a bit about the reasoning behind forming Esperanto
pictures. “I
talked with Fernando about who was producing the film, and they pretty much
already had their operation in place. Later on, they found an obstacle in securing
the release of the film in America, and that was where I came in. We needed
to create this new entity in order to distribute this film, and Esperanto is
a company I created that has a deal with Warner Brothers. To be honest, we
just created it for this film.”
“By the way, I'm not in the business of producing,” he quickly added. “I'm a
person that if I get involved with a project, it's because I want to see the
film, and the vision of the filmmaker. At the end of the day, I'm not really
into the production business. I was just a fan that wanted this movie to be seen.”
“If things work out, it could be an interesting venue to rescue a few
orphans,” Cuaron mused when asked about the future of Esperanto. “The
market here in America is so busy that it doesn't pick up some movies
that are absolutely amazing, not because they’re obscure or inaccessible,
but just because the market is busy. They just need some film that has
some recognizable names or faces to get a hook behind it. If somebody
finds a hook through Esperanto, that's what we're there for. Whatever
comes along, no matter the language or the format. What matters is that
it's exciting, that's it beautiful, and that it's surprising.”
“I don't believe Mexican cinema is experiencing a wave or a movement,”
he told me when asked about the wave of interesting films from the Latin
American region. “I think that we have really important people doing
projects with cinema. In all of our countries, we've had similar dictatorships
for 50-something years, and they tend to keep Latin America a very provincial
place. They tend to keep everybody inside the borders, and in this way
they deny the people access to the world. It's as if they're saying
that the world was not made for little “mouses” like us Latin Americans.
Now there's a whole new generation that wants to remind the world that
we exist, and I think cinema is a projection of that. It's coincidental,
but some of these people are my favorite directors right now, and it's
not because they are Mexican. One is definitely Fernando, and the other
is Carlos Reygadas, who I think is a revolutionary. He's such an uncommon
animal, not just in Mexico but in any part of the world.”
Duck Season opens in New York and Los Angeles this weekend.
NEW THIS WEEK:
FAILURE TO LAUNCH (Paramount)
Starring Matthew McConaughey, Sarah Jessica Parker, Zooey Deschanel, Justin
Bartha, Bradley Cooper, Terry Bradshaw, Kathy Bates
Directed by Tom Dey (Shanghai Noon, Showtime); Written by Tom
J. Astle, Matt Ember (Various TV-shows, upcoming: Get Smart)
Genre: Romantic Comedy
Rated PG-13 for sexual content, partial nudity and language
Tagline: “To leave the nest, some men just need a little push.”
Story: Ladies’ man Tripp (McConaughey) is living the high life, hanging out
with his pals and , except that he’s never able to bring them home, because
he lives with his parents! They’re sick of having their 37-year-old son in
the house, so they hire a relationship expert (Sarah Jessica Parker) to date
him and convince him to leave the nest.
Mini-Review: Some people will find this cookie-cutter romantic comedy
entertaining, but it’s obviously not my kind of movie, since it’s often
too formulaic to be any fun. The relationship between Parker and McConaughey
isn’t too convincing and there are tons of plot holes, but it’s almost
worth seeing solely for the side romance between Deschanel and Bartha,
who are constantly stealing the movie from the more prominent stars. A
few good laughs and surprises keep things light, and though predictable,
it does win you over by the end. Rating: 6/10
It’s been a long time since there’s been a strong romantic comedy geared
towards women, and many women should be able to relate to the premise of Failure
to Launch, having to deal with guys who won’t grow up and who still
live with their parents. Of course, to bring women into theatres, you have
to have stars they like and want to see in a movie, and they could do a
hell of a lot worse than the pairing of Matthew McConaughey and Sarah Jessica
Parker. Only a few other leading men have been as successful in the rom-com
genre than Matthew McConaughey, who starred opposite Jennifer Lopez in The
Wedding Planner and a few years later, had a $100 million hit with
Kate Hudson in How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days. Of course, former teen
star Sarah Jessica Parker’s career was reignited from her long run on the
hit HBO sitcom “Sex in the City,” a show watched and loved by millions
of women, and her last movie, The Family Stone, ended up grossing
over $50 million after a weaker $12 million opening. Fortunately, they
both have a great supporting cast including Oscar winner Kathy Bates and
football color commentator Terry Bradshaw as McConaughey’s parents, and
indie maven Zooey Deschanel, Bradley Cooper from “Alias” and the scene
stealing Justin Bertha (National Treasure) as the obligatory best
friends. Of course, none of them will bring people into theatres, although
they’ll all help the enjoyment factor. Originally, Failure to Launch was
going to be released before Valentine’s Day, which would have almost guaranteed
it a huge amount of business, but its sudden move to March would have seemed
like a bad idea, although it gave Paramount more time to promote it. Unfortunately,
the film's name might be its biggest stumbling block, as it makes no sense
and people have joked that it sounds like an ad for viagara. That aside,
women have generally been neglected in the last few weeks, barring the
occasional
kids’ movie, and the delay may have just made them more anxious for a movie
like this. Since women don’t always rush out to see movies opening weekend,
expect this to do okay, and then to have alarmingly long legs that defy
the almost inevitable negative reviews the movie is bound to get.
Why I Should See It: A great cast including two actors who have
already proven to be strong draws for women doing this type of comedy.
Why Not: This looks like it’s a very by-the-books cookie cutter
romantic comedy.
Projection: $16 to 18 million opening weekend on its way to $50
million.
THE HILLS HAVE EYES (Fox
Searchlight)
Starring Aaron Stanford, Ted Levine, Kathleen Quinlan, Vinessa Shaw, Emilie
de Ravin, Dan Byrd, Robert Joy
Written and directed by Alexandre Aja (Furia, High Tension) with Gregory
Levasseur
Genre: Drama, Horror, Thriller
Rated R for strong gruesome violence and terror throughout, and for language
Tagline: “The lucky ones die first.” (Before seeing the movie?)
Story: A family traveling through the Nevada desert are stalked, captured,
tortured and killed by a family of mutants, victims of nuclear testing,
in this remake of Wes Craven's film.
REVIEW
In the endless stream of horror remakes, it was only a matter of time
before someone started looking at the earlier films of Wes Craven before
he made a name for himself with Nightmare on Elm Street. One
of the best known of these among horror fans is 1977’s The Hills
Have Eyes, which followed the path of Herschell Gordon Lewis and
Tobe Hooper to spawn a new wave of horror that included Halloween,
Friday the 13th, and other imitators. With the success
of ‘70s horror remakes like Texas Chainsaw Massacre and The
Amityville Horror, everyone is jumping on the remake bandwagon,
and who better to direct this one than French horror director Alexandre
Aja, whose High Tension offered just as much subversive, exploitative
thrills as Craven’s original movie? Horror films don’t necessarily need
a strong cast, and this one doesn’t have much of one to speak of, except
for its star Aaron Stanford, who is best known as Pyro from the X-Men
movies, and Ted Levine, best remembered as “Buffalo Bill” from Silence
of the Lambs but who has become better known in recent years as
Tony Shalhoub’s boss on the television show “Monk.” It also marks the
return of Kathleen Quinlan, whose own ‘70s horror movie credentials
includes the 1978 movie Nightmare in Blood. With very little
box office draw between them, the movie is going to be sold strictly
on its premise of killer mutants stalking a family in the desert and
the promise of lots of blood and gore which that entails. Because it’s
rated R, the younger teen audience who have been flocking to horror
films might not be able to get into this, but really, only diehard horror
fans will remember the original Wes Craven movie. Younger audiences
will probably think that this movie is ripping off The Texas Chainsaw
Massacre (the remake!) or even Wrong Turn, which just goes
to show how overused this premise has become in recent years. The good
thing is that the movie has one of the strongest marketing campaigns
for a horror movie since Texas Chainsaw Massacre with great commercials
and posters literally everywhere, so the audience that flocked out to
see The Texas Chainsaw Massacre will probably be out in force
to see this on opening weekend.
Why I Should See It: These are the only mutants you’ll be seeing
before Memorial Day.
Why Not: None of them are nearly as hot as Famke Janssen!
Projection: $15 to 17 million opening weekend on its way to roughly $40
million.
THE LIBERTINE (The
Weinstein Company)
Starring Johnny Depp, Samantha Morton, John Malkovich, Rosamund Pike, Tom Hollander,
Johnny Vegas, Kelly Reilly, Jack Davenport, Richard Coyle, Francesca Annis,
Claire Higgins
Directed by Laurence Dunmore (various commercials): Written by Stephen Jeffreys
Genre: Drama, Comedy, Period Piece
Rated R for strong sexuality including dialogue, violence and language
Tagline: “He didn’t resist temptation. He pursued it.”
Story: John Wilmot, the second Earl of Rochester (Johnny Depp), a playwright
and a dastardly knave who abducted his virginal wife but has his eye on a young
stage engenue (Samantha Morton). Fortunately, he has a supporter in King Charles
II (John Malkovich), who commissions a play that ends up mocking him, so he
exiles Wilmot from London
REVIEW
In the mid-90s, actor John Malkovich put on a production of Stephen
Jeffreys’ play “The Libertine” with Chicago’s Steppenwolf Theatre Company.
He felt so strongly about the play about the lecherous John Wilmot,
Earl of Rochester, the king’s personal playwright who did everything
to excess, that he decided to produce a film based on the play. Knowing
that to succeed as a film it would need a younger and more popular actor,
he convinced Johnny Depp to don the wig for the leading role and although
originally, he was going to direct it himself, he instead gave commercial
director Laurence Dunmore the chance to direct his first feature. (Dunmore’s
next film will be an adaptation of James Frey’s controversial “A Million
Little Pieces.”) Malkovich instead took on the role of King Charles,
a character who also appeared in the similar theatre-driven period piece
Stage Beauty in 2004. Those two big names were impressive enough
to bring in the rest of the cast, including a number of strong British
actors like Samantha Morton and an inordinate amount of actors who also
appeared in the Working Titles adaptation of Pride & Prejudice.
Of course, Depp has been riding the crest of a wave since his blockbuster
smash, Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean, and this is another
movie that puts him in period costume, but the character he plays is
admittedly unlikable, which might put off even his most diehard fans.
The film’s R-rating and its sexual nature will also hurt as far as bringing
in Depp’s younger female fans. After spending years in development hell,
The Libertine was originally going to be released in 2004 as
Miramax’s attempt at getting Johnny Depp his much-deserved Oscar, but
then they decided to go with the much friendlier Finding Neverland
instead. This was moved to the August/September dumping ground of
most their movies, but then the Weinsteins decided to bring this with
them to their new company. The Weinstein Company gave it an Oscar qualification
run in December, but it was too no avail, since few found it Oscar worthy.
Still, Depp’s name was enough to get it a moderately wide release, and
it’s being promoted with commercials that tout it as “the most controversial
film of the year.” Honestly, this is going to be for diehard theatre
and period piece buffs only, and probably will only do well in the bigger
cities before quickly disappearing.
Why I Should See It: Johnny Depp and Samantha Morton give performances
worthy of the works of the great Bard.
Why Not: The subject matter is going to turn off a lot of fans
of both actor.
Projection: $2 to 3 million opening weekend on its way to around $6 million
total.
THE SHAGGY DOG (Walt
Disney)
Starring Tim Allen, Kristin Davis, Robert Downey, Jr., Danny Glover, Spencer
Breslin, Zena Grey, Philip Baker Hall
Directed by Brian Robbins (Varsity Blues, The Perfect Score, Hardball);
Written by the Wibberleys, Michael Begler, Jack Amiel, Geoff Rodkey
Genre: Comedy, Family, Remake
Rated PG
Tagline: “Raise the Woof.” (I am speechless.)
Story: Assistant D.A. David Douglas (Allen) finds himself barking up the wrong
tree (ha ha), after he’s bitten by a dog being experimented on in a laboratory
and suddenly finds himself acting and the turning into a dog himself.
Mini-Review: If you can tolerate watching Tim Allen make a fool
of himself pretending to be a dog for more than a few minutes, then you’re
a better person than me, but this horrendous remake of a Disney classic
is so horrendously dumb that few of those involved get off unscathed. All
of the bad cliches for this one are present and accounted for, except for
one important one: Laughs. This is a movie only for the youngest kids
and
the parents
stupid
enough
to take them to see it. Rating: 2/10
In 1959, Fred MacMurray wasn’t yet known for his TV sitcom “My Three
Sons”, but he was working on a reputation as a serious actor in Westerns
and other movies when he took on the lead role in what would become
the first of a long run of live action comedies from Walt Disney Pictures.
Over 45 years later and Disney has been remaking a lot of their live
action classics, many of them starring Lindsay Lohan. This time, they’re
working with another team player, Tim Allen, a comedian who has brought
a lot of money to the company in the last twelve years (see Star
Spotlight below), and who may actually be credible as a man who
turns into a dog. Allen’s supporting cast is as impressive as this weekend’s
other comedy, Failure to Launch, with Sarah Jessica Parker’s
former “Sex and the City” co-star Kristin Davis playing Allen’s wife,
Danny Glover playing his boss and Robert Downey Jr. playing the film’s
antagonist, who of course is trying to get that darn dog! Director/producer
Brian Robbins has made a lot of movies, mostly set in the worlds of
sports or scholastics, but The Shaggy Dog doesn’t seem like that
much of a departure from stuff he’s done before. So who is going to
want to see this movie? Obviously, kids will be tickled pink watching
Tim Allen, the “Santa Clause” guy, acting like a dog, because kids love
dogs, as seen by the success of Eight Below and the sad fact
is that parents will bring them to see this because it’s Allen, it’s
Disney and because it’s a remake of a movie they themselves may remember
as kids. It’s doubtful that it can do as well as the Santa Clause
movies, since it’s opening in March and there are still plenty of
other choices, but Disney has been marketing the hell out of the movie,
even showing a rather strange play-by-play commercial during the Super
Bowl. Expect this to be the latest #1 in the Year of the Dumb, although
it should only do well over the next two weeks before losing most of
its audience to Ice Age: The Meltdown.
Why I Should See It: I’ll take the 5th on this one.
My review says it all.
Why Not: See The Battle Cry for plenty of reasons.
Projection: $20 to 22 million on its way to $60 million total.
STAR SPOTLIGHT: Tim Allen
While there are plenty of other worthy stars with new movies, this
week, we’ll
focus the spotlight on former stand-up comedian Tim Allen, who became famous
thanks to his hugely popular ‘90s sitcom “Home Improvement” before moving onto
an erratic movie career made up of enormous hits, but just as many unadulterated
flops.
Of course, it doesn’t hurt when your first two movies are holiday hits
that make over $140 million, and Tim Allen’s portrayal of Santa Claus
in The Santa Clause and his vocal pairing with Tom Hanks in Pixar’s
first feature film, Toy Story, helped make him an even bigger
star than he already was from television. Over the next few years, Allen
did a few films during downtime from the show, including the disappointing
Jungle 2 Jungle, the animated sequel Toy Story 2, and
the sci-fi spoof Galaxy Quest, the latter two dominating the
holiday season in 1999.
Oddly, it was only when “Home Improvement” came to an end that Allen’s
popularity started to wane with back-to-back flops in the 2001 holiday
comedy Joe Somebody and the dark comedy Big Trouble, which
was moved to 2002 at the last minute due to sensitivity for the events
of 9/11. Later that same year, Allen returned to his first major movie
role and had another huge holiday hit with The Santa Clause 2,
and two years later, he tried to recreate that magic teaming with Jamie
Lee Curtis for Christmas With the Kranks. While it did well over
the Thanksgiving weekend, it wasn’t able to hold up over the rest of
the holidays. Despite his past as a convicted felon, Tim Allen and Disney
have done very well by each other, both with the Santa Clause and Toy
Story franchises, and having him star in a remake of The Shaggy
Dog seems like a given to get families into theatres, even if the
resulting film might not perform nearly as well as they might hope.
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Christmas with the Kranks |
11/26/04 |
3,393 |
$9.25 |
$21.57 |
$6,357 |
$73.70 |
|
The Santa Clause 2 |
11/1/02 |
3,350 |
|
$29.01 |
$8,659 |
$139.14 |
|
Big Trouble |
4/5/02 |
1,961 |
|
$3.55 |
$1,808 |
$7.26 |
|
Joe Somebody |
12/21/01 |
2,506 |
|
$3.55 |
$1,418 |
$22.74 |
|
Galaxy Quest |
12/25/99 |
2,412 |
|
$7.01 |
$2,906 |
$70.26 |
|
Toy Story 2 |
11/24/99 |
3,236 |
$0.38 |
$57.39 |
$17,735 |
$245.82 |
|
Jungle 2 Jungle |
3/7/97 |
2,316 |
|
$12.81 |
$5,531 |
$59.93 |
|
Toy Story |
11/24/95 |
2,457 |
|
$29.14 |
$11,860 |
$191.78 |
|
The Santa Clause |
11/11/94 |
2,183 |
|
$19.32 |
$8,850 |
$144.83 |
ALSO IN LIMITED RELEASE:
Directed by Robert Towne, the screenwriter of Chinatown, ASK THE DUST (Paramount
Classics) is an adaptation of John Fante’s novel about a steamy love affair
between two dreamers, played by Colin Farrell and Salma Hayek, set in
1930’s Los Angeles. Asia Argento wrote and directed an adaptation of THE HEART IS DECEITFUL ABOVE
ALL THINGS (Palm Pictures), based on JT Leroy’s “autobiographical”
novel of his days as an abused child of a neglectful mother, played by
Argento, a story that later turned out to be completely fictitious. It’s
the only movie ever made that stars both Peter Fonda and Marilyn Manson.
The drama GAME
6 (Kindred Media Group), written by novelist Don DeLillo, stars
Michael Keaton as a playwright dealing with the opening of a new play
while trying to support his beloved Red Sox during the 1986 World Series.
It’ll open both in New York and Boston. (Mini-Review: Michael Keaton
is really good in this film, as are some of the actors he encounters on
the fateful day where the Red Sox were beaten the Mets. DeLillo’s script
tries too hard to be clever and funny, but in general, there seems to
be very little point to this story that will probably appeal more to theatre
lovers than baseball fans. Rating: 5/10) At New York’s Quad Cinema,
there’s SHAKESPEARE BEHIND BARS
(International Film Circuit), a documentary by Hank Rogerson about a prison
in Kentucky where the inmates stage Shakespeare’s plays, taking on both
male and female roles according to their crimes. At the Cinema Village,
there’s Richard Ladkani’s THE
DEVIL’S MINER (First Run Features) a documentary about two young
orphaned brothers working in the dangerous Bolivian mines, giving up their
Catholic beliefs when they put their hands in the fate of the devil. It
opens at New York’s Quad Cinema. EVIL (Magnolia Pictures),
the earlier Swedish film from Mikael Hafstrom, director of the thriller
Derailed, is about a teenager who has been abused by his stepfather
for so long that he starts lashing out at everyone that comes near him.
It opens at the Cinema Village. Opening on Thursday at the Two Boots Pioneer
Theatre is THE FALLEN (Anthem
Pictures International), Airi Taub’s attempt at making a realistic WWII
film as seen through the eyes of a doomed German unit and their Italian
compatriots. The film has won many awards at the festival where it’s played.
THIS WEEKEND IN BOX OFFICE HISTORY:
Not much to say really about the second weekend in March except that the
doldrums of the spring/winter season has seen a ragtag bunch of movies with
very little in common and few breakout hits, except one. The great showing
for Robots last year bodes well for Disney’s The Shaggy Dog this
week, but that is really the only hugely successful family film. The next
two down are effects driven dramas that were heavily frontloaded, followed
by an assortment of thrillers and the two Agent Cody Banks movies
starring Frankie Muniz of “Malcolm in the Middle.” The sequel did significantly
worse than the original, although that’s almost par for the course with family
comedies. It’s interesting to note that Johnny Depp, who has The Libertine this
week, opened two previous movies on this weekend, Roman Polanski’s The
Ninth Gate and Secret Window, based on the Stephen King novella.
Although Depp is obviously more popular than when he made the former, it’s
doubtful that The Libertine will have the same built-in audience as
the latter.
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Robots |
3/11/05 |
3,776 |
$36.05 |
$9,546 |
$127.61 |
|
Mission to Mars |
3/10/00 |
3,054 |
$22.86 |
$7,485 |
$60.87 |
|
The Time Machine |
3/8/02 |
2,944 |
$22.50 |
$7,609 |
$56.68 |
|
Secret Window |
3/12/04 |
3,018 |
$18.24 |
$6,043 |
$47.78 |
|
Agent Cody Banks |
3/14/03 |
3,369 |
$14.06 |
$4,175 |
$47.55 |
|
The Hunted |
3/14/03 |
2,516 |
$13.48 |
$5,359 |
$34.23 |
|
15 Minutes |
3/9/01 |
2,337 |
$10.52 |
$4,503 |
$24.38 |
|
Hostage |
3/11/05 |
2,123 |
$10.21 |
$4,811 |
$34.62 |
|
All About the Benjamins |
3/8/02 |
1,505 |
$10.13 |
$6,731 |
$25.48 |
|
Agent Cody Banks 2: Destination London |
3/12/04 |
2,973 |
$8.01 |
$2,696 |
$23.22 |
|
The Ninth Gate |
3/10/00 |
1,586 |
$6.62 |
$4,174 |
$18.65 |
LET’S LOOK AT THE NUMBERS: (final update 3.9.06)
As the Year of the Dumb motors along, we get two remakes, Disney’s The
Shaggy Dog starring their power player Tim Allen as a man who turns
into a dog, and The Hills Have Eyes, a remake of Wes Craven’s early
cult classic directed by Alexandre (High Tension) Aja, plus an original
romantic comedy which looks like it might as well have been a remake. There’s
no question that the combination of Disney and dogs is a potent one, and
when you throw in Tim Allen and over 3,000 theatres, it’s very hard to
bet against The Shaggy Dog. Then again, teen and college-age audiences
have been eating up gory horror like Saw and Hostel, so it
might get some competition, at least on Friday from The Hills Have Eyes.
Instincts tell me that Failure to Launch might do better than expected
due to the combination of premise, star power and the lack of similar material
for women, but it’ll probably get overpowered by the easy sell of the two
remakes. The
Hills Have Eyes will win Friday, but then be overpowered by the other
two over the weekend. If you only pay attention to the Top 10, you’ll probably
miss out on The Libertine, starring Johnny Depp and John Malkovich,
a period drama based on a play, which did nothing for critics and Academy
Awards voters, and it probably will do even less for mainstream audiences.
It might be able to make just a little more than $2 million over the weekend.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Shaggy Dog |
$21.6 |
N/A |
3,501 |
$6,170 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Failure to Launch |
$17.6 |
N/A |
3,057 |
$5,757 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
The Hills Have Eyes |
$16.4 |
N/A |
2,620 |
$6,260 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
16 Blocks |
$7.2 |
-39% |
2,706 |
$2,661 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
Eight Below |
$6.4 |
-37% |
2,970 |
$2,155 |
4 |
|
6 |
1 |
Madea's Family Reunion |
$6.2 |
-51% |
1,812 |
$3,422 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Aquamarine |
$4.6 |
-39% |
2,538 |
$1,812 |
2 |
|
8 |
4 |
Ultraviolet |
$4.1 |
-55% |
2,558 |
$1,603 |
2 |
|
9 |
6 |
The Pink Panther |
$3.8 |
-45% |
2,302 |
$1,651 |
5 |
|
10 |
5 |
Dave Chappelle's Block Party |
$3.1 |
-50% |
1,200 |
$2,917 |
2 |
|
11 |
8 |
Date Movie |
$2.8 |
-40% |
1,812 |
$1,545 |
4 |
| |
|
|
Est. Weekend Total
$93.80 |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-44% |
|
Est. Average PTA
$3,238 |
|
Next week, Alan Moore and David Lloyd’s future shock comic story V For Vendetta comes
to the big screen, courtesy of the Wachowskis, and Amanda Bynes proves
that She’s the Man. (Odd,
I thought that was Felicity Huffman.)
Copyright 2006 Edward Douglas
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